Rob Lee (Twitter)
6 BM-27 Uragan MLRS 9P140 launchers as well as 9T542 transporter-loading vehicles, BMP-2, MT-LB, 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers, and other equipment apparently arriving in Kursk today.
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@GirkinGirkin:
Курск https://t.co/eKCWkX2V1C
6 BM-27 Uragan MLRS 9P140 launchers as well as 9T542 transporter-loading vehicles, BMP-2, MT-LB, 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers, and other equipment apparently arriving in Kursk today.
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@GirkinGirkin:
Курск https://t.co/eKCWkX2V1C
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @konrad_muzyka: This video confirms the deployment of elements belonging to the 2nd Combined Arms Army (CAAs) near Ukraine. The last CAA to arrive. Therefore, at the moment, elements of all ground forces CAAs (11/11) are "working towards Ukraine".
RT @konrad_muzyka: This video confirms the deployment of elements belonging to the 2nd Combined Arms Army (CAAs) near Ukraine. The last CAA to arrive. Therefore, at the moment, elements of all ground forces CAAs (11/11) are "working towards Ukraine".
4emberlen (Twitter)
RT @ELINTNews: #BREAKING: Russian units have left their assembly areas and begun to move into attack positions. Some long-range artillery and rocket launchers have also been moved into firing positions- US official to @CBSNews reports
RT @ELINTNews: #BREAKING: Russian units have left their assembly areas and begun to move into attack positions. Some long-range artillery and rocket launchers have also been moved into firing positions- US official to @CBSNews reports
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1303/
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@polinaivanovva:
For me, it's this one line that seems crucial, where Lavrov says that Russia has succeeded in getting results
He says: the demands we made in December, they 'shook up' the west, they made western governments go back to the table on other issues
https://t.co/JuzWUI5tv2
1303/
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@polinaivanovva:
For me, it's this one line that seems crucial, where Lavrov says that Russia has succeeded in getting results
He says: the demands we made in December, they 'shook up' the west, they made western governments go back to the table on other issues
https://t.co/JuzWUI5tv2
Twitter
Polina Ivanova
For me, it's this one line that seems crucial, where Lavrov says that Russia has succeeded in getting results He says: the demands we made in December, they 'shook up' the west, they made western governments go back to the table on other issues ft.com/content/b3e97d…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1304/
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@RALee85:
6 BM-27 Uragan MLRS 9P140 launchers as well as 9T542 transporter-loading vehicles, BMP-2, MT-LB, 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers, and other equipment apparently arriving in Kursk today. https://t.co/X6Q01YnjSV https://t.co/03mBI6hWZ4
1304/
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@RALee85:
6 BM-27 Uragan MLRS 9P140 launchers as well as 9T542 transporter-loading vehicles, BMP-2, MT-LB, 2S1 Gvozdika howitzers, and other equipment apparently arriving in Kursk today. https://t.co/X6Q01YnjSV https://t.co/03mBI6hWZ4
Rob Lee (Twitter)
They're assuming a posture right now that you would not maintain for months. Russia can sustain an enhanced military presence near Ukraine for a long time, but they will either act in the coming weeks or move many of these tanks, howitzers, etc. to a more administrative posture.
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@War_Takes:
I guess an important caveat with Ukraine is, even if the Russians are moving to positions from which they could launch an attack with little to no warning, it doesn't mean they are actually going to go in the next few hours or days. They could sit on it for longer and THEN go.
They're assuming a posture right now that you would not maintain for months. Russia can sustain an enhanced military presence near Ukraine for a long time, but they will either act in the coming weeks or move many of these tanks, howitzers, etc. to a more administrative posture.
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@War_Takes:
I guess an important caveat with Ukraine is, even if the Russians are moving to positions from which they could launch an attack with little to no warning, it doesn't mean they are actually going to go in the next few hours or days. They could sit on it for longer and THEN go.
Twitter
War Takes
I guess an important caveat with Ukraine is, even if the Russians are moving to positions from which they could launch an attack with little to no warning, it doesn't mean they are actually going to go in the next few hours or days. They could sit on it for…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1305/
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@shanvav:
Breaking: The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv is temporarily relocating operations from Kyiv to Lviv "due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces," Secretary of State Tony Blinken says in statement just now.
