The Lookout (Twitter)
@Varsevan: I wouldn't place much trust in the enforcement with this admin, hence treat it as a pause, not the end.
The problem is that without a realistic alternative, I think swallowing the camels and going along with it is the only option.
The US cutting Ukraine off and Europe risking drawing Trump's wrath increases the risk of a worse settlement further down the line, plus risking alliance cohesion too.
Does Ze accepting create internal political risks? Yes, we will enter uncharted waters if it creates real upheaval. Not sure how Europe would deal with him being overthrown in case of a new Maidan.
The future looks bleak unfortunately, regardless of what happens. I strongly doubt Europe has the political will and risk appetite to actually kick is out of the multiple bad trajectories ahead.
@Varsevan: I wouldn't place much trust in the enforcement with this admin, hence treat it as a pause, not the end.
The problem is that without a realistic alternative, I think swallowing the camels and going along with it is the only option.
The US cutting Ukraine off and Europe risking drawing Trump's wrath increases the risk of a worse settlement further down the line, plus risking alliance cohesion too.
Does Ze accepting create internal political risks? Yes, we will enter uncharted waters if it creates real upheaval. Not sure how Europe would deal with him being overthrown in case of a new Maidan.
The future looks bleak unfortunately, regardless of what happens. I strongly doubt Europe has the political will and risk appetite to actually kick is out of the multiple bad trajectories ahead.
Unit Observer (Twitter)
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
Unit Observer (Twitter)
Correction:
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment https://twitter.com/WarUnitObserver/status/1991904407609397634#m
Correction:
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment https://twitter.com/WarUnitObserver/status/1991904407609397634#m
❤1
imi (m) (Twitter)
RT @WarUnitObserver: The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
RT @WarUnitObserver: The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
Dan (Twitter)
RT @GLandsbergis: There is a glaringly obvious message for Europe in the 28 point plan: This is the end of the end.
We have been told repeatedly and unambiguously that Ukraine’s security, and therefore Europe’s security, will be Europe’s responsibility. And now it is. Entirely.
If you are a European leader asking your team to book you on the next flight to Washington to go talk to Daddy, please don’t.
Not without a plan, not cap in hand, not humiliating us all in front of the cameras at the Oval office.
Europe is our continent, our future is decided here, not there. We aren’t poor, we have options, we can finally decide to assist Ukraine to the full extent of our very extensive capabilities, restore European dignity and defend Europe.
Or we can continue to wait for the miracle we now know is not coming.
RT @GLandsbergis: There is a glaringly obvious message for Europe in the 28 point plan: This is the end of the end.
We have been told repeatedly and unambiguously that Ukraine’s security, and therefore Europe’s security, will be Europe’s responsibility. And now it is. Entirely.
If you are a European leader asking your team to book you on the next flight to Washington to go talk to Daddy, please don’t.
Not without a plan, not cap in hand, not humiliating us all in front of the cameras at the Oval office.
Europe is our continent, our future is decided here, not there. We aren’t poor, we have options, we can finally decide to assist Ukraine to the full extent of our very extensive capabilities, restore European dignity and defend Europe.
Or we can continue to wait for the miracle we now know is not coming.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@Varsevan: I'd say play along with Trump, negotiate on some points if possible but don't push hard if one hits an American wall, accept and then see what the Russians do.
They might still screw this up on their end and then the war continues.
The challenge will then be how to get a better outcome further down the line. This will be difficult though.
@Varsevan: I'd say play along with Trump, negotiate on some points if possible but don't push hard if one hits an American wall, accept and then see what the Russians do.
They might still screw this up on their end and then the war continues.
The challenge will then be how to get a better outcome further down the line. This will be difficult though.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@rlaugenjs: Due to the sins of the past, and the lack of real political will and risk appetite in Europe to actually change the trajectory of the war, I really struggle to see an outcome that could be seen as just from a Ukrainian perspective.
This doesn't mean I like it. I certainly don't.
The war could very well end on terms a lot worse than the current US proposal, if the current trajectory continues and yes, the future looks bleak and dangerous.
@rlaugenjs: Due to the sins of the past, and the lack of real political will and risk appetite in Europe to actually change the trajectory of the war, I really struggle to see an outcome that could be seen as just from a Ukrainian perspective.
This doesn't mean I like it. I certainly don't.
