Morning Bites (part 2)
🏗China’s preliminary excavator sales inched up 1% YoY in June (domestic + export), vs. the +6% YoY seen in May, per CME estimates. The figure was 31% below the 2021 level. Specifically, domestic excavator sales are likely to gain 20% YoY (but remain -57% vs. June 2021), which might indicate that local construction activity has bottomed out. The recently announced new support measures for China’s property sector, however, are not enough to trigger a full-scale recovery in local construction activity, we believe
We recap that China accounts for 52% of global steel consumption, and for 55% and 58% of world Cu and Al demand, respectively
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
🏗China’s preliminary excavator sales inched up 1% YoY in June (domestic + export), vs. the +6% YoY seen in May, per CME estimates. The figure was 31% below the 2021 level. Specifically, domestic excavator sales are likely to gain 20% YoY (but remain -57% vs. June 2021), which might indicate that local construction activity has bottomed out. The recently announced new support measures for China’s property sector, however, are not enough to trigger a full-scale recovery in local construction activity, we believe
We recap that China accounts for 52% of global steel consumption, and for 55% and 58% of world Cu and Al demand, respectively
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
Morning Bites (part 1)
🔗CISA mills' daily crude steel production in mid-June was reported at 2.19mnt, down 2.6% from the previous ten days, and 3.4% lower YoY. Local steel inventories were 2.1% higher over the period (+1.3% YoY). In our view, China’s subdued production (based on the CISA data, -1.3% YTD to 20 June) is due to overall soft domestic steel demand, which has also bolstered exports growth. Meanwhile, the recently announced new support measures for China’s property sector are unlikely to trigger a full-scale recovery in local construction activity in 2024, we believe
China represents ~57% of world steel supply
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
🔗CISA mills' daily crude steel production in mid-June was reported at 2.19mnt, down 2.6% from the previous ten days, and 3.4% lower YoY. Local steel inventories were 2.1% higher over the period (+1.3% YoY). In our view, China’s subdued production (based on the CISA data, -1.3% YTD to 20 June) is due to overall soft domestic steel demand, which has also bolstered exports growth. Meanwhile, the recently announced new support measures for China’s property sector are unlikely to trigger a full-scale recovery in local construction activity in 2024, we believe
China represents ~57% of world steel supply
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
Morning Bites (part 2)
📈Russia’s gold output increased 9.6% YoY in May, after the 11.7% YoY gain in April, according to the Rosstat data. The figure was also 6.2% YoY higher on 5mo24 basis, and up 15.4% MoM. Russia’s gold output accounts for ~9% of the world's mined supply
In our view, at spot gold is still trading marginally above its fundamentally reasonable level (USD 2,200-2,300/oz for 2024), driven by persistently strong demand from global central banks and the widely expected US Fed funds rate cut in 2024. Furthermore, in May, global ETFs raised their holdings for the first time in 12 months, which injected some positive sentiment into the gold market
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
📈Russia’s gold output increased 9.6% YoY in May, after the 11.7% YoY gain in April, according to the Rosstat data. The figure was also 6.2% YoY higher on 5mo24 basis, and up 15.4% MoM. Russia’s gold output accounts for ~9% of the world's mined supply
In our view, at spot gold is still trading marginally above its fundamentally reasonable level (USD 2,200-2,300/oz for 2024), driven by persistently strong demand from global central banks and the widely expected US Fed funds rate cut in 2024. Furthermore, in May, global ETFs raised their holdings for the first time in 12 months, which injected some positive sentiment into the gold market
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
Morning Bites (part 1)
📈China’s output of aluminium products rose 10% YoY to 5.9mnt in May, accelerating from the +8% YoY in April. Given the persistently strong demand for Al in China (~60% of global consumption), bolstered by the rapid expansion of the new energy sector, we maintain our positive long-term view on aluminium
🥉Chinese output of copper products fell 12% YoY in May to 1.8mnt, vs. the -4% YoY in April. Despite some slowdown in consumption, the demand trends remain strong, while global copper visible inventories are close to their historical lows. Furthermore, the widely expected monetary easing in the US in 2024 might add further positives to sentiment on the red metal's price
