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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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4emberlen (Twitter)

RT @Tatarigami_UA: After extensive research and analysis of North Korean deliveries to Russia using various sources and calculations, we estimate that Russia has received around 2,000 cargo containers containing over half a million artillery shells. The article link is at the end of this 🧵thread:
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4emberlen (Twitter)

RT @den_kazansky: Еще видео с места уничтожения военных из Чувашии.

По какой-то причине чуваши решили умирать за идеи русских нацистов и конец оказался предсказуем
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Dan (Twitter)

RT @Shayan86: Thread: Israel-Hamas war misinformation - Day 27

Nick Griffin, former leader of the British National Party, claims this video, viewed 420,000 times, shows "Israeli army vehicles destroyed" in Gaza.

He's wrong, because this is footage from the video game Arma 3.
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Dan (Twitter)

Interesting tracking.

For context, also see the graphic in the 2nd tweet recalling that before 2022, Russia held roughly 7.04% of Ukraine.
2
The Lookout (Twitter)

5/7
It is clear, both from Zaluzhny's statements and from watching events unfold that there were shortfalls in planning the offensive.
This is also a personell and training issue, with command, control and communications systems being an important enabler but people matters most
The Lookout (Twitter)

6/7
The main challenge for Ukraine in 2024 and new offensives will be artillery ammunition availability.
Even if other factors are improved upon, artillery ammunition is the key determining factor for offensive potential in this war.
What the Russians do matters a lot too.
The Lookout (Twitter)

3/7
As Zaluzhny says, both sides are grappling with the same problem: How to break through fortified lines. This leads towards stalemate, where major breakthroughs by any side is unlikely.
While Zaluzhny points towards technology, I would like to emphasize something different.
The Lookout (Twitter)

4/7
I think the the most important factor one can do something with are the internal ones. Personell and training, from the individual soldier to units and staffs at all levels
Herein lays the key to scale up operations, use current technology in novel ways, creating new tactics
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The Lookout (Twitter)

2/7
In my Autumn Approaches articles, I pointed to three groups of factors having led to this:
Internal AFU factors, the Russian defensive effort and deficiencies and delays in Western support.
The two former more important than the latter.
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The Lookout (Twitter)

7/7
This was just some brief thoughts on this at the moment.
Will probably return to this more in-depth at a later time.
Sober, honest, level-headed thoughts from CiNC AFU was sorely needed in the debate at this point in time.
This was a very important interview.
The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @M51_4ever: 🚀 Intercontinental Launch Week 🚀
After yesterday's unfortunate 🇺🇸ICBM MM-III failure, we are now waiting for the next launches:
- 🇷🇺 ICBM SARMAT : postponed to the 3rd, last day of planned window;
- 🇷🇺 SLBM BULAVA : will probably happen on the 4th or 5th.
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The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @shashj: 🧵This week The Economist spoke to Valery Zaluzhny, Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, on the state of the war. It’s a fascinating & important interview. “Just like in the first world war we have reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate.” economist.com/europe/2023/11…
The Lookout (Twitter)

1/7
My capacity is reduced at the moment but some brief thoughts on Zaluzhny's interview and essay:
Firstly, this should sober up the debate on the Ukrainian offensive.
It did fail in reaching it's original objectives and Zaluzhny voices caution on an attritional approach too.
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@666_mancer: Локация: Корсунка, Херсонская обл.