Danvan (Twitter)
RT @Danspiun: 381. Longer version of film in twt 380 now located in Russkaya Konopel'ka (51.181679, 35.39096) 18km from🇺🇦. Correction not T-72B3 but T-90A, etc of 27th Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. Is there recent sat/SAR imagery of here?@The_Lookout_N @danvan71 @COUPSURE
RT @Danspiun: 381. Longer version of film in twt 380 now located in Russkaya Konopel'ka (51.181679, 35.39096) 18km from🇺🇦. Correction not T-72B3 but T-90A, etc of 27th Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. Is there recent sat/SAR imagery of here?@The_Lookout_N @danvan71 @COUPSURE
Rob Lee (Twitter)
This is the issue. If Ukraine's military tries to fight a conventional war with Russia, it will be defeated. An unconventional fight means moving into cities, which will lead to greater civilian casualties. All urban warfare is destructive and Russia lacks large PGM stockpiles.
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@shashj:
"Ukraine’s odds are grim in a conventional fight, even with Western-supplied weapons. Its forces might convert into partisan warfare, or take to the cities. The latter would prove a difficult decision as urban warfare is immensely destructive" https://t.co/TRTkDrYDuw
This is the issue. If Ukraine's military tries to fight a conventional war with Russia, it will be defeated. An unconventional fight means moving into cities, which will lead to greater civilian casualties. All urban warfare is destructive and Russia lacks large PGM stockpiles.
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@shashj:
"Ukraine’s odds are grim in a conventional fight, even with Western-supplied weapons. Its forces might convert into partisan warfare, or take to the cities. The latter would prove a difficult decision as urban warfare is immensely destructive" https://t.co/TRTkDrYDuw
Twitter
Shashank Joshi
"Ukraine’s odds are grim in a conventional fight, even with Western-supplied weapons. Its forces might convert into partisan warfare, or take to the cities. The latter would prove a difficult decision as urban warfare is immensely destructive" economist.com/by…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
If Russia tries to conduct regime change, it will likely try to install someone who would reach out to elites in other cities. But if Russian forces go into cities, a lot of civilians could die. That would only increase resistance and make conflict termination more difficult. 2/
If Russia tries to conduct regime change, it will likely try to install someone who would reach out to elites in other cities. But if Russian forces go into cities, a lot of civilians could die. That would only increase resistance and make conflict termination more difficult. 2/
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Dan (Twitter)
382. Crimea. Interesting as all are set up with snorkels for amphibious move. For the BTR-82As when not used these are the distinctive tubular sections seen on the exhausts.
16x BTR-82A
2x R-149MA1 comnd/staff
1x unclear maybe R-439MD2
R-166 comnd/signals
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@RoksolanaKrim:
Саки
не для того Баба бубочка ростила,щоб НАСПРАВДІ воювати.
Для"простоперестать",тихо виконати умови шантажиста.
Але шо є то є.
І від сьогодні це не просто катається,а з наміром захопити всю країну.
Нахіба комусь обгризки Донбаса?
Україні потрібен Главком.Пора нам це зрозуміти. https://t.co/G9jWJAUSAh
382. Crimea. Interesting as all are set up with snorkels for amphibious move. For the BTR-82As when not used these are the distinctive tubular sections seen on the exhausts.
16x BTR-82A
2x R-149MA1 comnd/staff
1x unclear maybe R-439MD2
R-166 comnd/signals
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@RoksolanaKrim:
Саки
не для того Баба бубочка ростила,щоб НАСПРАВДІ воювати.
Для"простоперестать",тихо виконати умови шантажиста.
Але шо є то є.
І від сьогодні це не просто катається,а з наміром захопити всю країну.
Нахіба комусь обгризки Донбаса?
Україні потрібен Главком.Пора нам це зрозуміти. https://t.co/G9jWJAUSAh
Dan (Twitter)
RT @KofmanMichael: I’ll go further. Two pincer movements. Small one to encircle Kiyv from the north, much larger one to envelop Ukrainian forces in the JFO. Several axes from Kursk, Belgorod & Crimea. Not including everything here like Valuyki or Millerovo.
RT @KofmanMichael: I’ll go further. Two pincer movements. Small one to encircle Kiyv from the north, much larger one to envelop Ukrainian forces in the JFO. Several axes from Kursk, Belgorod & Crimea. Not including everything here like Valuyki or Millerovo.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The big question is whether Russia can translate the use of military force into achieving its political goals and what will it do if it can't? A Russian invasion now would be an attempt to achieve what 2014-2015 failed to do, so more force is likely and compromise is less likely.
The big question is whether Russia can translate the use of military force into achieving its political goals and what will it do if it can't? A Russian invasion now would be an attempt to achieve what 2014-2015 failed to do, so more force is likely and compromise is less likely.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@vfroloff But to how many cities? That would also take time and what happens if people don't surrender? I think all of the options are very unpredictable if they attempt to do anything other than targeting the Ukrainian military.
@vfroloff But to how many cities? That would also take time and what happens if people don't surrender? I think all of the options are very unpredictable if they attempt to do anything other than targeting the Ukrainian military.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1745/
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@maxseddon:
@PentagonPresSec He addresses Russians in Russian.
"We are divided by a shared border of more than 2,000km. Almost 200,000 of your troops and thousands of military vehicles are standing alongside it. Your leadership has ordered them to move forward, onto another country's territory."
