Rob Lee (Twitter)

@bhginee: The report gives a 4:1 overall attrition ratio, so 40,000 is the likely total figure. A 1:1 KIA:WIA ratio tracks with what we were told.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@colone1flanders: There aren’t many videos but TOWs are bring used to good effect.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@PuenteUribarri: 2/ https://twitter.com/Bielitzling/status/1813957841436484017#m

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

RT @embeathome: 1day to my b-day! 320€ gifted to @Mamulashvili_M instead of🎂🎁🍺to me

+182€ in last 13hours - not the fastest fundraiser🫤

🎯20.000€
✅11.294€
🛠️8.706€

http://donio.sk/gnl-mamuka/birthday-for-mamuka - no fees
donio.sk/gnl-mamuka?lang=en - no fees
Paypal.me/embeathome
Buymeacoffee.com/marosbabiak

Donation 200€ and more = signed officier's patch of the
@georgian_legion by @Mamulashvili_M and additionaly
your (fella) avatar will be a part of very special meme created by @Rowan_M72

pls RT/qBoost the fundraiser tweet for better visibility, since ELMO surpresses pro🇺🇦 content🤬 @Nursingbricks @Zorboter @UkraineUaCa @justessb @g_ill_G @ExScientia_Vera @AlastairJAitken @StevenHildreth @EliBlueYellow @Danu924a @JoeWeis55325776 @Bonkavision5 @mmc51264 @russell_hamm @JaySebesta @Thunder_Fella @PickUpYourWish @skykiss22 @AroundDrive @fakemclangley @jamiepeters434 @warrior_na92602 @SavageSqueek @MimiPrague @F16forUKRAINE...

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

RT @AndrewPerpetua: The public response to Krynky has been absurd. I think the public lacks understanding of how many casualties occur in ukraine every single day. I'm not going to provide statistics, but losing 1000 men over 9 months is really not that bad. Especially in relation to the damage they inflicted.

Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (Twitter)

🇺🇲🇨🇿 The US State Department has approved a possible Foreign Military Sale to Czechia of 200 Hellfire missiles and 600 APKWS II guides rockets, plus associated equipment and services for an estimated cost of $138 million. The prime contractors would be Lockheed Martin and BAE.

The description and dollar value are for the highest estimated quantity and dollar value based on initial requirements. Actual dollar value will be lower depending on final requirements, budget authority, and signed sales agreement(s), if and when concluded.

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

"Рабочие будни танкистов на Волчанском направлении. Увеличенная активность вражеских FPV вынуждает постоянно менять огневые позиции. Экипаж старается в такие моменты находиться на броне. Это повышает шансы выживаемости при попадании птички (сбрасывает с брони)."

ru worms chat on air

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Херсонская область.

Видео от российских военнослужащих.

Цитата:

«Работа самодельного тральщика по разминированию водной акватории.»

👀

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Because mining the reason

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

"Группа бойцов во главе со старшим стрелком Авазовым пыталась спасти раненого товарища. В это время на парней налетел украинский дрон, и Алексей отвлек его себя.
Уведя беспилотник за собой, Авазов спас сослуживцев, но сам попал под обстрел и получил тяжелое ранение, от которого скончался."

ru worms chat on air

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

Bradley of the 47th Brigade fires at Russian infantry positions
t.me/brygada47/883

Rob Lee (Twitter)

3/ https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1813959194791518415#m

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@ukraine_map @Mr_ATACMS @ChrisDJackson @POTUS @JoeBiden: From a post this week explaining why 538 the election analytical site show Biden is more likely to win the election than Trump.

538’s methodology is very complex. Other estimates from CNN and the Economist showing a Trump landslide are not very accurate or anymore accurate than 538.

For example, let’s take Virginia, a state Biden very likely will win. The polls show around 40% for Biden and 40% for Trump now, but for Democratic Senators shows them winning by 5-10%. That’s because around 15% to 20% of the voters have not made their decision yet which is why we are seeing both Trump and Biden in a three way race with 3rd party’s polling very low at around 40% each.

Closer to Election Day most of those 15% to 20% of voters will make a decision, and in a state like Virginia it will very likely be Biden, and in Michigan it will break close to even. 538 is not flawed, they are making an estimate based on many different factors including historical ones, one is that polls 4 months out are not very representative of how the election will be. In 3 way polls Biden is losing to Trump by 1-3% on average, with a large portion of people undecided around 15%. But for swing states and nationally for two way polls Biden is winning nationally by around 2% in the majority of those polls and is around 1-2% away within the margin of error in swing state polls. That’s because when people are given a choice between Trump or Biden, many will be siding with Biden in swings states or breaking even.

This is the same reason why Republicans were projected to win the House by 30 to 40 seats last year in the same polls and ended up winning by only 4 seats and now have a 1 seat majority.

Dan (Twitter)

RT @KofmanMichael: Circling back to the battle for Bakhmut, a useful addition by @RUSI_org colleagues in a recent report. https://static.rusi.org/lessons-learned-ukraine-offensive-2022-23.pdf