Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)

Belarus has increased its military presence in the regions bordering Ukraine. Units of the Ground Forces were redeployed to Stolin, Lelchytsy, Mazyr and Homiel districts.

In late December, an IL-76 military transport aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces arrived in Belarus from Russia.

The full report on military activity in Belarus on December 23-January 5:
https://hajun.info/reports/military-activity-on-the-territory-of-belarus-on-december-23-january-5/

Online map of military activity in Belarus: map.hajun.info/

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Grog_IsGood @clashreport: Actually, there are over 15,000 visitors to the Eiffel Tower per day, depending on the day of the year there maybe many more. And likely over 1,000 in the Eiffel Tower at once.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@ukraine_map @Grog_IsGood @clashreport: Most of them are at the base, lower levels.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Heroiam_Slava: Let’s not pretend that Denmark 🇩🇰 was ever going to be able to stop US from invading Greenland 🇬🇱

It’s doubtful that 155mm shells were going to do much either. They are getting F-35s from the US by the way.

The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @MT_Anderson: 🚨update🚨
🇷🇺Med Sea Flotilla🇷🇺
Landsat8-9 of Tartus (10 Jan 2025)

While Sparta still waits outside Syrian territorial waters, there appear to be 2x vessels at the 🇷🇺naval piers

Both look commercial although this is where the weapons runners have loaded/unloaded in the past

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

This is very interesting but not a cause for panic yet.

An invasion of Taiwan would be the most complex operation in history and while China is preparing and training, they still have a way to go before they can put such an operation together, especially against US intervention.

The Lookout (Twitter)

Amphibious operations are in general very weather dependent and we know from history that Mulberry type operations are especially vulnerable.

As China gets more prepared, years IMO, the climate and weather will determine what time of year an invasion actually is possible.

The Lookout (Twitter)

Another historical note:

Leading up to the Normandy landings, the Allies had the opportunity to learn lessons from Torch, Sicily, Salerno, Anzio and a whole host of operations in the Pacific.

The Chinese will get one real shot, with all preparations done in peacetime.

The Lookout (Twitter)

@MatejRisko: There are other options short of a cross strait invasion they could go for. Some of them would require much less preparations, thus shortening the warning time.

Their main problem though, is how to treat the prospect of US and even perhaps Japanese intervention once things go beyond a certain level.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Украинский дрон в засаде
t.me/ua_regteam/278 #RussianUkrainianWar

The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @MT_Anderson: 🇷🇺Med Sea Flotilla🇷🇺
While this image (30cm) is old, from xmas (25 Dec 2024), some on here will find this as an interesting data point

Project 22010 Class Intelligence ship - Yantar was spotted ~4.7km SW of Tartus with what is likely a small supply vessel heading back to Tartus

The Lookout (Twitter)

@limakilo87: I haven't been able to properly read up on China due to the war but I think they can reach that level at some point.

Others have done it before them, building a rather capable organization almost from scratch. Imperial Japan and the Soviet Navy under Admiral Gorshkov comes to mind.

‌Status-6 (Twitter)

RT @militarnyi: 💥 A Ukrainian long-range Neptune missile hit a military depot in the Rostov region.

First, SSU drones overwhelmed Russian air defense.

Then a long-range Neptune missile was launched at the Russian military facility.

https://mil.in.ua/en/news/neptune-missile-hits-military-warehouse-in-rostov-region/