A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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GBPUSD continues to look weak on retracements. Watching for a move back to resistance for a possible short.
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πŸ“• INFLATION 101
β€’ Inflation measures the buying power of the dollar
β€’ The higher the inflation, the less buying power
β€’ Inflation helps measure a currency's direction in the long term
β€’ It is also a key component in measuring an economy's health

πŸ“ŠInflation data available with the EdgeFinder! Access inflation data with your EdgeFinder access

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GBPUSD just made a U-turn!
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Options plays on the indices playing out well this week!
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πŸ“• GDP GROWTH 101

β€’ GDP is short for Gross Domestic Product which measures the value of all goods and services produced in an economy. GDP is one of the most common ways of measuring economic outlook and its effect on any currency.
β€’ It is a very common indicator for fundamental analysis
β€’ Traders can use change in growth of GDP to help them in their trading
β€’ A growth or decline in GDP can indicate the long term trend of a currency pair

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Easily compare GDP growth of different currencies with the EdgeFinder's GDP Growth Data page.

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AUDUSD looking very interesting right now... - Nick
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🚨 NEW TRADE SIGNAL! XAUUSD

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With seasonality and trend readings on its side, USDCAD is now the strongest bullish pair reading on the EdgeFinder. For the last four months, this pair has historically struggled, but it is now starting off the month of August with a gain of over 1%.

USD CPI and Core CPI is expected to remain unchanged from last month at 0.2%. If these rates stay where they are at, it may suggest that the Fed needs to do more to monetary policy than expected. This could be also boosting confidence in the dollar over the CAD for now.
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USOil is sitting at a bullish reading, but there are a few factors to consider as we go in to China's inflation on Tuesday. Year-over-year, prices are expected to have declined into the negatives. Usually, lower inflation points to lower oil prices.

On the 1D timeframe, price is up against a double top and is hesitating to push higher. If price pulls back on a potential lower CPI, we could see price test support around 78.78 and 77.36. However, if price breaks higher, we could watch it test into the 85s.
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AU is now the EF's strongest bearish reading. As we come off the month of July, sentiment has essentially flipped on the seasonality side. The trend projection is lower as well. Retail is mostly long while smart money is leaning more towards the USD.

At a -6, the pair is losing to the USD in almost every category except unemployment and inflation. Although Australia suffers from double the rate of inflation, but GDP growth and interest rate are weaker than the US's overall.
Retail is mixed on the dollar, slightly long gold, but heavily short oil. The SPX500, US30 and GER30 remain short. The strongest biases are US30 to the short side and USDCHF to the long side.
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USDCAD looking really interesting on a pullback... - Nick

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USOil
As we approach China’s inflation later today, oil has seen a considerable pullback from the triple top on the 1D timeframe. Analysts are expecting a drop in inflation y/y which could suggest falling demand in the economy and oil prices. However, a tightening supply of the commodity and demand from smart money last week could suggest higher oil prices. Price hit support on the 4H timeframe on a rising trend line while showing rejection from the lows. This higher low could suggest another test at the triple top.
NZD/JPY
NZD struggles with high inflation which could prompt the RBNZ to continue to be aggressive on interest rates. Right now, smart money is buying NZD while getting rid of the long and short contracts on the yen. On the 1D timeframe, the candle is currently in the red, but may find support along the rising trend line if price falls lower. Today’s candle will be important on where price could move, but it seems that today might be mixed overall.
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