China represents ~55% of global Cu demand
#aluminium #copper
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
📈China’s output of aluminium products rose 10% YoY to 5.9mnt in May, accelerating from the +8% YoY in April. Given the persistently strong demand for Al in China (~60% of global consumption), bolstered by the rapid expansion of the new energy sector, we maintain our positive long-term view on aluminium
🥉Chinese output of copper products fell 12% YoY in May to 1.8mnt, vs. the -4% YoY in April. Despite some slowdown in consumption, the demand trends remain strong, while global copper visible inventories are close to their historical lows. Furthermore, the widely expected monetary easing in the US in 2024 might add further positives to sentiment on the red metal's price
China represents ~55% of global Cu demand
#aluminium #copper
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
Morning Bites (part 2)
💎Petra Diamonds has revised down its production targets, according to the miner’s Investor Day presentation. It now expects to produce 2.8-3.1mnct in fiscal 2025 (ends on 30 June 2025) and 2.9-3.3mnct in fiscal 2026. This represents a reduction of ~20% from previous indications, reflecting Petra’s plan to reduce operating costs. On our numbers, small players are breakeven or loss making at current prices, which has already led to the supply response
At the same time, a further improvement in consumer sentiment in the US (53% of world polished demand) might trigger a recovery in the global diamond market in the next 3-6 months, amid the strong fundamentals, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
💎Petra Diamonds has revised down its production targets, according to the miner’s Investor Day presentation. It now expects to produce 2.8-3.1mnct in fiscal 2025 (ends on 30 June 2025) and 2.9-3.3mnct in fiscal 2026. This represents a reduction of ~20% from previous indications, reflecting Petra’s plan to reduce operating costs. On our numbers, small players are breakeven or loss making at current prices, which has already led to the supply response
At the same time, a further improvement in consumer sentiment in the US (53% of world polished demand) might trigger a recovery in the global diamond market in the next 3-6 months, amid the strong fundamentals, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
Morning Bites
🇨🇳China’s grid infrastructure investment jumped 14% YoY in May, following the +47% YoY in April, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. On the 5mo24 basis, investments were up 22% YoY, and were also 31% above the 5mo20-23 average. In our view, this might be one of the key factors behind the recent rally in copper and aluminium prices, as the grid accounts for 10-15% of Cu and Al consumption in China, on our numbers
Overall, the data underpins China's plans to expand local infrastructure in order to match the growing installations of renewable energy. We do not expect the dynamics to slow in the coming years and keep our positive view on silver, copper and aluminium, which are the key beneficiary metals of the global clean energy transition in 2024-30
#silver #copper #aluminium
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
🇨🇳China’s grid infrastructure investment jumped 14% YoY in May, following the +47% YoY in April, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. On the 5mo24 basis, investments were up 22% YoY, and were also 31% above the 5mo20-23 average. In our view, this might be one of the key factors behind the recent rally in copper and aluminium prices, as the grid accounts for 10-15% of Cu and Al consumption in China, on our numbers
Overall, the data underpins China's plans to expand local infrastructure in order to match the growing installations of renewable energy. We do not expect the dynamics to slow in the coming years and keep our positive view on silver, copper and aluminium, which are the key beneficiary metals of the global clean energy transition in 2024-30
#silver #copper #aluminium
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
Morning Bites (part 1)
🏦 Global central banks purchased net 10t of gold in May, vs. the revised +23t in April, marking the twelfth consecutive month of reserves accumulation, the World Gold Council (WGC) reports. The major contributors were Poland (+10t) and Turkey (+8t), while only Kazakhstan has sold a notable amount (11t). According to the recent WGC poll, CB managers intend to increase gold holdings further within the next 12 months, despite soaring yellow metal prices
We maintain our view that the fundamentally reasonable gold price is USD 2,200-2,300/oz for 2024. Meanwhile, at spot, the precious metal’s price has exceeded this level, following persistently strong demand from global central banks and the widely expected US Fed funds rate cut in 2024
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
