The Lookout (Twitter)

3/

"Kremlin's ambition of controlling Ukraine remains unchanged".

The Lookout (Twitter)

4/
"As long as Russia does not make progress in Ukraine, the danger of escalation will remain. Moscow will continue to create uncertainty around the potential use of nuclear weapons"

The Lookout (Twitter)

5/
"Russian strategic signaling and deterrence activities will continue, in the form of threats and the deployment of strategic and conventional forces on NATO's flanks. This will also affect Norway's neighborhood."

The Lookout (Twitter)

6/
"With weakened conventional capability, the importance of nuclear weapons for Russia has increased significantly. The Russian strategic and regional deterrence forces have thus become more important for the Russian military."

The Lookout (Twitter)

7/
"Tactical nuclear weapons pose a serious threat in several operational scenarios that may involve NATO countries. In addition, Russia has, among other things, underwater capabilities, anti-satellite weapons and cyber tools that can threaten Norway and NATO"

The Lookout (Twitter)

8/
On PGMs:

"the consumption of land-based missiles has been very high. Precision weapons form an essential part of Russia's defense and deterrence strategy vis-à-vis NATO, and Russia will have to keep most of the remaining missiles as a strategic reserve"

The Lookout (Twitter)

9/
"Russia has large reserve stocks of military equipment, especially of older types. Much of this will now be reactivated, but it will take several months to make the equipment ready for operational use and build up new units."

The Lookout (Twitter)

10/

"Russian doctrine remains based on suprise and initiative"

"Strikes against critical civilian infrastructure, with the aim of weakening the will of the adversary, were did not commence until some time into the war."

Rob Lee (Twitter)

Photo of a soldier from Russia's 150th Motorized Rifle Division's 174th Reconnaissance Battalion firing a 2A14 cannon from a ZU-23-2 in Marinka. 2/
https://vk.com/bo_reserve?w=wall-124751034_6856

The Lookout (Twitter)

11/
"In an attack against Norway and NATO, however, the destruction of such targets [critical infrastructure] will receive priority early, and the warning time will be very short."

The Lookout (Twitter)

12/
All in all a very interesting read. This is just a few highlights.

Translation by myself.

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

.@BarentsNews article on the report:
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@BarentsNews:
LATEST: Land forces at Kola reduced to one-fifth, Norwegian Intelligence says https://t.co/yaC04dUOnP

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

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@BarentsNews:
3/3 “A central part of the nuclear capabilities is deployed on the Northern Fleet’s submarines and surface vessels. Tactical nuclear weapons pose a particularly serious threat in several operational scenarios that may involve NATO countries,” Chief NIS says to Barents Observer.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

A Ukrainian BMP-2 firing at Russian positions in the Bakhmut area.
https://tttttt.me/Tsaplienko/26152