Rob Lee (Twitter)
If Ukraine was using ATACMS, Russia would know and they would say so. Moscow has been trying to paint this as a war with NATO and the West, not just with Ukraine. Russia blames HIMARS GMLRS for the majority of strikes behind Russian lines. Why wouldn't they say something? 5/
If Ukraine was using ATACMS, Russia would know and they would say so. Moscow has been trying to paint this as a war with NATO and the West, not just with Ukraine. Russia blames HIMARS GMLRS for the majority of strikes behind Russian lines. Why wouldn't they say something? 5/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Ukrainian officials have said the attack was conducted by Ukrainian SOF. Also, if Ukraine had ATACMS, there are a number of high-value targets that have not been attacked. Why aren't we seeing similar attacks beyond GMLRS/Tochka-U range in the Donbas? 6/
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@RALee85:
"A Ukrainian government official told The Washington Post on Wednesday that an airfield explosion in occupied Crimea was the work of Ukrainian special forces." @ikhurshudyan https://t.co/jEMkrilHK1
Ukrainian officials have said the attack was conducted by Ukrainian SOF. Also, if Ukraine had ATACMS, there are a number of high-value targets that have not been attacked. Why aren't we seeing similar attacks beyond GMLRS/Tochka-U range in the Donbas? 6/
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@RALee85:
"A Ukrainian government official told The Washington Post on Wednesday that an airfield explosion in occupied Crimea was the work of Ukrainian special forces." @ikhurshudyan https://t.co/jEMkrilHK1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
When the US provided HIMARS, US officials made a clear point that ATACMS would not be provided because of escalation risks. If the US provided them now, it would give Moscow the signal that the US' escalation appetite is greater. I doubt the Biden admin wants to signal that. 7/
When the US provided HIMARS, US officials made a clear point that ATACMS would not be provided because of escalation risks. If the US provided them now, it would give Moscow the signal that the US' escalation appetite is greater. I doubt the Biden admin wants to signal that. 7/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Notably, there have been other attacks in Crimea, but none showed the huge craters or explosions that occurred at Saki Airbase. That indicates that the large explosions at Saki were the result of bombs or fuel exploding, not necessarily the munition used. 8/
Notably, there have been other attacks in Crimea, but none showed the huge craters or explosions that occurred at Saki Airbase. That indicates that the large explosions at Saki were the result of bombs or fuel exploding, not necessarily the munition used. 8/
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
#Вышков, Брянская обл., в уголке памяти Вышковской школы открыли мемориальную доску мертвому выпускнику Максу https://guberniya.tv/obshhestvo/v-pamyat-o-pogibshem-na-ukraine-bryantse-maksime-sarakvashine-otkryli-memorialnuyu-dosku/ #груз200 #всрф #потерьнет #Сараквашин #мемориал
#Вышков, Брянская обл., в уголке памяти Вышковской школы открыли мемориальную доску мертвому выпускнику Максу https://guberniya.tv/obshhestvo/v-pamyat-o-pogibshem-na-ukraine-bryantse-maksime-sarakvashine-otkryli-memorialnuyu-dosku/ #груз200 #всрф #потерьнет #Сараквашин #мемориал
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Why hasn't Belbek airfield been destroyed? Why hasn't the Black Sea Fleet been targeted in port? Why hasn't the Antonovsky bridge been targeted with ATACMS, which would do far more damage than GMLRS? We would see army-level command posts destroyed if Ukraine had ATACMS. 9/
Why hasn't Belbek airfield been destroyed? Why hasn't the Black Sea Fleet been targeted in port? Why hasn't the Antonovsky bridge been targeted with ATACMS, which would do far more damage than GMLRS? We would see army-level command posts destroyed if Ukraine had ATACMS. 9/
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
I was open to the ATACMS explanation when the attack occurred, but it seems less and less plausible at this point. And we know Ukraine is having success targeting Russian positions far from the front lines with commercial UAVs. 10/
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@RALee85:
Reportedly footage of a Ukrainian UAV kamikaze strike on a Russian oil refinery in Novoshakhtinsk, Rostov Oblast.
https://t.co/SYsD7oQTwr https://t.co/1MjamL30uV
I was open to the ATACMS explanation when the attack occurred, but it seems less and less plausible at this point. And we know Ukraine is having success targeting Russian positions far from the front lines with commercial UAVs. 10/
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@RALee85:
Reportedly footage of a Ukrainian UAV kamikaze strike on a Russian oil refinery in Novoshakhtinsk, Rostov Oblast.
https://t.co/SYsD7oQTwr https://t.co/1MjamL30uV
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
@ChuckPfarrer But the two UAV attacks on the Black Sea Fleet headquarters occurred in broad daylight, and they both hit the target. The complacency seen at Russian airbases lends credence to the view that they left bombs in the open near aircraft. Even small UAVs could detonate those bombs.
@ChuckPfarrer But the two UAV attacks on the Black Sea Fleet headquarters occurred in broad daylight, and they both hit the target. The complacency seen at Russian airbases lends credence to the view that they left bombs in the open near aircraft. Even small UAVs could detonate those bombs.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
I could be wrong, but cruise missiles almost certainly would have been videotaped by people on the beaches near the airbase and imo we would have seen other things occur if Ukraine had ATACMS. 11/
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@CalibreObscura:
I see a lot of discussion about Ukrainian SSO in Crimea.
Just know they've been there since April at least. Not from open sources.
(These images are approved to release, and this particular area is no longer used.) https://t.co/QGWzMU2OBw
I could be wrong, but cruise missiles almost certainly would have been videotaped by people on the beaches near the airbase and imo we would have seen other things occur if Ukraine had ATACMS. 11/
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@CalibreObscura:
I see a lot of discussion about Ukrainian SSO in Crimea.
Just know they've been there since April at least. Not from open sources.
(These images are approved to release, and this particular area is no longer used.) https://t.co/QGWzMU2OBw
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Status-6 (Twitter)
Kharkiv resident experiencing a Russian MLRS shelling of the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv tonight. To me, these sound like cluster munitions.
Kharkiv resident experiencing a Russian MLRS shelling of the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv tonight. To me, these sound like cluster munitions.