🏦 Global central banks purchased net 10t of gold in May, vs. the revised +23t in April, marking the twelfth consecutive month of reserves accumulation, the World Gold Council (WGC) reports. The major contributors were Poland (+10t) and Turkey (+8t), while only Kazakhstan has sold a notable amount (11t). According to the recent WGC poll, CB managers intend to increase gold holdings further within the next 12 months, despite soaring yellow metal prices
We maintain our view that the fundamentally reasonable gold price is USD 2,200-2,300/oz for 2024. Meanwhile, at spot, the precious metal’s price has exceeded this level, following persistently strong demand from global central banks and the widely expected US Fed funds rate cut in 2024
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
Morning Bites (part 2)
🌏Global manufacturing PMIs showed mixed dynamics in June. The Eurozone Markit Manufacturing PMI dropped to 45.8 (vs. 47.3 in May). Meanwhile, the US ISM manufacturing PMI remained in the negative zone at 48.5 in June (vs. the consensus estimate of 49.1)
🇨🇳The official NBS Manufacturing PMI in China was unchanged at 49.5, in-line with the market estimates. Simultaneously, the Caixin China Manufacturing PMI was reported at 51.8 (vs. the forecasts of 51.2)
🇮🇳 Indian manufacturing PMI remained near record highs at 58.3 (vs. 57.5 in May), indicating continuously strong business environment
❗️Although US and EU PMIs were weak in June (remaining below the 50.0 waterline), Chinese and Indian PMIs dynamics were strong. In our view, this implies improving sentiment in the Asian manufacturing sectors — a positive factor for the industrial metals consumption (e.g. steel, aluminum and copper)
#PMIs
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
🌏Global manufacturing PMIs showed mixed dynamics in June. The Eurozone Markit Manufacturing PMI dropped to 45.8 (vs. 47.3 in May). Meanwhile, the US ISM manufacturing PMI remained in the negative zone at 48.5 in June (vs. the consensus estimate of 49.1)
🇨🇳The official NBS Manufacturing PMI in China was unchanged at 49.5, in-line with the market estimates. Simultaneously, the Caixin China Manufacturing PMI was reported at 51.8 (vs. the forecasts of 51.2)
🇮🇳 Indian manufacturing PMI remained near record highs at 58.3 (vs. 57.5 in May), indicating continuously strong business environment
❗️Although US and EU PMIs were weak in June (remaining below the 50.0 waterline), Chinese and Indian PMIs dynamics were strong. In our view, this implies improving sentiment in the Asian manufacturing sectors — a positive factor for the industrial metals consumption (e.g. steel, aluminum and copper)
#PMIs
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
Morning Bites (part 1)
💍Hong Kong jewellery and watch sales dropped 21% YoY in May, decelerating from the 29% YoY decline in April, according to the government data. Sales were also down 40% vs. the pre-Covid May 2019. According to Rapaport, the demand for local diamonds was rather sluggish, as Chinese consumers preferred investing in gold, rather than buying diamonds. Despite the soft demand in HK, sentiment on the key US market (~53% of the world's gem-set jewellery trade) remains strong, which might accelerate the industry's stock release in 2024 and add support to the stressed diamond sector, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
💍Hong Kong jewellery and watch sales dropped 21% YoY in May, decelerating from the 29% YoY decline in April, according to the government data. Sales were also down 40% vs. the pre-Covid May 2019. According to Rapaport, the demand for local diamonds was rather sluggish, as Chinese consumers preferred investing in gold, rather than buying diamonds. Despite the soft demand in HK, sentiment on the key US market (~53% of the world's gem-set jewellery trade) remains strong, which might accelerate the industry's stock release in 2024 and add support to the stressed diamond sector, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
Morning Bites (part 2)
💎Kimberley Process has reported an 8% YoY drop, to 111.5mnct, in global diamond production in 2023, vs the revised 2% YoY increase in 2022. Botswana's output was up 2% YoY, while production in Russia decreased 11% YoY to 37.3mnct. The output in the rest of the world is estimated to have contracted 13% YoY in 2023. In our view, subdued downstream demand and the release of trader inventories has put pressure on the diamond market in 2022-23. The discipline measures taken by De Beers and Alrosa, implementing their price-over-volume strategy, also tightened global supply. Persisting weak prices continue to weigh on global producers. As such, Petra Diamonds has recently announced production guidance cuts of 20% for fiscal 2025-26 in order to optimise costs. Amid supply response, we affirm our view that the market is currently bottoming out and expect to see first signs of recovery in the coming 3-6 months
