Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@randymot4: Could you list the candidates that are associated with the Heritage Foundation?

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@MuratSmith @requiemdlasnu @Maks_NAFO_FELLA: But one rockets won't kill 1000 Russians, it’s not as easy as you think. They need a lot more equipment and ammunition, as now they do not have enough to win and take back their territory.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

When Ukraine 🇺🇦 crosses both of Russia’s main defensive lines in Southern Ukraine, what do you think will happen next?

The Lookout (Twitter)

The operation isn't over, progress can still be made, but one needs to manage expectations and not succumb to wishful thinking.

In the discussion around the offensive, less heat and noise and more sober, level-headed analysis is needed.

One has to face the world as it is.

The Lookout (Twitter)

I will write more on this in my next article, looking at factors that will influence the future course of the war.

Also, I'm definitively not in the "negotiations now" crowd.
I want Ukraine to win.

Providing unemotional analysis is what I do, sometimes this is uncomfortable.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I completely disagree. I dont think a withdrawal from Bakhmut would have made Wagner stop fighting. Ukraine could possibly have reversed the salient and fought in a more advantageous position, thus keeping Wagner in the fight.

Def Mon (Twitter)

Wagner also fought better in the city than on the flanks where we now see Ukraine have much better results against regular troops.

Def Mon (Twitter)

Another thing is Prigozhin death might not have been the best outcome for Ukraine, him being around for a longer time might have destabilized Russia even further.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I also think a munity would have happened sooner or later. One possibility is that if Wagner would have stopped fighting earlier in Bakhmut, they would have marched for Mosocw earlier but much stronger.

Def Mon (Twitter)

My entire point here is: I think it's impossible to say the death of Prigozhin is proof of Ukraine staying in Bakhmut was the right decision. I'm quite sure we will never know for sure if it was or not.

Dan (Twitter)

239-43. SW approach to Andriivka likely last week of July.
First of 3 films of same treeline. 3rd Assualt Brigade claims its 2nd Company of 2nd Assault Battallion killed a dozen Russians with 3 captured.
Narrator claims he shot 2 on the right flank. At 0:44 he shows one of them and a view towards Kurdyumivka. Weapons are captured, then after a skirmish 3 Russians surrender from a dugout. Two are WIA and given first aid. UAF fire at a suspected 4th Russian in a bunker.
By conversations in the films and a view of a triple pylon in the 3rd film (and after eliminating other triple pylons in the area), I feel pretty confident this is filmed along treeline west of the triple pylons at 48.490578, 37.950641.
Film released 09 August.

Def Mon (Twitter)

There is also a real possibility the decision to stay or not will not affect the long term outcome. Just how we got there.

Def Mon (Twitter)

@3lHyl246m: You are correct. And this is not even real panic.

Dan (Twitter)

240-43. SW approach to Andriivka likely last week of July.
2nd of 3 films of same treeline where 2nd Company, 2nd Assault Batt, 3rd Assualt Brigade claims a dozen RuAF KIA with 3 captured.
A new assault group continues forward while 2 of the 3🇷🇺POWs in tweet 239 receive first aid. UAF are surprised to find POWs have Chinese tourniquets and that shoes have been booby trapped. Radio warns RuAF are 100m ahead. Later a sudden firefight with reportedly one UAF wounded in the hand.
By conversations in the films and a view of a triple pylon in the 3rd film (and after eliminating other triple pylons in the area), I feel pretty confident this is filmed along treeline west of the triple pylons at 48.490578, 37.950641.
Film released 10 August.
h/t @vmanulik for translation in both tweets.

Dan (Twitter)

241-43. SW approach to Andriivka likely last week of July.
3rd of 3 films of same treeline where 2nd Company, 2nd Assault Batt, 3rd Assualt Brigade claims a dozen RuAF were KIA with 3 captured.
While the firefight in twt 240 rages ahead UAF lie prone among various discarded RuAF small arms. They question their prisoner's motivations who claims he was mobilised. At 3:22 they inform by radio that dugouts and power line have been cleared. At 0:48 and 3:07 the triple pylons of power line direction change are glimpsed; IMO approx at 48.490578, 37.950641.
Film released 15 August.
h/t @vmanulik for translations.