1745/
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@maxseddon:
@PentagonPresSec He addresses Russians in Russian.
"We are divided by a shared border of more than 2,000km. Almost 200,000 of your troops and thousands of military vehicles are standing alongside it. Your leadership has ordered them to move forward, onto another country's territory."
Twitter
max seddon
He addresses Russians in Russian. "We are divided by a shared border of more than 2,000km. Almost 200,000 of your troops and thousands of military vehicles are standing alongside it. Your leadership has ordered them to move forward, onto another country's…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1746/
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@idreesali114:
France calls on its citizens to leave Ukraine immediately- Reuters
1746/
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@idreesali114:
France calls on its citizens to leave Ukraine immediately- Reuters
Twitter
Idrees Ali
France calls on its citizens to leave Ukraine immediately- Reuters
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1747/
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@NatashaBertrand:
The mayor of Kyiv, Vitaly Klitschko, has declared an emergency for the Ukrainian capital effective midnight local time, saying an "operational headquarters has been set up to coordinate the actions of the executive branch, the military command and law enforcement agencies."
1747/
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@NatashaBertrand:
The mayor of Kyiv, Vitaly Klitschko, has declared an emergency for the Ukrainian capital effective midnight local time, saying an "operational headquarters has been set up to coordinate the actions of the executive branch, the military command and law enforcement agencies."
Twitter
Natasha Bertrand
The mayor of Kyiv, Vitaly Klitschko, has declared an emergency for the Ukrainian capital effective midnight local time, saying an "operational headquarters has been set up to coordinate the actions of the executive branch, the military command and law enforcement…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @antontroian: "But if we are attacked, if someone attempts to take away our land, our freedom, our lives, the lives of our children, we will defend ourselves. We won’t attack, but defend ourselves. By attacking, you will see our faces, not our backs, but our faces.”
RT @antontroian: "But if we are attacked, if someone attempts to take away our land, our freedom, our lives, the lives of our children, we will defend ourselves. We won’t attack, but defend ourselves. By attacking, you will see our faces, not our backs, but our faces.”
Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
RT @spectatorindex: BREAKING: Russia has closed airspace along parts of its border with Ukraine
RT @spectatorindex: BREAKING: Russia has closed airspace along parts of its border with Ukraine
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Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
Московська область. Колона 4-ї гвардійська танкової Кантемирівської дивізії.
Московська область. Колона 4-ї гвардійська танкової Кантемирівської дивізії.
Dan (Twitter)
RT @antontroian: "But if we are attacked, if someone attempts to take away our land, our freedom, our lives, the lives of our children, we will defend ourselves. We won’t attack, but defend ourselves. By attacking, you will see our faces, not our backs, but our faces.”
RT @antontroian: "But if we are attacked, if someone attempts to take away our land, our freedom, our lives, the lives of our children, we will defend ourselves. We won’t attack, but defend ourselves. By attacking, you will see our faces, not our backs, but our faces.”
Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
РЛС під номером 601 що і в колоні вище.
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@RALee85:
Buk 9S18M1 radar (9S18M1-3 I believe for Buk-M2/3), and 3 Tor TLARs (they look like Tor-M2 9A331M) in Seretino, Belgorod. https://t.co/XWNh4UVgbw https://t.co/C40xhxgYU8
РЛС під номером 601 що і в колоні вище.
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@RALee85:
Buk 9S18M1 radar (9S18M1-3 I believe for Buk-M2/3), and 3 Tor TLARs (they look like Tor-M2 9A331M) in Seretino, Belgorod. https://t.co/XWNh4UVgbw https://t.co/C40xhxgYU8
Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
RT @katalina_ada: Спочатку постріляли Градом.
А далі загуділи танчики.
Такі от новини з передової.
RT @katalina_ada: Спочатку постріляли Градом.
А далі загуділи танчики.
Такі от новини з передової.
Dan (Twitter)
Facing new Russian aggression Zelensky's speech to the nation, including a direct appeal to the Russian people. 'A powerful, dignified, mature, and heartfelt appeal for peace between Russians and Ukrainians that couldn't have been any more different from Putin's resentful rant.'
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@maxseddon:
@PentagonPresSec Zelensky speaks to the nation. The gravity of the situation looks to have really gotten to him.
"Today I initiated a phone conversation with the president of the Russian Federation. The result was silence. Although it's the Donbas where there should be silence." https://t.co/3TLEL5MO1s
Facing new Russian aggression Zelensky's speech to the nation, including a direct appeal to the Russian people. 'A powerful, dignified, mature, and heartfelt appeal for peace between Russians and Ukrainians that couldn't have been any more different from Putin's resentful rant.'
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@maxseddon:
@PentagonPresSec Zelensky speaks to the nation. The gravity of the situation looks to have really gotten to him.
"Today I initiated a phone conversation with the president of the Russian Federation. The result was silence. Although it's the Donbas where there should be silence." https://t.co/3TLEL5MO1s
😢4
Dan (Twitter)
RT @apmassaro3: Very scary moment in Ukraine. Now would be a great time for that second sanctions tranche. Oligarchs, energy, banks, de-SWIFT
RT @apmassaro3: Very scary moment in Ukraine. Now would be a great time for that second sanctions tranche. Oligarchs, energy, banks, de-SWIFT