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
💎Kimberley Process has reported an 8% YoY drop, to 111.5mnct, in global diamond production in 2023, vs the revised 2% YoY increase in 2022. Botswana's output was up 2% YoY, while production in Russia decreased 11% YoY to 37.3mnct. The output in the rest of the world is estimated to have contracted 13% YoY in 2023. In our view, subdued downstream demand and the release of trader inventories has put pressure on the diamond market in 2022-23. The discipline measures taken by De Beers and Alrosa, implementing their price-over-volume strategy, also tightened global supply. Persisting weak prices continue to weigh on global producers. As such, Petra Diamonds has recently announced production guidance cuts of 20% for fiscal 2025-26 in order to optimise costs. Amid supply response, we affirm our view that the market is currently bottoming out and expect to see first signs of recovery in the coming 3-6 months
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
Morning Bites (part 1)
🇨🇱Chile’s copper output jumped 8% YoY in May, mostly due to the low base effect, after the -2% YoY seen in April, according to the INE data. To recap, Codelco (the leading Chilean miner; ~7% of global Cu supply) plans to increase output up to 5% YoY in 2024. That would bolster local production, which is still being affected by negative structural effects (e.g. ore depletion) and unfavourable weather conditions
In 2023, Chile accounted for ~24% of global copper supply
#copper
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Copper
🇨🇱Chile’s copper output jumped 8% YoY in May, mostly due to the low base effect, after the -2% YoY seen in April, according to the INE data. To recap, Codelco (the leading Chilean miner; ~7% of global Cu supply) plans to increase output up to 5% YoY in 2024. That would bolster local production, which is still being affected by negative structural effects (e.g. ore depletion) and unfavourable weather conditions
In 2023, Chile accounted for ~24% of global copper supply
#copper
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Copper
Morning Bites (part 2)
💎US jewellery sales inched up 1% YoY in May, after the revised +3% YoY in April (and marking the seventh consecutive YoY gain), IDEX reports, citing the US Department of Commerce. According to Rapaport, local diamond trading was seasonally slow, without notable market-moving events, while retailers are not restocking at the moment, as inventories remain at elevated levels. We reiterate our view that the gradual recovery in US demand could speed up the release of industry inventories, supporting sentiment in the global diamond market
The US accounts for ~53% of global gem-set jewellery demand
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
💎US jewellery sales inched up 1% YoY in May, after the revised +3% YoY in April (and marking the seventh consecutive YoY gain), IDEX reports, citing the US Department of Commerce. According to Rapaport, local diamond trading was seasonally slow, without notable market-moving events, while retailers are not restocking at the moment, as inventories remain at elevated levels. We reiterate our view that the gradual recovery in US demand could speed up the release of industry inventories, supporting sentiment in the global diamond market
The US accounts for ~53% of global gem-set jewellery demand
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
Morning Bites (part 1)
🚘 New car registrations in France, the UK, Spain, Italy and Germany rose 4% YoY in June, after the -2% YoY in May. The figure also remained below the pre-COVID level (-15% vs. June 2019). Specifically, in Germany and Italy, car sales were 9% and 7% lower vs. June 2019, respectively, while registrations in France and Spain were 21% weaker. UK car sales were 20% below those in June 2019
Given that these five countries represented >70% of new vehicle registrations in Europe in 2023, local car sales likely remained subdued in June
#cars
https://metals-wire.com/sector/PGM
🚘 New car registrations in France, the UK, Spain, Italy and Germany rose 4% YoY in June, after the -2% YoY in May. The figure also remained below the pre-COVID level (-15% vs. June 2019). Specifically, in Germany and Italy, car sales were 9% and 7% lower vs. June 2019, respectively, while registrations in France and Spain were 21% weaker. UK car sales were 20% below those in June 2019
Given that these five countries represented >70% of new vehicle registrations in Europe in 2023, local car sales likely remained subdued in June
#cars
https://metals-wire.com/sector/PGM
Morning Bites (part 2)
