The Lookout (Twitter)
However, this will be uncomfortable, as the general public isn't used to hearing this, especially those who didn't experience the Cold War.
Calm, steadfastness and resolve is needed if we are to stare down Russia in a potential nuclear crisis.
However, this will be uncomfortable, as the general public isn't used to hearing this, especially those who didn't experience the Cold War.
Calm, steadfastness and resolve is needed if we are to stare down Russia in a potential nuclear crisis.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Much of this depends on how this order is applied. The number of reservists with combat experience is limited, though they may include everyone who deployed to Syria. Shoigu is notoriously unreliable when it comes to figures so don't treat them as fact. 2/
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@DAlperovitch:
Shoigu on partial mobilization: We are taking reservists who:
A) Have served
B) Have military specialist skills
C) Have combat experience
Ed: Not a lot of people would meet all of those criteria
Much of this depends on how this order is applied. The number of reservists with combat experience is limited, though they may include everyone who deployed to Syria. Shoigu is notoriously unreliable when it comes to figures so don't treat them as fact. 2/
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@DAlperovitch:
Shoigu on partial mobilization: We are taking reservists who:
A) Have served
B) Have military specialist skills
C) Have combat experience
Ed: Not a lot of people would meet all of those criteria
Twitter
Shoigu on partial mobilization: We are taking reservists who:
A) Have served
B) Have military specialist skills
C) Have combat experience
Ed: Not a lot of people would meet all of those criteria
A) Have served
B) Have military specialist skills
C) Have combat experience
Ed: Not a lot of people would meet all of those criteria
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @Capt_Navy: @RALee85 The current decree on mobilization allows you to mobilize anyone and as much as you want, despite the fact that there is a term "partially" in the text.The next step may not be general mobilization,but the declaration of martial law in 🇷🇺. It will be a completely different song.
RT @Capt_Navy: @RALee85 The current decree on mobilization allows you to mobilize anyone and as much as you want, despite the fact that there is a term "partially" in the text.The next step may not be general mobilization,but the declaration of martial law in 🇷🇺. It will be a completely different song.
👍1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
There are two important immediate effects from this order: conscripts currently serving in the Russian military likely will be deployed to fight in Ukraine, and volunteers serving on short contracts will be stop-lossed into continuing to serve. 3/
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@DmitryOpines:
Potentially the most significant part of Putin's partial mobilisation decree:
All military service contracts (typically 3-6 months) currently in force extended indefinitely.
@IAPonomarenko
@RALee85 @shashj @WarMonitor3 https://t.co/4Ik95WZSGh
There are two important immediate effects from this order: conscripts currently serving in the Russian military likely will be deployed to fight in Ukraine, and volunteers serving on short contracts will be stop-lossed into continuing to serve. 3/
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@DmitryOpines:
Potentially the most significant part of Putin's partial mobilisation decree:
All military service contracts (typically 3-6 months) currently in force extended indefinitely.
@IAPonomarenko
@RALee85 @shashj @WarMonitor3 https://t.co/4Ik95WZSGh
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@Reuters We have to take his fear tactics seriously? He found the weak spot in the West being scared of Russia’s Nukes, and keeps exploiting it with threats of nuclear weapons. It’s a psychological game.
NATO must understand that Russia won’t use Nukes if Ukraine gets advanced weapons.🇺🇦
@Reuters We have to take his fear tactics seriously? He found the weak spot in the West being scared of Russia’s Nukes, and keeps exploiting it with threats of nuclear weapons. It’s a psychological game.
NATO must understand that Russia won’t use Nukes if Ukraine gets advanced weapons.🇺🇦
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Укроп нашёл творения морфов и просто в шоке (полное видео https://youtu.be/Q7uxbS5ECMs) #роспроп
Укроп нашёл творения морфов и просто в шоке (полное видео https://youtu.be/Q7uxbS5ECMs) #роспроп
😁11
Rob Lee (Twitter)
In the short-term, those two steps could be enough to prevent a collapse of Russian forces. Otherwise, Russia's manpower issues could have become catastrophic this winter when many short-term volunteers likely would not sign another contract. 4/
In the short-term, those two steps could be enough to prevent a collapse of Russian forces. Otherwise, Russia's manpower issues could have become catastrophic this winter when many short-term volunteers likely would not sign another contract. 4/
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@ZuluMbekezeli @EurysOps @Reuters So Let me get this straight.
You completely avoided the comment about Ukraine, and went to: What About the Middle East?
The Middle East has nothing to do with Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
@ZuluMbekezeli @EurysOps @Reuters So Let me get this straight.
You completely avoided the comment about Ukraine, and went to: What About the Middle East?
