🚨Bitget’s 2025 Recap: Bitcoin and Gold Lead as ‘Safe Haven’ Assets as Dollar Posts Worst Yearly Loss

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🚫 New Legislation Aims to Prevent Insider Trading in Prediction Markets

📜 The Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 is set to be introduced with the support of Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY). This bill seeks to prohibit federal officials, including elected representatives and Executive Branch employees, from engaging in prediction-market contracts when they possess or could access material nonpublic information through their official duties.

⚖️ The legislation specifically targets trades related to government policies and actions on platforms involved in interstate commerce. It aims to address concerns over insider trading allegations, particularly in light of a recent incident where a trader reportedly made a $400,000 profit in under 24 hours from a Polymarket bet regarding a leadership change in Venezuela.

What does the bill prohibit? It bans federal officials from transacting in prediction-market contracts when they have or could obtain insider information.

📍 The bill's introduction was prompted by a specific event: a newly created Polymarket account invested $30,000 in a contract predicting Maduro's exit. Following the U.S. detention of Maduro, the trader profited significantly within a short timeframe.

Where will the restrictions apply? To any prediction-market platform engaged in interstate commerce within the United States.

🔍 The proposed restrictions will apply to all prediction-market platforms operating within the United States that engage in interstate commerce. The legislation is deemed necessary to uphold market fairness and maintain public confidence by preventing abuses related to insider trading.

📉 Bitcoin ETFs Face Outflows as Ether, XRP, and Solana Show Resilience

🔄 On Tuesday, the crypto ETF landscape experienced a significant shift as bitcoin saw heavy outflows while ether continued its upward trend. XRP and Solana also gained momentum amidst a mixed trading session.

📉 Bitcoin ETFs reported a net outflow of $243.34 million, primarily due to Fidelity’s FBTC which alone lost $312.24 million. Grayscale’s GBTC followed with an exit of $83.07 million and other funds like Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB and Vaneck’s HODL also faced outflows. Blackrock’s IBIT was the exception, gaining $228.66 million.

📈 In contrast, ether ETFs saw a third consecutive session of recovery with an inflow of $114.74 million. Blackrock’s ETHA led this charge with a significant entry of $198.80 million. However, some funds like Grayscale’s ETHE and Fidelity’s FETH experienced exits.

📊 XRP ETFs recorded $19.12 million in inflows with Franklin’s XRPZ leading the way. Solana ETFs also remained positive, attracting $9.22 million primarily driven by Fidelity’s FSOL.

🔍 Overall, Tuesday's trading highlighted a clear divide in investor behavior. While bitcoin faced profit-taking after a recent surge, ether maintained its rebound and XRP and Solana continued to attract steady demand.

📈 American Banks Boost Coinbase's Stock Outlook

💬 Two major American banks have recently improved their outlook on Coinbase, the leading crypto exchange in the United States. Bank of America raised its price target for Coinbase's stock (COIN) to $340, a 41% increase from current levels. This decision was influenced by several key factors that could enhance COIN's value in the near future.

📊 The bank highlighted Coinbase's strategic move towards becoming an "everything exchange" by incorporating stock trading and prediction markets.

COIN detailed its expansion into stock/ETG trading and prediction markets for the first time. This supports its objective of becoming the everything exchange

said the bank. Bank of America also suggested that the anticipated launch of a native token for Base, Coinbase's Ethereum layer two chain, could serve as a bullish catalyst. Analysts noted that

a native token launch would incentivize builders, creators and early adopters

and could raise billions in cash for the company.

🔍 Goldman Sachs also upgraded COIN from neutral to "Buy," expressing increased optimism about the crypto market. The bank echoed Bank of America's views on Coinbase's expansion into new services beyond crypto trading. It emphasized the exchange's shift towards growing products like tokenization and prediction markets.

📉 Despite these upgrades, COIN was trading just above $240, down over 46% from its all-time high. However, both banks see Coinbase as a long-term leader in the crypto space and a trusted platform with the #1 market share in the U.S. as the world continues to adopt crypto technologies.

📈 Crypto ETFs Surge as Bitcoin Leads the Charge

📊 Crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced a significant boost, marking their second consecutive day of gains, driven by Bitcoin's strongest inflow of 2026. This resurgence in investor confidence also benefited Ether, XRP, and Solana funds.

