Def Mon (Twitter)
Avdiivka - Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area Krasnohorivka, Kam’yanka, Avdiivka, Vodyane, Sjeverne, Berdychi, Pervomais’ke, and Mar’inka
Avdiivka - Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area Krasnohorivka, Kam’yanka, Avdiivka, Vodyane, Sjeverne, Berdychi, Pervomais’ke, and Mar’inka
Def Mon (Twitter)
Avdiivka
This image shows the difference in the RU forward lines (dashed) between Orange: March 10th and Red: March 19th.
Avdiivka
This image shows the difference in the RU forward lines (dashed) between Orange: March 10th and Red: March 19th.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RuAF are slowly advancing in both Bakhmut and Avdiivka. There has been a few reports about RuAF not having any reserves behind the lines, but I'm not sure I believe them.
RuAF are slowly advancing in both Bakhmut and Avdiivka. There has been a few reports about RuAF not having any reserves behind the lines, but I'm not sure I believe them.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RuAF have been on the offensive for more than 1.5 month now and offensive operations like that does wear on both equipment, personnel and local ammunition stocks. I do not see them continuing this pace of attacks for more than another month or so. Many unknown variables.
RuAF have been on the offensive for more than 1.5 month now and offensive operations like that does wear on both equipment, personnel and local ammunition stocks. I do not see them continuing this pace of attacks for more than another month or so. Many unknown variables.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Ukraine spend the summer training and building offensive potential in their units while defending all along the frontline with minimal resources, There were multiple reports from the frontlines about them not having enough resources
Ukraine spend the summer training and building offensive potential in their units while defending all along the frontline with minimal resources, There were multiple reports from the frontlines about them not having enough resources
Def Mon (Twitter)
During that time Ukraine accumulated equipment and trained troops, while starting strike RU logistic targets with HIMARS. At the same time, RuAF decided to move almost all their VDV units, plus Eastern and Central Military district away from Kharkiv region.
During that time Ukraine accumulated equipment and trained troops, while starting strike RU logistic targets with HIMARS. At the same time, RuAF decided to move almost all their VDV units, plus Eastern and Central Military district away from Kharkiv region.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Some time during the summer is also when most experts believe RuAF will start running in to some real issues with ammunition.
Some time during the summer is also when most experts believe RuAF will start running in to some real issues with ammunition.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Late summer, early fall, Ukraine managed to recaptured large parts of Kharkiv region as a result of attrition and low morale and a severe personnel shortage RuAF were unable to defend Kharkiv region.
Late summer, early fall, Ukraine managed to recaptured large parts of Kharkiv region as a result of attrition and low morale and a severe personnel shortage RuAF were unable to defend Kharkiv region.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Once that was done, AFU stepped up their effort to attack RuAF GLOC in the Kherson region, especially bridges and barges. While having some initial success surprising RU logistics, RuAF quickly adapted using barges from different launch locations.
Once that was done, AFU stepped up their effort to attack RuAF GLOC in the Kherson region, especially bridges and barges. While having some initial success surprising RU logistics, RuAF quickly adapted using barges from different launch locations.
Def Mon (Twitter)
During this time AFU attempted ground assaults in both the south and north part of Kherson region, with mixed results. Mostly unsuccessful. They did have some success in the northern part which proved to be the most difficult to supply for RuAF.
During this time AFU attempted ground assaults in both the south and north part of Kherson region, with mixed results. Mostly unsuccessful. They did have some success in the northern part which proved to be the most difficult to supply for RuAF.
Def Mon (Twitter)
But even after a UA breakthrough of RU lines, RuAF managed to stop the AFU by sending reinforcements after just a few days.
At this point RuAF successfully restored GLOC over the NK dam with temporary bridges and I thin they could have stayed in Kherson the year out.
But even after a UA breakthrough of RU lines, RuAF managed to stop the AFU by sending reinforcements after just a few days.
At this point RuAF successfully restored GLOC over the NK dam with temporary bridges and I thin they could have stayed in Kherson the year out.
Def Mon (Twitter)
I also think they realized they would not be able to do any kind of offensives west of the Dnipro and deemed it too costly to try to keep it. They could instead withdraw their units, reconstitute their combat potential and use them elsewhere.
I also think they realized they would not be able to do any kind of offensives west of the Dnipro and deemed it too costly to try to keep it. They could instead withdraw their units, reconstitute their combat potential and use them elsewhere.
Def Mon (Twitter)
At this point in time, I'm leaning towards RU made a rational decision to withdraw over time from Kherson (they did so quite successfully) to continue their offensive during the winter and possibly gain the upper hand. I think this was a wise and important decision by RU.
At this point in time, I'm leaning towards RU made a rational decision to withdraw over time from Kherson (they did so quite successfully) to continue their offensive during the winter and possibly gain the upper hand. I think this was a wise and important decision by RU.
Def Mon (Twitter)
RuAF have during and after the withdrawal from Kherson successfully trained their mobiks for around 3 months. integrated them in to their regular units (and created new ones). They have moved a lot of the assault units from Kherson to Bakhmut and Kreminna.
RuAF have during and after the withdrawal from Kherson successfully trained their mobiks for around 3 months. integrated them in to their regular units (and created new ones). They have moved a lot of the assault units from Kherson to Bakhmut and Kreminna.
Def Mon (Twitter)
RuAF managed to capture Yakovlivka in early December after committing more resources to the area (VDV). At this point RuAF gradually started introducing more and more of the personnel which was mobilized in October.
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@DefMon3:
It seems the AFU are managing to hold the defensive lines in and south of Bakhmut. What we need to keep an eye on is the area around Soledar and Yakovlivka. The most dangerous thing now would be if RU manages to isolate Soledar. https://t.co/TErdMXfpwG
RuAF managed to capture Yakovlivka in early December after committing more resources to the area (VDV). At this point RuAF gradually started introducing more and more of the personnel which was mobilized in October.
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@DefMon3:
It seems the AFU are managing to hold the defensive lines in and south of Bakhmut. What we need to keep an eye on is the area around Soledar and Yakovlivka. The most dangerous thing now would be if RU manages to isolate Soledar. https://t.co/TErdMXfpwG
Def Mon (Twitter)
After Yakovlivka was captured RuAF had the upper hand, the AFU had exhausted a lot of their combat potential during the fall offensive.
After Yakovlivka was captured RuAF had the upper hand, the AFU had exhausted a lot of their combat potential during the fall offensive.