Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: It would take Russia years to take all of Donetsk Oblast, at the very least, more than a year. Russia would need to take two large cities, Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, and take several smaller cities and towns. They have mainly been taking towns and small villages. It took them over a year to just take Pokrovsk, and they have yet to reach Kostyantynivka.
If Ukraine gives away Donbas, Russia could much more easily take all of Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia Oblast East of the Dnipro River, as it would be surrounded from three sides, and without bridges there would be no logistical access by land only. Kharkiv Oblast and Izyum would be surrounded as well.
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: It would take Russia years to take all of Donetsk Oblast, at the very least, more than a year. Russia would need to take two large cities, Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, and take several smaller cities and towns. They have mainly been taking towns and small villages. It took them over a year to just take Pokrovsk, and they have yet to reach Kostyantynivka.
If Ukraine gives away Donbas, Russia could much more easily take all of Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia Oblast East of the Dnipro River, as it would be surrounded from three sides, and without bridges there would be no logistical access by land only. Kharkiv Oblast and Izyum would be surrounded as well.
💯1
The Lookout (Twitter)
@Shivak03: I think the Russians could still blow this attempt and then the war continues.
If the Americans are pressing hard, as it seems, it's very difficult to get around this proposal though.
A halt in the war now should be treated as a pause, not the end of it.
When the war ends it starts a clock to something, but exactly what and the countdown itself is remains unknown. If this proposal does end the war, I would say that the risk of something bigger increases but no outcome is inevitable.
@Shivak03: I think the Russians could still blow this attempt and then the war continues.
If the Americans are pressing hard, as it seems, it's very difficult to get around this proposal though.
A halt in the war now should be treated as a pause, not the end of it.
When the war ends it starts a clock to something, but exactly what and the countdown itself is remains unknown. If this proposal does end the war, I would say that the risk of something bigger increases but no outcome is inevitable.
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: That means there are no security guarantees
Providing blankets and pillows, but no military equipment is not security guarantees. Russia wants Ukraine to be unequipped for a 2nd invasion, so they can reach and take Kyiv more easily.
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: That means there are no security guarantees
Providing blankets and pillows, but no military equipment is not security guarantees. Russia wants Ukraine to be unequipped for a 2nd invasion, so they can reach and take Kyiv more easily.
💯1
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@IAPonomarenko: Some people thought it was going to say India or Israel for most Pro-Ukrainian accounts.
@IAPonomarenko: Some people thought it was going to say India or Israel for most Pro-Ukrainian accounts.
Dan (Twitter)
RT @APHClarkson: Putin is now putting all his strategic cards on an erratic Trump adminisration that may well end up paralysed and wracked by infighting after 2026 mid-terms and then replaced by forces deeply hostile to Russia after 2028.
RT @APHClarkson: Putin is now putting all his strategic cards on an erratic Trump adminisration that may well end up paralysed and wracked by infighting after 2026 mid-terms and then replaced by forces deeply hostile to Russia after 2028.
💯1
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Dan (Twitter)
16. Borivska Andriivka, 13th Nov
Another cut from extended film I was sent of the aftermath of this failed🇷🇺attack.
It shows a 4th 'Ulan' ATV loss at 49.4392184, 37.7533024.
The burning vehicle behind it is reportedly an earlier abandoned🇺🇦pick up inadvertently hit in the battle.
16. Borivska Andriivka, 13th Nov
Another cut from extended film I was sent of the aftermath of this failed🇷🇺attack.
It shows a 4th 'Ulan' ATV loss at 49.4392184, 37.7533024.
The burning vehicle behind it is reportedly an earlier abandoned🇺🇦pick up inadvertently hit in the battle.
imi (m) (Twitter)
@konrad_skorupa @UAControlMap: it appears rubicon initial post had incorrect information and then they fixed it.
original post says 56th Regiment
@konrad_skorupa @UAControlMap: it appears rubicon initial post had incorrect information and then they fixed it.
original post says 56th Regiment
The Lookout (Twitter)
@Varsevan: I wouldn't place much trust in the enforcement with this admin, hence treat it as a pause, not the end.
The problem is that without a realistic alternative, I think swallowing the camels and going along with it is the only option.
The US cutting Ukraine off and Europe risking drawing Trump's wrath increases the risk of a worse settlement further down the line, plus risking alliance cohesion too.
Does Ze accepting create internal political risks? Yes, we will enter uncharted waters if it creates real upheaval. Not sure how Europe would deal with him being overthrown in case of a new Maidan.
The future looks bleak unfortunately, regardless of what happens. I strongly doubt Europe has the political will and risk appetite to actually kick is out of the multiple bad trajectories ahead.
@Varsevan: I wouldn't place much trust in the enforcement with this admin, hence treat it as a pause, not the end.
The problem is that without a realistic alternative, I think swallowing the camels and going along with it is the only option.
The US cutting Ukraine off and Europe risking drawing Trump's wrath increases the risk of a worse settlement further down the line, plus risking alliance cohesion too.
Does Ze accepting create internal political risks? Yes, we will enter uncharted waters if it creates real upheaval. Not sure how Europe would deal with him being overthrown in case of a new Maidan.
The future looks bleak unfortunately, regardless of what happens. I strongly doubt Europe has the political will and risk appetite to actually kick is out of the multiple bad trajectories ahead.
Unit Observer (Twitter)
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
Unit Observer (Twitter)
Correction:
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment https://twitter.com/WarUnitObserver/status/1991904407609397634#m
Correction:
The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment https://twitter.com/WarUnitObserver/status/1991904407609397634#m
❤1
imi (m) (Twitter)
RT @WarUnitObserver: The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
RT @WarUnitObserver: The original source seems to have made a mistake and has since edited their post: The unit in the video appears to be the 56th Special Purpose Battalion, not the 56th Air Assault Regiment
Dan (Twitter)
RT @GLandsbergis: There is a glaringly obvious message for Europe in the 28 point plan: This is the end of the end.
We have been told repeatedly and unambiguously that Ukraine’s security, and therefore Europe’s security, will be Europe’s responsibility. And now it is. Entirely.
If you are a European leader asking your team to book you on the next flight to Washington to go talk to Daddy, please don’t.
Not without a plan, not cap in hand, not humiliating us all in front of the cameras at the Oval office.
Europe is our continent, our future is decided here, not there. We aren’t poor, we have options, we can finally decide to assist Ukraine to the full extent of our very extensive capabilities, restore European dignity and defend Europe.
Or we can continue to wait for the miracle we now know is not coming.
RT @GLandsbergis: There is a glaringly obvious message for Europe in the 28 point plan: This is the end of the end.
We have been told repeatedly and unambiguously that Ukraine’s security, and therefore Europe’s security, will be Europe’s responsibility. And now it is. Entirely.
If you are a European leader asking your team to book you on the next flight to Washington to go talk to Daddy, please don’t.
Not without a plan, not cap in hand, not humiliating us all in front of the cameras at the Oval office.
Europe is our continent, our future is decided here, not there. We aren’t poor, we have options, we can finally decide to assist Ukraine to the full extent of our very extensive capabilities, restore European dignity and defend Europe.
Or we can continue to wait for the miracle we now know is not coming.