IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Something happened

(In Valuyki, a drone attacked the Rosneft gas station — a very strong fire started at the gas station.)

Status-6 (Twitter)

RT @idreesali114: U.S. Army Secretary Driscoll has arrived in Geneva “to work on the next steps toward achieving peace in Ukraine,” a U.S. official said. Rubio and Witkoff to join on Sunday, the official added.

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Тривожно 🫂

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Something happened

(Stray packs of dogs in Donbas are attacking people. A serious problem in the frontline territories - packs of dogs, some of which have come from LBS and have tried human flesh, are attacking people)

Def Mon (Twitter)

RT @donaldtusk: All the decisions concerning Poland will be taken by Poles. Nothing about us without us. When it comes to peace, all the n...

Rob Lee (Twitter)

RT @ChristopherJM: Zelensky has formed an official negotiating team and solidified it with a presidential decree. This is the Ukrainian team now in Geneva meeting and negotiating with the US.

Heading the group is Zelensky's powerful and controversial chief of staff Andriy Yermak

With him, most notably, is Rustem Umerov, secretary of the national security and defence council, Kyrylo Budanov, head of the military intelligence agency, and first deputy foreign minister Serhiy Kyslytsya. The others are in the list below and include members of the president's office, security service and general staff.

The Lookout (Twitter)

@APHClarkson: That might be the European strategic objective but to be blunt we bet on hope getting us there. Hope that the Russians would get tired and decide to give up, and this is far from any real strategy.

There was also a failure to recognize that the war changed character with the Russian mobilization and them starting construction of their fortified lines.

The Lookout (Twitter)

@ruth_deyermond @John_ForemanCBE: To me it seems like we, the West in general, have pinned everything on the hope that the Russians would get tired and give up.

We failed to recognize their determination to reach their objectives and that the war changed character with the Russian mobilization and the construction of their fortified lines.

The Lookout (Twitter)

@mttjon @APHClarkson: I don't see anyone ready to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. Not in the past, not now and not in the future. This is why I have been sceptical of the security guarantees, coalition of the willing, discussions from the beginning.

The only thing that could change this is IMO is Russian hostile action above the threshold of war against NATO countries but then we are in a completely different ballgame.

Status-6 (Twitter)

@_wild_billkelso @magictouch190 @vcdgf555 @MarcinRogowsk14: sloppy OPSEC tbh

The Lookout (Twitter)

@mttjon @APHClarkson: Regardless of circumstances, one cannot deploy forces to Ukraine without being ready and willing to go to war if it comes down to it.

I can imagine scenarios where European deployments to Ukraine don't inevitably results in war but that would require political will and risk appetite far beyond anything we have seen so far. The willingness to fight would then be the deterrent to keep it from snowballing.

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

👀 https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1992212552336441495#m

The Lookout (Twitter)

@APHClarkson: The trajectory of the war has been negative for a long time IMO. There have been ample opportunities to correct the course underway, Europe could still do so with sufficient political will, but we haven't so far.

How one sees this depends a lot on how one assesses the balance in the war, and the strengths and challenges of both sides.

Despite their challenges, I think Russia has the upper hand.

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @ChristopherJM: Leaders from countries that include European states plus Japan, Australia and Canada, said on Saturday that the “initial draft of the 28-point plan includes important elements that will be essential for a just and lasting peace”, in a joint statement following an emergency meeting in Johannesburg.

“We believe therefore that the draft is a basis which will require additional work,” the leaders said. “We reiterate that the implementation of elements relating to the European Union and relating to Nato would need the consent of EU and Nato members respectively.”