Gold still sits at a +4 buy from the EdgeFinder readings. The recent downtrend and AUD and CAD funds rate decisions have put pressure on the metal for the time being. However, all of that may change this coming Wednesday when the Federal Reserve makes their move on the dollar. Expectations call for a pause which could prove bullish to the metal if fulfilled.

On the 1D timeframe, this pair has come down to test support on a long term trend line which price has held. Several attempts have tried to push the metal lower, but it continues to stick to the demand zone. COT also showed continued interest to the upside mostly from the decrease in overall short positions on the pair.

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We got the move! 🥳Congrats to the fellow bulls.

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The win streak continues!! S&P 500 up big. Stops TRAILED before CPI news!

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Here's an overview of crowd sentiment surrounding the majors, indices and commodities. Now it looks like most retail traders are long USD, mixed gold and bearish stocks. Very interesting positioning as USD is expecting to witness some dovish sentiment going in to the Fed meeting this Wednesday.

Meanwhile smart money is increasing their bullish sentiment on the stock markets, keeping a bullish outlook on gold, looking dollar mixed, euro bearish and desecrating the yen. The chart at the bottom shows an increase in the net long bias on gold which is now the most bullish sentiment we have seen from smart money since May 1.

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EUR/JPY Analysis
EJ looking more bullish on the 1D timeframe. Price broke higher above a falling trend line and is nearing a testing level of resistance around 151.052. Both the ECB and BOJ will announce their latest updates on monetary policy as well as the new interest rate. Analysts are expecting a rate hike on the EUR and unchanged rate for JPY. The market might be making moves higher because of this.

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Gold Analysis
Gold falling after CPI news came in lower than expected in the US. It appears to be responding negatively to this number although it further reinforces a rate pause from the Fed tomorrow. A more dovish reading from the Fed would be bullish for the metal, however, sellers are stepping in. An argument could be made that a healthier economy and lower inflation is more beneficial to the SPX500 rather than gold.

SPX500 Analysis
Price is taking CPI news very positively as investors see a rate pause coming tomorrow and possibly an end to the rate hike path. The Fed has been adamant about lowering inflation while maintaining a healthy economy, and this seems like a bullish environment for stocks. SPX500 may complete its move to the top of the channel before any sort of resistance tests price action.

Still running! S&P500 signal floating over 6R, stops locked in profit before fed meeting. 🏆

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LOCKING IN MORE on the S&P500 signal. Inflation numbers cooling give way to a massive run for the indices. 💥

The SPX500 is something to look at going into this Fed meeting today. Price has seen an unstoppable upside for the past few months despite the market bears and heavy pressure from the Fed. The index is near the top of a trend line encompassing a longer term channel. It appears that price could have the potential to test the top of this level especially now that investors anticipate a Fed pause. The historical backtest feature is very helpful in catching shifts in sentiment. It’s currently scored at neutral, but it was recently a strong sell. This shift could indicate that a longer term uptrend is starting. These current prices officially mark bull market territory, according to analysts. And today’s Fed statement will shape the direction of stocks in the long term.

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🔥 Floating +897 pips on NAS100

Floating a loss on BTCUSD, but willing to add to this trade. This is a longer term position trade for me, and I believe we may have a dip buying opportunity near 24k. Watching close!
- Nick