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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @ryankakiuchan: Russian Navy Pacific Fleet corvettes Sovershennyy and Gromkiy transit the waters between Japan's Yonaguni and Iriomote Island southwestbound with a Dubna-class fleet oiler on May 14.
https://www.mod.go.jp/js/pdf/2023/p20230515_02.pdf https://twitter.com/ryankakiuchan/status/1658308761273139200/photo/1
The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @ryankakiuchan: Russian Navy Pacific Fleet corvette Gremyashchiy transits La Pérouse Strait (Sōya Strait) westbound from Sea of Okhotsk to Sea of Japan on May 15.
https://www.mod.go.jp/js/pdf/2023/p20230515_01.pdf https://twitter.com/ryankakiuchan/status/1658310701834977282/photo/1
The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @MT_Anderson: 🇷🇺RUSSIAN MED SEA FLOTILLA🇷🇺
0.5M📸 from 15 May 2023. Notables⬇️
Admiral Gorshkov (Gorshkov Class)
Orekhovo-Zuyevo (BUYAN-M)
KOLA (Oil Tanker)
SPARTA IV (Weapons Runner from Novorossiysk) https://twitter.com/MT_Anderson/status/1658240775598280704/photo/1
Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Любимый майор Сергей Ковков 1975 г.р. из Кургана в первых рядах вышел, как истинный офицер, показал всем пример и к 12/09/22 обратно зашёл https://archive.is/sugeU #вксрф #потерьнет #груз200
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@666_mancer:
#Гвардейское, Крым, продолжение
#всрф #груз200 #потерьнет #мемориал https://t.co/q7fE5ZqE3D
Rob Lee (Twitter)

They think that, under the most optimistic conditions for Russia, Russian's international trade situation will not normalize until 2027-2028 at the earliest, which means Russian arms exports will remain constrained until then as long as sanctions are in place. 2/
Rob Lee (Twitter)

They note that the ability of both sides to conduct maneuver became exhausted quickly, which led to a transition to positional combat. But they say it isn't clear if this was unique to this war or is representative of changes in warfare more broadly. 3/
Rob Lee (Twitter)

They argue the war has shown the decisive role played by ground forces because only they are capable of occupying and holding territory. They also noted that large amount of equipment and ammo required, though PGMs are an alternative to the large number of unguided munitions. 4/
Rob Lee (Twitter)

They emphasize the small, military tactical UAV as a new market (mostly COTS models now). They think there will be strong demand for C-UAS, 5th generation fighters, air defense, tactical PGMs (like NLOS), new tanks/armored vehicles, and coastal denial of access systems. 5/
Rob Lee (Twitter)

Lastly, they conclude that any normalization is unlikely because the West will not agree to any serious settlement with Russia unless Russia withdraws (or is forced) back to the February 24 borders. 6/