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S&P500 Daily Chart:

Full context and update on my "campaign". I was definitely early with some of my entries, but remain bullish and managed to catch a pretty solid entry near the lows.

This morning we saw healthy jobs data and solid retail sales data. Additionally, Walmart earnings show some strength for consumers as well.

Combine this with inflation cooling steady as shown in this week's CPI & PPI, I remain very bullish going forward.

- Nick

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Euro-dollar is now the strongest bullish reading on any currency pair on the EdgeFinder. There could be more upside potential after higher retail sales data in the US. Usually, the dollar will react positively to this kind of news, but it is more so better for the stock market.

EURUSD is correlated to the stock market, so the combination of better labor data and the retail rebound might be an optimistic sign for this pair.

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The NAS100 is now 12% off the lows from early August and is nearing resistance around its 50 DMA. This also served as a previous top and bottom in the market on the 1D timeframe. Because we have broken and stayed above a wedge pattern, NAS could try another attempt at the highs.
- Frank

Gold is still a bullish score among our list of assets, but the recent healthy data is putting pressure on the metal. This news may relieve the Fed from taking extreme measures of taking a 50 basis point rate cut. 25 may be the what the Fed decides, but the expectations are never certain.

Gold may not be as in demand as a result. If the economy is doing well and inflation ticks lower, the risk trade may be coming back into view. That means sectors like the tech market, speculation and growth stocks may become the trade for the remainder of the year. We still need to watch for the next round of labor data and FOMC decisions.

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Retail is now mixed on all the indices in the US. UK100 and EURUSD are among the top shorted. RUSSELL, Gold, USOil, Silver are among the top most bought.

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Retail is getting long on tech stocks while COT remains neutral-bullish. If retail continues to buy, we may get a contrarian signal telling us that the index could be topping out. If COT remains long, however, the market may drift higher.

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Unemployment claims came in lower once again marking the second week of better jobs data. Despite the disastrous NFP, it seems the market is grabbing on to anything to move higher. Labor market data seems key to trading in this environment.

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Gold / XAUUSD Daily Chart

Fresh all time highs!

With rate cuts on the way, and global economic data cooling, the uptrend continues chugging along.

Curious to see how today's candle closes, and may look for pullback entries to add longs🙂

Congrats to the bulls!

- Nick

DXY (USD) Daily Chart:

Price is continuing lower as we head into the big fed meeting week.

With employment data slowing, and expectations for the fed to begin cutting rates in September, the dollar downtrend seems intact.

For now, rallies on the dollar look like selling opportunities in my view.

- Nick

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NAS100 breaks above a heavy resistance level on the 1D timeframe. If price can remain above this by the close of the day, we may be looking at a chance to test the highs in the coming weeks. It's important to remain cautious, however. If the index doesn't close above, it could be a great setup for a short trade.
-Frank

Bond prices have recovered most of the losses from early August and are heading back towards the highs just under $100 per share on TLT. The 10 year bond note dropped by 0.2 basis points this morning which may be a result of the expected rate cut in September.

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The crowd is now heavily short the S&P. Retail has been pretty mixed on the indices over the span of a month as the NASDAQ is still majority long and DOW is neutral.
-Frank

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