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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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Rob Lee (Twitter)

RT @jana_skhidna: в Покровську на жаль, стабільний повний піздець.

сіра зона біля Рівного, Світлого збільшилась...

(ну і так, всі знають, що карта показує із запізненням в кілька днів)
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The Lookout (Twitter)

Even with me saying what I have said about the way to handle the US peace proposal, I also think a peace largely on Russian terms (such as this) will increase the risk of something bigger down the line, requiring a much quicker and larger European defense buildup.

That will cost
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The Lookout (Twitter)

This might be where we have been heading for a long time now because of the lack of a real Western strategy, with a clear end state, properly and timely resourced

I might come across as dark but by saying "play along with Trump", I think one must try to do the best of a bad sit.
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The Lookout (Twitter)

And the Russians, with their original war aims intact, might mess this up leading to the war continuing.

If that happens, the trajectory is still negative, so sometime down the line we will be at the same point with a potential deal again.

Is something better possible then?
The Lookout (Twitter)

@ErikRosenberg89: I might see the trajectory of the war differently, and have done so for a long time now.

Cold, unemotional analysis is what I try to do, not propaganda. I do wish we were some place better but we aren't there.

This doesn't mean that the Russians don't have their issues but hoping for a collapse isn't a strategy.
The Lookout (Twitter)

@polidemitolog: The Russians should be the ones who blows up this proposal and that they might end up doing because of their unchanged war aims. It shouldn't be Ukraine, or Europe for that matter, who assumes that role.
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The Lookout (Twitter)

This looks somewhat similar to another NOTAM, issued in February '22. Still in place that one. https://twitter.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1991950221635403972#m
The Lookout (Twitter)

@CorporalFrisk: That same argument keeps on resurfacing here in Norway too, even now when we have received all our F-35s...
Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @_Kramatorskiy_: Есть дроны, в которые вложена душа ....но даже такая красота ломается ....и судя по симптомам он попадет ко мне на стол ....надеюсь получится вернуть в строй ...но дефект очень плохой....
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @BBS3AB: 💥Нічна зміна вампірів

Наводимо нічний жах на ворога, завдаємо ударів з Вампірів по укриттям з ворожої силою.

🫡 Ми нищимо ворога кожен день!

Постійний збір на батальйон : https://send.monobank.ua/jar/4iNbd67R2P

❗️Набір до бату : forms.gle/gQ3d6wuMwsL2DkgY7
The Lookout (Twitter)

@Shivak03: Reading the original Swedish article, I think his main point is that we shouldn't think that nothing will happen before "2028" or some year and not be fixated on a large ground invasion somewhere.

The risk hinges on the Russian strategic outlook and their high risk appetite.
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The Lookout (Twitter)

@Shivak03: As I read it, this is more a warning against thinking that we have breathing space due to the war, rather than giving direct probabilities of something actually happening.
IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Something happened
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