​​On Single Point Forecasts for Fat-Tailed Variables

Fundametal paper, which is applicable to software development deadline estimation, #COVID dynamics forecasts and everything else. Great reminder on that sometimes the more correct solution is to provide TBD answer than any estimation.

ArXiV: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.16096.pdf

#Taleb #fattails

Detection of COVID-19 using multimodal data from a wearable device: results from the first TemPredict Study


Some time ago in a different world one of the channel editors shared permmission to use data from sleep & activity tracker Oura Ring to develop an algorithm for COVID-19 prediction.

Results of this study continue to arrive. Today team shared the second manuscript from the first TemPredict Study in Nature Scientific Reports. This manuscript details an algorithm designed to detect COVID-19 using data from the Oura Ring. Alogirthm publication: www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-07314-0 

The first publication from the first TemPredict Study will continue to be available online for you to access at any time, at this link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-78355-6

The first publication from the second TemPredict Study (correlations between data from the Oura Ring and data from a LabCorp antibody blood test) will also continue to be available online for you to access at any time, at this link: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/10/2/264

That's the power of the international collaboration 💪

#oura #covid #biolearning #medical #health