tom (Twitter)

RT @MJ_Cruickshank: I built an OSINT tool called TGeocoder that enables you to quickly parse Telegram channels to extract key event info, geocode each event found within the messages to specific lat/lon coordinates, and then plot it on an interactive map.

https://github.com/MJCruickshank/TGeocoder

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

/4. POV of the fire on Engels oil depot: (51.4363613, 46.0874839)

From the video it seems that at least 2 areas with 4 tanks in each are on fire.

Status-6 (Twitter)

RT @NewsWire_US: GOV. NEWSOM MOBILIZES CALIFORNIA NATIONAL GUARD

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

RT @bodmiruk: Вперше брали участь у відбитті механізованого масованого штурму. Оскільки ми знаходимось в підпорядкуванні одної з найсильніших бригад – техніку роз’їбали дуже швидко. Цікаво подивитися було б якусь статистику, що саме зупиняло і знищувало техніку в цифрах: мінування, птури, 👇

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

GeoConfirmed UKR - Investigation

When Ukraine undertakes offensive operations, Russia attempts to manipulate/influence the information environment.

For nearly three years, we have been monitoring the war in Ukraine, and another notable trend has emerged:
whenever Ukraine initiates an offensive operation, social media becomes inundated with claims of significant Ukrainian losses. However, we have observed that these claims often consist of disinformation: they may reference outdated losses, incidents from different regions, or even Russian losses reported as Ukrainian losses... (I kid you not).
This misinformation is often compiled in a way that suggests Ukraine's offensive efforts are failing, thereby attempting to sway public perception.

Recently, as Ukraine commenced an offensive operation (January 4th, 2025), again bold claims were made about Ukrainian losses.

We took a few days to investigate two specific assertions: one from a relatively...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

We will start by the North Wind claim.

"In the area of ​​the settlement of Berdin in the Kursk region, several columns of armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attempted to attack the positions of the Severyans. For most of the armored vehicles and tanks, as well as their crews, the counteroffensive ended as soon as it began. FPV crews, operators of the Lancet loitering munitions, artillery and mortar crews of the Guards "North" actively struck enemy targets. We see the results in the footage.

Such a quantity of "smoking trash of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" clearly shows the attitude of the Ukrainian command to its servicemen. This was another ruthless "meat" assault in the style of Syrsky, and the units of the Guards "North" successfully repelled it."

Ironically, the large number of losses depicted starting at 0:29 are Russian losses incurred during their offensive in mid-December while attacking Ukrainian-occupied territory in Kursk...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Proof:

Geolocation: 51.311532, 35.063038

Great factchecking by @giK1893 in this thread: https://x.com/giK1893/status/1876000942518325753

Picture one:
Geolocation of the Russian losses:
- based on the information provided by ukr.warspotting.net/:
https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/32650/ https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/32569/ https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/32961/ https://ukr.warspotting.net/view/32642/
- based on video of the Ukrainian 36th Marine Brigade , published 17 December 2024, the showingll the Russian losses in the region: https://tttttt.me/ua_marines_36brigade/2562

Picture two:
Green circle: Russian losses mid-December
Bluerrows: Ukrainian offensive operations which started January 4th, 2025.

Video: Russian losses filmed by the Ukrainian 36th Marine Brigade, published 17 December 2024

Conclusion: North Wind has presented Russian losses from mid-December, misrepresenting thems Ukrainian losses from the recent offensive. Geolocationnalysis...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

The NewRulesGeopolitics claim.
Almost 4 million views.

We have analyzed every tweet in our fact-checking thread. We use screenshots to ensure that no source footage has been altered.
There are 15 tweets, some of which contain multiple videos.

Tweet 1.

Important for tweet 1 is that you need to notice that his thread is about the new offensive in Kursk region, claiming it's a disaster and destroying Ukrainian armor like a fish in a barrel.

Tweet 1 - Analysis.
The text is to draw attention with bold claims and a picture that is made by Grok. That's how he tries to draw attention to his thread, and it worked...

After called out for the fake imagery he placed a tweet explaining himself:
https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876281595700851110

Conclusion Tweet 1: Fake picture and bold -not yet proven- claims.

4/20

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@NewRulesGeo: Tweet 4:

Russian Ka-52 helicopter BARBECUES Ukrainian armoured column on the move in Kursk

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267164296241200

Analysis Tweet 4.

It is impossible to conduct a proper geolocation or accurately assess what is depicted here. The source is North Wind, and given the quality of their assessments (sarcasm intended), as noted at the beginning of our thread, this footage could be from any location. It may be true, or it may not be.

Conclusion Tweet 4:
Showing grainy footage with very bold claim that is impossible to prove based on the footage. The source has been proven untrustworthy.

7/20 https://twitter.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267164296241200#m

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@NewRulesGeo: Tweet 5:

Russian Spetsnaz drone operators BLOW UP a Ukrainian minesweeper, and them immediately HUNT DOWN a Ukrainian armoured column in Kursk.

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267167383228785

Analysis Tweet 5:

This footage consists of 3 different frames:
Frame 1:

0:00-0:27 - Ukrainian WiSENT 1 (mine clearing vehicle) hit by a Russian FPV drone with fiber-optic cable, result unclear.
51.303784, 35.407007
8C34+GR6 Berdin, Kursk Oblast, Russia

0:28-0:35 - The same WiSENT 1 as above, hit by a Russian FPV drone with fiber-optic cable, result unclear.
51.307664, 35.406637
8C54+3M6 Berdin, Kursk Oblast, Russia

0:35-End - Ukrainian tank hit by a Russian FPV drone with fiber-optic cable, result unclear.
51.28944, 35.39949
79QX+QQH Kruglik, Kursk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @GeoRaccoon and @moklasen

Geolocation: (1)x.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1876961462800749005
(2)
https://x.com/moklasen/status/1875949210413224109
(3)...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@NewRulesGeo: Tweet 6:

Russian drone surveils DESTROYED Ukrainian armoured vehicles Kursk

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267170709332030

Analysis Tweet 6:

Ukrainian armoured vehicle burning and one vehicle attacked by an FPV Suicide drone, during the Ukrainian offensive operation the direction of Berdin, Kursk Oblast.

