A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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EURUSD Analysis
EURUSD makes fresh lows before bouncing higher from the falling trend line support. Similarly to UJ, I can see this being a potential discount for short traders as we see a gradual trend to the downside with short bursts to the upside. If we see rejection from the highs, price may come down further. Resistance around 0.99436 is another potential short trade setup
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EURUSD Analysis
Finally seeing that break in the trend line on the 1D timeframe. Price is continuing to push lower under the weight of the dollar after the latest rate hike while equities are getting punished. It doesn't look like the pair will be stopping here as the strong downtrend persists. If we can get a close under this level, it would be a good confirmation of more downside
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SPX500 Analysis
Short term target on this index is getting close to testing the $3670s. Price will likely come down to this level as we see mounting pressure on the stock market with higher rates. The 10-year note is climbing higher as well which is spelling bearishness for SPX500. The next major level of support is in the $3200s.
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UJ is still holding that bounce from yesterday as the retail crowd grows more and more bearish. The score is still at +4 buy as dollar yields get higher. The price forecast, however, is projecting mostly flat returns going into next week with a high of 144.75 by next Tuesday. It is probably best to keep a bullish bias on USD until we see otherwise because the pair has a good chance of testing the highs of 145.75 again after a turbulent week.
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Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve’s policy-making body, implemented yet another 75 basis point interest rate hike. While this move was perfectly in line with market forecasts, Chair Powell’s comments following the subsequent press conference, in which he discussed the FOMC’s new set of economic projections, were significant. He continued to emphasize the Fed’s commitment to bringing year-over-year inflation back down to 2%, even at the expense of short-term economic growth, offering little in the way of dovishness. These events may become key fundamental catalysts for further bullish USD price action and stock selloffs, hence why the new FOMC decision matters.

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CHF/JPY Analysis
CHFJPY came off the highs and bounced up from a clean level of support on the 1D timeframe at 143.673. This level is also paired with its 50 DMA so this price could be hard to break. If price can stay above that price, we could see a test to the highs around 151.300 again which is the only resistance in the way. After Switzerland's latest rate hike, JPY is looking like the weakest of the risk-off currencies, and the overall trend goes to show.
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AUD/USD Analysis
AUDUSD fell underneath key support on the 1D and is continuing to make lower lows. The USD is very strong right now, so it is hard for traders to go against it. The Fed chairman is set to speak this week which will add to the volatility on USD pairs. Based off of last week's performance, we may see a little give back to risk-on pairs, but the overall trend will probably continue so it is easy is look to the dollar as the strong house.
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SPX500 Analysis
SPX500 is trying to bounce off a bottom level of support on the 1D timeframe although it has struggled to maintain upside. Stocks have not been a place to put your money this year, but position-building could pay off, especially as price continues to fall to lower discount prices. Some trading analysts think that equities have bottomed based off this current price action and touching into the $3680s. The next support is in the $3500s and then the $3200s if price breaks and closes under support.
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