The Middle East has nothing to do with Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
But the war will now increasingly be fought on the Russian side by people who do not want to be there. The difference in morale, unit cohesion, and other critical factors between Ukrainian and Russian units will grow even greater. 5/
But the war will now increasingly be fought on the Russian side by people who do not want to be there. The difference in morale, unit cohesion, and other critical factors between Ukrainian and Russian units will grow even greater. 5/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@chheinzel Those parts of Ukraine are about to "legally" become part of Russia, which would allow their deployment. But we'll have to wait and see.
@chheinzel Those parts of Ukraine are about to "legally" become part of Russia, which would allow their deployment. But we'll have to wait and see.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
This is true, which is why we'll need to wait and see how the order is applied. Russia may start by mobilizing a small share of reservists under the narrow conditions Shoigu mentioned and then increase that over time in response to developments. 6/
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@Capt_Navy:
@RALee85 The current decree on mobilization allows you to mobilize anyone and as much as you want, despite the fact that there is a term "partially" in the text.The next step may not be general mobilization,but the declaration of martial law in 🇷🇺. It will be a completely different song.
This is true, which is why we'll need to wait and see how the order is applied. Russia may start by mobilizing a small share of reservists under the narrow conditions Shoigu mentioned and then increase that over time in response to developments. 6/
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@Capt_Navy:
@RALee85 The current decree on mobilization allows you to mobilize anyone and as much as you want, despite the fact that there is a term "partially" in the text.The next step may not be general mobilization,but the declaration of martial law in 🇷🇺. It will be a completely different song.
X (formerly Twitter)
Rob Lee (@RALee85) on X
Senior Fellow @FPRI. Previously @USMC, @ColumbiaSIPA, @CentreAST. Focused on Russian defense policy.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russia dismantled parts of the Soviet mobilization system with cadre units with officers and equipment ready to take on mobilized conscripts. Conscripts and reservists may be used as combat replacements to fill out understrength Russian units currently in Ukraine, instead. 7/
Russia dismantled parts of the Soviet mobilization system with cadre units with officers and equipment ready to take on mobilized conscripts. Conscripts and reservists may be used as combat replacements to fill out understrength Russian units currently in Ukraine, instead. 7/
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)
@auto_glam Meanwhile, the rest of Russians:
- Dear, why hasn't our son returned from the supermarket yet?
- Let's not talk about politics again…
@auto_glam Meanwhile, the rest of Russians:
- Dear, why hasn't our son returned from the supermarket yet?
- Let's not talk about politics again…
🔥5❤2
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @kromark: A new batch of cold-war era T62-M tanks (MY1983) for newly mobilized Russian soldiers is on its way to Ukraine. Photo taken on Sep. 11 in Millerovo, Rostov region (source https://archive.ph/DFQ7c). https://twitter.com/kromark/status/1572547554675687428/photo/1
RT @kromark: A new batch of cold-war era T62-M tanks (MY1983) for newly mobilized Russian soldiers is on its way to Ukraine. Photo taken on Sep. 11 in Millerovo, Rostov region (source https://archive.ph/DFQ7c). https://twitter.com/kromark/status/1572547554675687428/photo/1
💩2
🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)
#Ukraine: An unknown Russian tank (Possibly T-72B/AV or T-64BV) was destroyed during recent fighting, presumably in the East.
#Ukraine: An unknown Russian tank (Possibly T-72B/AV or T-64BV) was destroyed during recent fighting, presumably in the East.
🔥2
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@AleksRomanovs Yes, but Putin and Shoigu's descriptions signal that they are not going to start with a general mobilization right away even though they legally could.
@AleksRomanovs Yes, but Putin and Shoigu's descriptions signal that they are not going to start with a general mobilization right away even though they legally could.
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
Poll on Referendum’s in Russian Occupied Regions of Ukraine🇺🇦
Do you think the Referendum’s🗳 in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk Oblasts will be Free and Fair Referendums? Or will they be Fake and Falsified Referendums❓
Poll on Referendum’s in Russian Occupied Regions of Ukraine🇺🇦
Do you think the Referendum’s🗳 in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk Oblasts will be Free and Fair Referendums? Or will they be Fake and Falsified Referendums❓
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Each regiment and brigade was supposed to have one conscript battalion (also with officers and contract NCOs), but Russia's manpower issues have been so serious that I assume most of these officers and NCOs were already deployed. Not sure they are still coherent battalions. 8/
Each regiment and brigade was supposed to have one conscript battalion (also with officers and contract NCOs), but Russia's manpower issues have been so serious that I assume most of these officers and NCOs were already deployed. Not sure they are still coherent battalions. 8/