💰 Bitcoin ETFs saw a remarkable net inflow of $753.73 million, the largest daily intake for this category in 2026. Fidelity’s FBTC led the way with $351.36 million, followed by Bitwise’s BITB at $159.42 million and Blackrock’s IBIT with $126.27 million. Other contributors included Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB ($84.88 million) and Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ($18.80 million). Notably, there were no outflows recorded across the complex.

📈 Ether ETFs also showed positive momentum with a $129.99 million inflow. Blackrock’s ETHA topped the list with $53.31 million, while Grayscale’s Ether Mini Trust attracted $35.42 million. Bitwise’s ETHW added $22.96 million, and Fidelity’s FETH brought in $14.38 million.

📊 XRP ETFs continued their positive trend with a $12.98 million inflow. Grayscale’s GXRP led with $7.86 million, followed by Canary’s XRPC and Bitwise’s XRP with additions of $2.73 million and $2.39 million, respectively.

🌱 Solana ETFs also posted gains with a $5.91 million inflow, driven entirely by Fidelity’s FSOL.

Bitcoin’s explosive inflow set the tone, ether confirmed follow-through demand, while XRP and solana ETFs continued to attract steady allocations.

📈 This synchronized performance across various crypto ETFs signals a significant rebound in investor confidence as we move deeper into January.

🌍 Ark Investment Management Predicts Digital Assets Could Reach $28 Trillion by 2030

📈 According to Ark Investment Management's recent report, Big Ideas 2026, the global digital asset market is projected to experience significant growth, potentially reaching $28 trillion by 2030. This forecast is driven by increased blockchain adoption, bitcoin dominance, and the expansion of smart contract platforms.

Digital assets could reach $28 trillion in market value in 2030,

Ark stated in its report. It outlines a base-case scenario where the total digital asset market capitalization rises from approximately $2 trillion in 2025 to around $28 trillion by 2030. This implies an estimated compound annual growth rate of about 61%.

The report further explains that the market for smart contract networks and pure-play digital currencies could grow at an annual rate of ~61% to $28 trillion in 2030. Ark believes that bitcoin could account for 70% of this market, with the remainder dominated by smart contract networks like Ethereum and Solana.

📊 Ark's projections indicate that cryptocurrencies could expand to roughly $22 trillion to $23 trillion by 2030, while smart contract platforms may grow to an estimated $5 trillion to $6 trillion. This upward trajectory highlights Ark's view that digital assets are entering a period of rapid adoption.

The analysis links this anticipated growth to structural shifts within the digital asset ecosystem. Bitcoin is expected to remain the dominant player in the cryptocurrency segment due to institutional investment and its role as a digital alternative to gold. Meanwhile, smart contract networks are projected to capture significant value through decentralized finance and tokenized real-world assets.

While Ark emphasizes that long-term projections carry uncertainty,

the data presented positions digital assets as a multi-tens-of-trillions-of-dollars market by 2030. This suggests that the sector could rival major traditional asset classes in scale.

🚨 Rising Odds of Government Shutdown Amidst Democratic Opposition to DHS Funding

📈 The likelihood of a government shutdown has surged on Polymarket following recent unrest in Minnesota, which has led Democrats to oppose a funding bill that would combine Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding with other federal agency budgets. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer stated he would vote no if the bill was presented in that way.

💰 On Saturday, Polymarket reported a 74% chance of a government shutdown occurring by January 31st, the highest odds recorded. This shift in the prediction market comes after a shooting incident involving Border Patrol agents in Minnesota, which has intensified Democrats' resistance to funding the DHS amidst concerns over ICE enforcement actions against U.S. citizens.

The DHS bill is woefully inadequate to rein in the abuses of ICE. I will vote no,

Schumer emphasized, adding that Senate Democrats would not support the appropriations bill if it included DHS funding. He called for the bill to be restructured and for more time to be allocated to address DHS funding issues.

⏳ If an agreement is not reached, the Trump administration could face its second government shutdown after experiencing the largest appropriations lapse in history on October 1st, which disrupted access to critical data and services.

