Dan (Twitter)

RT @RALee85: "The 22nd and two other [Russian] spetsnaz brigades suffered an estimated 90 to 95 percent attrition rate, the assessments say...the 346th — 'lost nearly the entire brigade with only 125 personnel active out of 900 deployed.'” @AlexHortonTX
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/14/leaked-documents-russian-spetsnaz/ https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1646784058045898758/photo/1

Dan (Twitter)

RT @NewVoiceUkraine: Born in Donetsk and raised in Berdyansk, 'Sonic' was a political scientist before the war. She said she had no choice but to go fight and she is now with the 241st brigade of Ukraine's Armed Forces.

Sonic is now defending Bakhmut.

More news here 👉 https://english.nv.ua/ https://twitter.com/NewVoiceUkraine/status/1646717160448835584/photo/1

The Lookout (Twitter)

@andrenaleen I was thinking about assigning a nuclear role to Su-25s.

We'll see what happens, but I won't be surprised if warheads do in end up there. However, I believe the warheads then would be under tight 12th GUMO control.

Overall, this wouldn't change the strategic situation that much

The Lookout (Twitter)

@A01895559 Because that's where the main fortified lines are with a number of mobilized units manning them. The Russians are also trying to reinforce here and create reserves. Some of these units are tank units lacking tanks.

Sending the older tanks to the south therefore makes sense to me

Dan (Twitter)

@JohnHanzl spring already started in Kherson region according to reports I saw.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@jojottelua 1st

Dan (Twitter)

@auditor_ya @small10space @GeoConfirmed Did you see any other views of this vehicle up closer?

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

The main strategic planning assumption must be a long war

Primary reasons why one should manage expectations for 2023 is that Western equipment comes in small quantities, important capabilities are withheld and Western industrial mobilization is too slow

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-14/ukraine-offensive-hopes-fade-on-russian-defenses-despite-weapons-from-allies

The Lookout (Twitter)

I wouldn't call looking into the requirements and possibilities for Ukrainian operations in 2024 and beyond pessimistic.
It's being realistic.

Even if Ukraine recaptures all occupied territories, this doesn't necessarily means the end of the war, as Putin has gone all in.

The Lookout (Twitter)

@MT_Anderson @IntercityFC @TheLimpCrane @Jenjustjen20 @tillykium @FouthTimeLucky Such intercepts are part of the daily life up there.

However, I'll have to admit that I'm surprised that P-8 Barents Sea missions are visible.

Status-6 (Twitter)

A video of a rarely seen Ukrainian 79K6 Pelican radar being hit by a Russian ZALA Lancet loitering munition.

79K6 is a 3D surveillance radar designed for target acquisition and air-traffic control. It was developed by the Ukrainian Scientific and Production Complex "Iskra."

‌The Lookout (Twitter)

Good thread addressing a topic I have seen a lot of less intelligent takes on since yesterday.
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@20committee:
Brief thread: I realize many Americans hear "National Guard" and conjure up images of good ol' boys playing Army on the weekend. In reality, the Guard and Reserve possess a lot of intelligence and related (IO, etc) units which are fully integrated into broader DoD/IC missions...