The war could very well end on terms a lot worse than the current US proposal, if the current trajectory continues and yes, the future looks bleak and dangerous.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@Varsevan: When the war winds down, I think a clock starts counting down, but to what and what the countdown is are unknowns. The risk of something bigger will increase but nothing is inevitable.
Easing sanctions will be a bad move, increasing the risks, but here Europe does have a real vote I'd say.
@Varsevan: When the war winds down, I think a clock starts counting down, but to what and what the countdown is are unknowns. The risk of something bigger will increase but nothing is inevitable.
Easing sanctions will be a bad move, increasing the risks, but here Europe does have a real vote I'd say.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@rlaugenjs: Without any major changes in the European approach, after 4 years there is still no real strategy with a clear end state behind our support, how does one change the trajectory of the war?
On security guarantees, I don't see any country willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. NATO membership wasn't on the table with Biden either.
I have been very sceptical about the coalition of the willing turning into anything real from the beginning.
Removing sanctions would be a big mistake but on this, I think Europe actually has a real vote.
@rlaugenjs: Without any major changes in the European approach, after 4 years there is still no real strategy with a clear end state behind our support, how does one change the trajectory of the war?
On security guarantees, I don't see any country willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. NATO membership wasn't on the table with Biden either.
I have been very sceptical about the coalition of the willing turning into anything real from the beginning.
Removing sanctions would be a big mistake but on this, I think Europe actually has a real vote.
Status-6 (Twitter)
🇷🇺 Russian President Putin:
🗣️ Russia is ready for peace negotiations, but it is also satisfied with the current tempo of its offensive operations against Ukraine, which leads to achieving its goals by military means;
🗣️ Trump's peace plan was discussed even before the Alaska meeting in August 2025. The plan was modified after the summit;
🗣️ The United States asked the Russian side to show flexibility regarding the war settlement;
🗣️The US has so far failed to secure Ukraine's consent to a peace plan.
t.me/tass_agency/349512
🇷🇺 Russian President Putin:
🗣️ Russia is ready for peace negotiations, but it is also satisfied with the current tempo of its offensive operations against Ukraine, which leads to achieving its goals by military means;
🗣️ Trump's peace plan was discussed even before the Alaska meeting in August 2025. The plan was modified after the summit;
🗣️ The United States asked the Russian side to show flexibility regarding the war settlement;
🗣️The US has so far failed to secure Ukraine's consent to a peace plan.
t.me/tass_agency/349512
🖕9💩2
The Lookout (Twitter)
@rlaugenjs: Again, this point is something that likely always will be there in some form unless, by some miracle, the trajectory of the war turns around. The proposed limit could have been a lot worse.
Even with no limits via an agreement, there are very real financial restrictions on how large standing armed forces a post war Ukraine can afford, in any scenario.
@rlaugenjs: Again, this point is something that likely always will be there in some form unless, by some miracle, the trajectory of the war turns around. The proposed limit could have been a lot worse.
Even with no limits via an agreement, there are very real financial restrictions on how large standing armed forces a post war Ukraine can afford, in any scenario.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@FriedrichArndt @APHClarkson: If this plan actually leads to a halt of the war, I would treat it as a pause, not the end of it. It will also increase the risk of something bigger at some point down the line.
But, where will things go if the US cuts Ukraine off? What happens with alliance cohesion if Europe draws Trump's wrath by saying this is stupid, without any real alternative plan?
Real security guarantees for Ukraine have always been unlikely. I don't see any country willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. Liberation of substantial amounts of occupied territory has been unlikely for a long time.
I don't like any of this personally, the future does look bleak, but this is where I think we are.
@FriedrichArndt @APHClarkson: If this plan actually leads to a halt of the war, I would treat it as a pause, not the end of it. It will also increase the risk of something bigger at some point down the line.
But, where will things go if the US cuts Ukraine off? What happens with alliance cohesion if Europe draws Trump's wrath by saying this is stupid, without any real alternative plan?
Real security guarantees for Ukraine have always been unlikely. I don't see any country willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. Liberation of substantial amounts of occupied territory has been unlikely for a long time.
I don't like any of this personally, the future does look bleak, but this is where I think we are.
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Status-6 (Twitter)
RT @moklasen: after ru mod belusov announced mala tokmachkas capture this week,
the ru 42nd division continues loosing armored columns trying to reach it https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1991892452815536187#m
RT @moklasen: after ru mod belusov announced mala tokmachkas capture this week,
the ru 42nd division continues loosing armored columns trying to reach it https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1991892452815536187#m