🔍 In summary, the Polymarket prediction market indicates a significant possibility of a government shutdown due to Democratic opposition to DHS funding, with Chuck Schumer leading the call for a reevaluation of the appropriations bill.

🪙 Gold's Rise and the Dollar's Fate: Diverging Perspectives

🔍 As gold and silver prices reach historic highs in early 2026, two analysts present contrasting views on the implications for the U.S. dollar and global markets. Alexander Campbell, a former commodities head at Bridgewater Associates, argues that the rise in precious metals does not signal a decline of the dollar. He asserts that the global financial system remains dollar-centric, supported by U.S. capital markets and military backing.

📉 Campbell emphasizes that gold serves primarily as a portfolio hedge rather than a direct bet against the dollar. He states,

My gold and silver positions are implicitly short dollars. Every ounce I own was purchased by selling dollars.

He notes that recent dollar declines are modest historically and that narratives of collapse are disconnected from long-term price trends. Instead of focusing on currency speculation, Campbell highlights capital flows as a more significant indicator of dollar strength.

📊 In contrast, Peter Girnus, a senior threat researcher at Trend Micro, interprets recent dollar weakness as a result of intentional policy choices. He references a 2024 policy paper by Stephen Miran that advocates for strategic dollar devaluation to restructure global trade. Girnus points out that the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen to its lowest level since early 2022, which he views as a trend-driven development rather than a temporary fluctuation.

📈 He also highlights the surge in gold prices above $5,000 per ounce as being driven by central bank demand, particularly from emerging markets like China. Girnus argues that the loss of the dollar's purchasing power over the years and the end of gold convertibility in 1971 have created an environment where inflation and currency devaluation are preferred methods for managing federal debt.

🗣 Girnus states,

You don’t pay down 134% debt-to-GDP. You inflate it away. You devalue the currency it’s denominated in.

He raises concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve amidst growing alignment between fiscal and monetary objectives.

⚖️ The divergence in these perspectives underscores a broader debate in 2026 about the long-term resilience of reserve-currency status versus the potential for controlled adjustments over time. While both analysts agree that gold's rise reflects structural forces, they differ on the interpretation of dollar dynamics—with Campbell seeing dollar dominance as intact and Girnus viewing dollar depreciation as a deliberate policy outcome.

🚨 Breaking: Trump Nominates Pro-Bitcoin Kevin Warsh As Next Fed Chair

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🎢 Bitcoin Rollercoaster Resistance and the Lack of Relief

📈 As of February 1, 2026, Bitcoin is valued at $78,634 with a market capitalization of $1.57 trillion. Despite a high 24-hour trading volume of $83.65 billion, the market struggles to form a recovery narrative. BTC/USD price fluctuations between $77,082 and $82,733 suggest a temporary fix rather than a definitive breakout.

📉 The daily chart reveals a dramatic drop to the $75,500 zone following a collapse from the $88,000–$90,000 range. This movement is identified as a classic liquidation confirmed by a volume spike. Traders seeking a trend reversal require a daily close above $86,000, as anything below remains speculative optimism.

⚖️ On the 4-hour timeframe, consolidation and indecision prevail between $76,000 and $77,000. While sellers appear to be taking a breather, the asset lacks the momentum for a sustained rally. Resistance at $84,000 remains strong, and every price spike looks like a trap until Bitcoin reclaims $80,500.

🔍 Shorter-term analysis on the 1-hour chart shows Bitcoin trapped between $77,800 and $79,500 with flattening momentum. Significant movements depend on breaking $80,500 to the upside or $77,200 to the downside. Technical oscillators like the RSI at 25 and the CCI at −195 indicate oversold conditions, yet momentum indicators like the MACD at −2,509 suggest continued downward pressure.

⚰️ Moving averages paint a grim picture, with all major EMA and SMA levels from 10 to 200 periods sitting well above the current price. Notable levels include the 10-period EMA at $84,768 and the 200-period SMA at $103,952. Until BTC recovers these zones, the broader trend remains under heavy resistance.

🐻 The bearish outlook remains dominant as Bitcoin stays below every key moving average. Analysts suggest that until the price reclaims $86,000 with significant volume, rallies will likely be sold off quickly. The current structure indicates that the trend is still bearish without signs of exhaustion.