💎Petra Diamonds’ LFL rough prices at its 7th tender slid 4% from its 6th auction, while realised volumes declined 9% over the previous cycle, according to the company's press release. Meanwhile, average LFL prices for fiscal 2024 (ended on 30 June 2024) were down 12% YoY. According to Petra CEO Richard Duffy, LFL prices in this tender were subdued due to the ongoing soft demand (which is expected to last until the end of 2024, per Petra), exacerbated by seasonal weakness. Petra has also maintained its recently lowered guidance amid the unfavourable price environment
Although weak upstream sales indicate still elevated industry stocks, solid downstream demand in the key US market (~53% of global gem-set jewellery demand) might accelerate the release of inventories and bolster the stressed diamond market, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
💎Petra Diamonds’ LFL rough prices at its 7th tender slid 4% from its 6th auction, while realised volumes declined 9% over the previous cycle, according to the company's press release. Meanwhile, average LFL prices for fiscal 2024 (ended on 30 June 2024) were down 12% YoY. According to Petra CEO Richard Duffy, LFL prices in this tender were subdued due to the ongoing soft demand (which is expected to last until the end of 2024, per Petra), exacerbated by seasonal weakness. Petra has also maintained its recently lowered guidance amid the unfavourable price environment
Although weak upstream sales indicate still elevated industry stocks, solid downstream demand in the key US market (~53% of global gem-set jewellery demand) might accelerate the release of inventories and bolster the stressed diamond market, we believe
#diamonds
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Diamonds
Morning Bites (part 1)
🔗CISA mills' daily crude steel production in late-June was reported at 2.17mnt, down 0.8% from the previous ten days and -3.5% YoY. Meanwhile, local steel inventories decreased 10.5% over the period (and were also down 0.6% YoY). In our view, the overall sluggish domestic steel demand, which has triggered exports growth, might keep weighing on China’s steel production (based on the CISA data, -1.4% YoY in 6mo24)
China accounts for ~57% of global steel supply
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
🔗CISA mills' daily crude steel production in late-June was reported at 2.17mnt, down 0.8% from the previous ten days and -3.5% YoY. Meanwhile, local steel inventories decreased 10.5% over the period (and were also down 0.6% YoY). In our view, the overall sluggish domestic steel demand, which has triggered exports growth, might keep weighing on China’s steel production (based on the CISA data, -1.4% YoY in 6mo24)
China accounts for ~57% of global steel supply
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
Morning Bites (part 2)
🪨 Anglo American has declared a force majeure at its Grosvenor coking coal mine, following an underground methane gas explosion, Argus reports. According to the miner, it might take several months to extinguish the underground fire at Grosvenor, which was expected to produce 3.5mnt of coking coal in 2024F (~1% of global seaborne trade)
Overall, the protracted supply disruption might support global coking coal prices, at least in the short-term, we believe
#coal
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Coal
🪨 Anglo American has declared a force majeure at its Grosvenor coking coal mine, following an underground methane gas explosion, Argus reports. According to the miner, it might take several months to extinguish the underground fire at Grosvenor, which was expected to produce 3.5mnt of coking coal in 2024F (~1% of global seaborne trade)
Overall, the protracted supply disruption might support global coking coal prices, at least in the short-term, we believe
#coal
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Coal
Morning Bites (part 3)
🏦 The PBoC's gold reserves remained unchanged for the second month in June, after 18 consecutive months of accumulation, Bloomberg reports, citing official data. Between November 2022 and April 2024, China’s central bank added ~316t of gold (~5% of annualised demand) to its holdings, which currently stand at 2,264t.
However, we recap that, based on the WGC data, reported central bank gold purchases have accounted for <40% of its total official sector demand estimate in the last two years (16% in 1Q24)
Hence, despite the halt in official PBoC purchases, we do not expect material short-term pressure on gold, which continues to trade above its fundamentally reasonable level (2,200-2,300 USD/t for 2024, on our numbers)
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
🏦 The PBoC's gold reserves remained unchanged for the second month in June, after 18 consecutive months of accumulation, Bloomberg reports, citing official data. Between November 2022 and April 2024, China’s central bank added ~316t of gold (~5% of annualised demand) to its holdings, which currently stand at 2,264t.
