Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@AvwriterJoe: My data is not off it is accurately reflecting the averages of major polls in Swing States and in election forecasts.
I would also like to add that there is no way Florida is in play.
3 Sources:
1.
2. realclearpolling.com
3. http://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
@AvwriterJoe: My data is not off it is accurately reflecting the averages of major polls in Swing States and in election forecasts.
I would also like to add that there is no way Florida is in play.
3 Sources:
1.
2. realclearpolling.com
3. http://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
ABC News
ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
👍1
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@Gregsiero: It didn’t use polymarket as a source though, only major pollsters, including election averages and forecasts from 538, RealClearPolling, and the Economist.
@Gregsiero: It didn’t use polymarket as a source though, only major pollsters, including election averages and forecasts from 538, RealClearPolling, and the Economist.
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@nextgenlaw05: She needs Pennsylvania to win. If she wins Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin then she wins 270-268
Or if she wins Pennsylvania and Michigan, as well as one of three (Wisconsin, Arizona, or Georgia) then she wins. But if she losses Pennsylvania then in 90% of cases she losses
@nextgenlaw05: She needs Pennsylvania to win. If she wins Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin then she wins 270-268
Or if she wins Pennsylvania and Michigan, as well as one of three (Wisconsin, Arizona, or Georgia) then she wins. But if she losses Pennsylvania then in 90% of cases she losses
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @UAControlMap: Weekend map thread for week ending Sunday 27th October 2024
Highlights: Large Russian gains in the Vuhledar and Selydove areas marked, with Russian forces breaking through the Ukrainian lines and raising the flag in Bohoyavlenka, 9 kilometers northwest of Vuhledar, and being sighted near the settlements to the west.
Russian forces captured Selydove, raising the flag over the town and also raising a flag in Vyshneve.
We're expecting Russian flag raises in the rest of Hirnyk and Kurakhivka any day now.
To be clear to anyone that just shrugs these off - these are not normal movements. Ukrainian forces are in disarray, and there is now a very good chance for Russia to capitalise upon these efforts and conquer significant areas.
Map: uacontrolmap.com
RT @UAControlMap: Weekend map thread for week ending Sunday 27th October 2024
Highlights: Large Russian gains in the Vuhledar and Selydove areas marked, with Russian forces breaking through the Ukrainian lines and raising the flag in Bohoyavlenka, 9 kilometers northwest of Vuhledar, and being sighted near the settlements to the west.
Russian forces captured Selydove, raising the flag over the town and also raising a flag in Vyshneve.
We're expecting Russian flag raises in the rest of Hirnyk and Kurakhivka any day now.
To be clear to anyone that just shrugs these off - these are not normal movements. Ukrainian forces are in disarray, and there is now a very good chance for Russia to capitalise upon these efforts and conquer significant areas.
Map: uacontrolmap.com
😱1
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Воронежская обл., ночь 27-28/10/24: что-то за ПВО совсем молчок
t.me/astrapress/67281 #Гусев
Воронежская обл., ночь 27-28/10/24: что-то за ПВО совсем молчок
t.me/astrapress/67281 #Гусев
IgorGirkin (Twitter)
New day high for UAF air defense impotence - 184 https://twitter.com/GeneralStaffUA/status/1850782983185117320#m
New day high for UAF air defense impotence - 184 https://twitter.com/GeneralStaffUA/status/1850782983185117320#m
🤬3
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@MistiLayne @cbouzy: Polling and election forecasts are the main predictors we have now. The early and mail in votes have a high turn out for Democrats but they also have a higher turn out for Republicans than they did in 2020.
Each state has a different dynamic that the polls cannot predict. The reason we can’t say definitively whether Trump or Kamala will win is because we do not know the turn out on election day for Trump or Kamala Harris. The polls have been wrong both ways, for Republicans and for Democrats in the past two years. If you know elections, then you know, that it’s hard to say how many people are going to be motivated to go vote for Trump this year and how many people are motivated to vote for Harris vs how many will actually show up. In 2016, more people were more motivated to vote for Trump so it was a surprise result, while in 2020 people did not like Trump so record numbers came to vote him out.
It is a dynamic we cannot quantity or accurately predict and it is based on a multitude of different factors. Voter turn out has been significantly increasing for the past 3 elections. But one thing is for sure, that for the past two weeks the election has gotten much closer than it was a month ago.
@MistiLayne @cbouzy: Polling and election forecasts are the main predictors we have now. The early and mail in votes have a high turn out for Democrats but they also have a higher turn out for Republicans than they did in 2020.
Each state has a different dynamic that the polls cannot predict. The reason we can’t say definitively whether Trump or Kamala will win is because we do not know the turn out on election day for Trump or Kamala Harris. The polls have been wrong both ways, for Republicans and for Democrats in the past two years. If you know elections, then you know, that it’s hard to say how many people are going to be motivated to go vote for Trump this year and how many people are motivated to vote for Harris vs how many will actually show up. In 2016, more people were more motivated to vote for Trump so it was a surprise result, while in 2020 people did not like Trump so record numbers came to vote him out.
It is a dynamic we cannot quantity or accurately predict and it is based on a multitude of different factors. Voter turn out has been significantly increasing for the past 3 elections. But one thing is for sure, that for the past two weeks the election has gotten much closer than it was a month ago.
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Месяц русофобии от "Курта" и компании
t.me/kurt_compani_group/499 #RussianUkrainianWar
Месяц русофобии от "Курта" и компании
t.me/kurt_compani_group/499 #RussianUkrainianWar
❤3👍1
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Кураховское направление: украинские бимбы и российский "Терминатор", результат неясен
t.me/officer_alex33/4076 #RussianUkrainianWar
Кураховское направление: украинские бимбы и российский "Терминатор", результат неясен
t.me/officer_alex33/4076 #RussianUkrainianWar
👍1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Videos from Ukraine’s 128th Mountain Assault and 20th Presidential brigades of Russian armored assaults on the Shakhtarske axis. The footage shows a close range tank strike on a Russian BTR, as well as RPG and FPV strikes on a turtle tank and other armored vehicles.
t.me/opbr_zsu/384
t.me/DeepStateUA/20592
t.me/DeepStateUA/20586
Videos from Ukraine’s 128th Mountain Assault and 20th Presidential brigades of Russian armored assaults on the Shakhtarske axis. The footage shows a close range tank strike on a Russian BTR, as well as RPG and FPV strikes on a turtle tank and other armored vehicles.
t.me/opbr_zsu/384
t.me/DeepStateUA/20592
t.me/DeepStateUA/20586
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Rob Lee (Twitter)
UAV-dropped munition strikes on a Russian BMPT tank support combat vehicle by Ukraine’s 79th Air Assault Brigade.
t.me/officer_alex33/4076
UAV-dropped munition strikes on a Russian BMPT tank support combat vehicle by Ukraine’s 79th Air Assault Brigade.
t.me/officer_alex33/4076
🔥4