Rob Lee (Twitter)
The SpN channel says that assaulting strong points in forests and settlements was the most common mission for spetsnaz units for the 1st 6-7 months, including in Izyum, Kherson-Mykolaiv, Donetsk, and Mariupol despite not training for that mission. 6/
https://tttttt.me/ok_spn/23976
The SpN channel says that assaulting strong points in forests and settlements was the most common mission for spetsnaz units for the 1st 6-7 months, including in Izyum, Kherson-Mykolaiv, Donetsk, and Mariupol despite not training for that mission. 6/
https://tttttt.me/ok_spn/23976
😁20🤡3
Rob Lee (Twitter)
They dispute the 90% + losses, but said spetsnaz should have trained more on ATGMs, mortars, SPG-9, and AGS before the war and spetsnaz brigades need organic fire support companies. 7/
They dispute the 90% + losses, but said spetsnaz should have trained more on ATGMs, mortars, SPG-9, and AGS before the war and spetsnaz brigades need organic fire support companies. 7/
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Video of a Russian tank advancing in the Nevelskye area with support from TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS.
https://tttttt.me/btr80/6648
Video of a Russian tank advancing in the Nevelskye area with support from TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS.
https://tttttt.me/btr80/6648
Rob Lee (Twitter)
A Russian 9P135-series launcher for a Fagot/Konkurs ATGM with a jerry-rigged night vision/thermal optic.
https://tttttt.me/rusich_army/8548
A Russian 9P135-series launcher for a Fagot/Konkurs ATGM with a jerry-rigged night vision/thermal optic.
https://tttttt.me/rusich_army/8548
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russian snipers with SSG 08 rifles with clip on thermal/night optics.
https://tttttt.me/SlavjanskijRubezh/5119
Russian snipers with SSG 08 rifles with clip on thermal/night optics.
https://tttttt.me/SlavjanskijRubezh/5119
🤮5🖕2
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The timeline doesn't really fit:
March 2021: Russia begins buildup near Ukraine, including units from Siberia that would not return
April: Biden announces AFG withdrawal
August 3rd: First reports of new BARS reserve system (decision likely made in July)
August 15: Kabul falls
-----------
@MMazarr:
But: though frequently exaggerated, credibility is a thing. Lots of credible reports suggest Putin saw US flight from Afghanistan (not that we should have stayed!) as evidence that it wouldn't respond in Ukraine. Khrushchev put missiles in Cuba partly b/c he read JFK as weak https://t.co/fWs5EDTs6e
The timeline doesn't really fit:
March 2021: Russia begins buildup near Ukraine, including units from Siberia that would not return
April: Biden announces AFG withdrawal
August 3rd: First reports of new BARS reserve system (decision likely made in July)
August 15: Kabul falls
-----------
@MMazarr:
But: though frequently exaggerated, credibility is a thing. Lots of credible reports suggest Putin saw US flight from Afghanistan (not that we should have stayed!) as evidence that it wouldn't respond in Ukraine. Khrushchev put missiles in Cuba partly b/c he read JFK as weak https://t.co/fWs5EDTs6e
Twitter
But: though frequently exaggerated, credibility is a thing. Lots of credible reports suggest Putin saw US flight from Afghanistan (not that we should have stayed!) as evidence that it wouldn't respond in Ukraine. Khrushchev put missiles in Cuba partly b/c…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
That doesn't mean the AFG withdrawal had no effect, but Russia's leadership likely decided to make all preparations for the invasion in July.
That doesn't mean the AFG withdrawal had no effect, but Russia's leadership likely decided to make all preparations for the invasion in July.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Putin thought it would be easy and there would be minimal resistance. Hard to deter a leader with such a fundamentally incorrect understanding of the situation.
Putin thought it would be easy and there would be minimal resistance. Hard to deter a leader with such a fundamentally incorrect understanding of the situation.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @WarintheFuture: Recently, there has been discussion about the strategic and political importance of the Ukrainian offensives that are likely to be launched in the coming weeks or months. The focus of these articles has often been about the consequences of failure. 1/25 🧵 https://twitter.com/WarintheFuture/status/1651728308940447745/photo/1
RT @WarintheFuture: Recently, there has been discussion about the strategic and political importance of the Ukrainian offensives that are likely to be launched in the coming weeks or months. The focus of these articles has often been about the consequences of failure. 1/25 🧵 https://twitter.com/WarintheFuture/status/1651728308940447745/photo/1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@lawrencema1985c Yes, but the Biden admin said it would review that. Either way, the argument is that the *way* the withdrawal occurred was the factor, not that the US decided to withdraw.
@lawrencema1985c Yes, but the Biden admin said it would review that. Either way, the argument is that the *way* the withdrawal occurred was the factor, not that the US decided to withdraw.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
I don't think the US could have deterred a Russian invasion short of deploying troops to defend Ukraine. No President in recent history would have done that, so I don't think the Afghanistan withdrawal was that significant in influencing Putin's calculus.
I don't think the US could have deterred a Russian invasion short of deploying troops to defend Ukraine. No President in recent history would have done that, so I don't think the Afghanistan withdrawal was that significant in influencing Putin's calculus.
Def Mon (Twitter)
@DNikolaysen @Christo88244457 Im pretty sure they would prefer to kill them with artillery if they could.
@DNikolaysen @Christo88244457 Im pretty sure they would prefer to kill them with artillery if they could.
Status-6 (Twitter)
RT @nktpnd: US official: "I'll be crystal clear: there is no vision of returning US tactical or any other kind of nuclear weapon to the Korean Peninsula as there was during the Cold War."
RT @nktpnd: US official: "I'll be crystal clear: there is no vision of returning US tactical or any other kind of nuclear weapon to the Korean Peninsula as there was during the Cold War."
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
Map of Ukrainian Forces 🇺🇦 crossing the Dnipro River in Kherson
ISW previously reported that Ukrainian Forces established positions North of Oleshky on some of the islands
As of today, at least 6 large islands are partially contested as both sides conduct air strikes on them
Map of Ukrainian Forces 🇺🇦 crossing the Dnipro River in Kherson
ISW previously reported that Ukrainian Forces established positions North of Oleshky on some of the islands
As of today, at least 6 large islands are partially contested as both sides conduct air strikes on them
IgorGirkin (Twitter)
RT @Faytuks: #UPDATE: Nationwide air raid alert in Ukraine. Explosions reported in Poltava region and missiles noted over Kyiv region and elsewhere. https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1651758467038822402/photo/1
RT @Faytuks: #UPDATE: Nationwide air raid alert in Ukraine. Explosions reported in Poltava region and missiles noted over Kyiv region and elsewhere. https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1651758467038822402/photo/1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
IgorGirkin (Twitter)
RT @Faytuks: NOW: Ukrainian sources report that a russian missile has hit a high-rise building in Uman, Cherkasy oblast. Casualties feared. https://twitter.com/Iren89501619/status/1651773600427393027/video/1
RT @Faytuks: NOW: Ukrainian sources report that a russian missile has hit a high-rise building in Uman, Cherkasy oblast. Casualties feared. https://twitter.com/Iren89501619/status/1651773600427393027/video/1
🤬32😢2