Burning vehicle - 51.297164, 35.407061
7CW4+VR7 Berdin, Kursk Oblast, Russia

Rough location of the attacked vehicle - 51.29707, 35.40608
7CW4+RCG Berdin, Kursk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @GeoRaccoon

Geolocation: https://x.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1876993397132493291
https://x.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1876990248606990401

Sources: https://x.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1876993394527920382
t.me/RosgvardOfficial/8432
Secondary sources, showing samecident from other angle)
https://x.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1876990245788410000
t.me/pograni4nik_iz_ada/9116

Conclusion Tweet 6:

Based on geolocation, showing the offensive maneuver...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Tweet 7.

Ukrainian soldiers films aftermath of Russian drone strike against Ukrainian column in Kursk. Absolutely brutal 🤙

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267174039613951

Analysis Tweet 7:

We were not able to geolocate this yet. The original footage is shared by @Harri_Est ( https://x.com/Harri_Est/status/1875398781384139263) on X in the early morning of January 4th. Also two ambulances are visible, meaning this is highly likely in the rear. Based on the timing and the two ambulances, it's likely not related to the Ukrainian offensive operation, but it still could be. Impossible to prove without geolocation.
Our team is looking further into this.

Conclusion Tweet 7:
Unknown geolocation, likely not related to the Ukrainian offensive operation, unless proven otherwise by -for example- geolocation.

10/20

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@NewRulesGeo: Tweet 8.

Russian drone operators CHEER as they watch a Ukrainian T-72 tank in Kursk go KABOOM.

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267177202057539

Analysis Tweet 8:

A Ukrainian T-64BV tank destroyed by a Russian FPV drone with fiber-optic cable.

51.160883, 35.303758
5863+9G2 Makhnovka, Kursk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @giK1893

Geolocation: https://x.com/giK1893/status/1875208940495208490
Gear ID:
t.me/lost_warinua/101643

Location: https://geoconfirmed.org/ukraine/27e8c015-9061-414c-1551-08dd0945b046

Sources: Vid1 (January 3th, 2025)
https://x.com/giK1893/status/1875208944018415851
t.me/rusich_army/19833
Vid2
https://x.com/99Dominik_/status/1875823535081525535
t.me/veterany_60omsb/2209

Conclusion Tweet 8:

Unrelated to the Ukrainianfensive operation: Footage was published before the start that operation and the location is in Makhnovka, Kursk Oblast, Russia, far away from the Ukrainianfensive and during the Russian...

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‌GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

If you like our work you can buy us a coffee.
This helps:
Improving our maps and user interface.
Improving data management.
Buying Sat Img for confirmations and investigations.

More information about our work:
World: geoconfirmed.org/world (460+)
Ukraine: geoconfirmed.org/ukraine (38750+)
Sahel: geoconfirmed.org/sahel (760+)
Syria: geoconfirmed.org/syria (950+)
Israel: geoconfirmed.org/israel (5250+)
Yemen: geoconfirmed.org/yemen (100+)
Myanmar: geoconfirmed.org/myanmar (650+)
Cartel Map: geoconfirmed.org/cartel (290+)

Thanks to all our volunteers all over the world! https://buymeacoffee.com/geoconfirmed

20/20

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Conclusion:

Post by North Wind showing Russian losses from mid December, claiming they are Ukrainian.

---

Thread by @NewRulesGeo:

Tweet 1: Fake picture.

Tweet 2, 3 and 9 (video 2): same tank, NOT related to the Ukrainian Offensive, based on location.

Tweet 4: Could be related to the Ukrainian Offensive. Showing grainy footage with very bold claim that is impossible to prove based on the footage. The source has been proven untrustworthy.

Tweet 5: Related to the Ukrainian Offensive, showing two drone strikes on the same vehicle and an attack on another.

Tweet 6: Related to the Ukrainian Offensive, showing one burning vehicle and a drone strike on another.

Tweet 7: Doubtfully related to the Ukrainian Offensive, based on the publication timing and two visible ambulances.

Tweet 8: NOT related to the Ukrainian Offensive, based on location.

Tweet 9: NOT related to the Ukrainian Offensive: besides showing the same tank attacked for the third time...

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@NewRulesGeo: Tweet 13.

Russian paratroopers capture American M577 command post carrier in Kursk

https://x.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267195329839490

Analysis Tweet 13:

Damaged/destroyed and captured Ukrainian M577 command post carrier at the gas station in Korenevo. This is de M557 that was destroyed at 2 Nov 2024 near 51.362000, 35.085111 (Location by lost-warinua)

51.426967, 34.885596
CVGP+Q6Q Korenevo, Kursk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @budeshta and @99Dominik_

Geolocation: https://x.com/budeshta/status/1876250150391394589
https://x.com/99Dominik_/status/1876347364086087805

Sources: https://x.com/99Dominik_/status/1876348027838869671
t.me/vdvpskov/6347
t.me/vdvpskov/6345
Gear ID:
t.me/lost_warinua/96944

Conclusion Tweet 13:

This is a left behind, in November 2024, captured Ukrainian M777, and not related to the Ukrainian offensive operation.

16/20 https://twitter.com/NewRulesGeo/status/1876267195329839490#m