However, we recap that, based on the WGC data, reported central bank gold purchases have accounted for <40% of its total official sector demand estimate in the last two years (16% in 1Q24)
Hence, despite the halt in official PBoC purchases, we do not expect material short-term pressure on gold, which continues to trade above its fundamentally reasonable level (2,200-2,300 USD/t for 2024, on our numbers)
#gold
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Gold
Morning Bites (part 1)
🏗China’s excavator sales rose 5% YoY in June (domestic + export), in line with the +6% YoY in May, according to the CCMA data. The figure was also above CME estimates. Specifically, domestic sales were up 26% YoY (although still 55% lower than June 2021), which might indicate that local construction activity is bottoming out. Although the latest government incentives are in our view insufficient for a full-scale recovery in China's property sector, we believe that additional measures, which might be announced after the Third Plenum meeting (15-18 July), would offer reason to be upbeat
China accounts for 52% of global steel consumption, and for 57% and 61% of world Cu and Al demand, respectively
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
🏗China’s excavator sales rose 5% YoY in June (domestic + export), in line with the +6% YoY in May, according to the CCMA data. The figure was also above CME estimates. Specifically, domestic sales were up 26% YoY (although still 55% lower than June 2021), which might indicate that local construction activity is bottoming out. Although the latest government incentives are in our view insufficient for a full-scale recovery in China's property sector, we believe that additional measures, which might be announced after the Third Plenum meeting (15-18 July), would offer reason to be upbeat
China accounts for 52% of global steel consumption, and for 57% and 61% of world Cu and Al demand, respectively
#steel
https://metals-wire.com/sector/Steel
Morning Bites (part 2)
🚘US light vehicle sales were down 3% YoY in June, reversing from the 5% YoY growth in May. The figure was also 13% below the pre-Covid 2019 level. Similarly, seasonally-adjusted sales volumes were down 3% YoY last month and remained -12% vs. the 2019 level. In our view, the still weak automotive demand, along with the growing appetite for EVs globally, is likely to weigh further on PGM consumption
On our numbers, North America accounted for 22% and 15% of world autocatalyst Pd and Pt consumption, respectively, in 2023
#cars
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
🚘US light vehicle sales were down 3% YoY in June, reversing from the 5% YoY growth in May. The figure was also 13% below the pre-Covid 2019 level. Similarly, seasonally-adjusted sales volumes were down 3% YoY last month and remained -12% vs. the 2019 level. In our view, the still weak automotive demand, along with the growing appetite for EVs globally, is likely to weigh further on PGM consumption
On our numbers, North America accounted for 22% and 15% of world autocatalyst Pd and Pt consumption, respectively, in 2023
#cars
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
Morning Bites (part 1)
📈Gold-backed ETFs again raised their gold holdings, up 18t in June, following the +8t in May. According to the World Gold Council (WGC), last month's inflows were concentrated in Europe (+18t) and Asia (+7t), while North American funds sold net 8t
ETFs' return to buying gold, after a long period of selling, creates additional fundamental support for the metal. We estimate that the gold price has exceeded its fundamentally reasonable level of USD 2,200-2,300/oz in 2024 following the persistently strong demand from global central banks and in light of a widely expected US Federal Reserve funds rate cut in 2024. However, gold has more upside risks, such as geopolitical tensions and the upcoming Fed fund rate cut
#ETF #gold
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports
📈Gold-backed ETFs again raised their gold holdings, up 18t in June, following the +8t in May. According to the World Gold Council (WGC), last month's inflows were concentrated in Europe (+18t) and Asia (+7t), while North American funds sold net 8t
ETFs' return to buying gold, after a long period of selling, creates additional fundamental support for the metal. We estimate that the gold price has exceeded its fundamentally reasonable level of USD 2,200-2,300/oz in 2024 following the persistently strong demand from global central banks and in light of a widely expected US Federal Reserve funds rate cut in 2024. However, gold has more upside risks, such as geopolitical tensions and the upcoming Fed fund rate cut
#ETF #gold
https://metals-wire.com/news-reports