1305/
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@shanvav:
Breaking: The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv is temporarily relocating operations from Kyiv to Lviv "due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces," Secretary of State Tony Blinken says in statement just now.
Twitter
Shannon Vavra
Breaking: The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv is temporarily relocating operations from Kyiv to Lviv "due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces," Secretary of State Tony Blinken says in statement just now.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Basically we're talking about a military posture that means Russia could escalate within hours (i.e. units 10 miles from the border) or days (units 100 miles from the border) once the decision has been made. We're already in the window where Russia doesn't need weeks.
Basically we're talking about a military posture that means Russia could escalate within hours (i.e. units 10 miles from the border) or days (units 100 miles from the border) once the decision has been made. We're already in the window where Russia doesn't need weeks.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @FPRI: We've got exciting news! FPRI is delighted to announce @RALee85 appointment as a Senior Fellow in our Eurasia program http://ow.ly/S7XV50HUNRv
RT @FPRI: We've got exciting news! FPRI is delighted to announce @RALee85 appointment as a Senior Fellow in our Eurasia program http://ow.ly/S7XV50HUNRv
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Rob Lee Joins FPRI's Eurasia Program as a Senior Fellow - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) is pleased to announce the appointment of Rob Lee as a Senior Fellow in FPRI's Eurasia Program.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
1306/
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@ckoettl:
Interesting detail spotted in a video recently: A powerful Russian electronic warfare system called Krasukha-4. Thanks to @Michael1Sheldon @RALee85 for their help. https://t.co/WXTWUtnhRY
======
Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
@Tasha130873
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@ckoettl:
Interesting detail spotted in a video recently: A powerful Russian electronic warfare system called Krasukha-4. Thanks to @Michael1Sheldon @RALee85 for their help. https://t.co/WXTWUtnhRY
1306/
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@ckoettl:
Interesting detail spotted in a video recently: A powerful Russian electronic warfare system called Krasukha-4. Thanks to @Michael1Sheldon @RALee85 for their help. https://t.co/WXTWUtnhRY
======
Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)
@Tasha130873
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@ckoettl:
Interesting detail spotted in a video recently: A powerful Russian electronic warfare system called Krasukha-4. Thanks to @Michael1Sheldon @RALee85 for their help. https://t.co/WXTWUtnhRY
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1307/
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@larisamlbrown:
This amounts to more than 60 per cent of Russia's ground combat power. Another 14 BTGs are also on their way.
1307/
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@larisamlbrown:
This amounts to more than 60 per cent of Russia's ground combat power. Another 14 BTGs are also on their way.
Twitter
Larisa Brown
This amounts to more than 60 per cent of Russia's ground combat power. Another 14 BTGs are also on their way.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@cossackgundi Well Russia currently has record high foreign currency reserves and its economy was in a far worse position in 2014-2015 during the interventions in Ukraine and Syria. I don't think sanctions are sufficient to deter a an escalation, if Putin thinks the objectives are worth it.
@cossackgundi Well Russia currently has record high foreign currency reserves and its economy was in a far worse position in 2014-2015 during the interventions in Ukraine and Syria. I don't think sanctions are sufficient to deter a an escalation, if Putin thinks the objectives are worth it.
Dan (Twitter)
Shortly to Belarus. First Rečyca, did a new unit arrive? Could also be January arrivals of 5th Tank Bde but their tactical №s were clear + they arrived in fresher snow. At 52.342184, 30.384398 h/t @danvan71
7x T-72B
Probably R-330BMV then R-934BMV
BTS-4A.
https://t.co/ScUAyueGKx
Shortly to Belarus. First Rečyca, did a new unit arrive? Could also be January arrivals of 5th Tank Bde but their tactical №s were clear + they arrived in fresher snow. At 52.342184, 30.384398 h/t @danvan71
7x T-72B
Probably R-330BMV then R-934BMV
BTS-4A.
https://t.co/ScUAyueGKx
Twitter
IgorGirkin
РБ
Rob Lee (Twitter)
1308/
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@konrad_muzyka:
Usually 2S19s are transported on trailers. To see it on the move on its own, through a city, is very unusual. https://t.co/u8Q3yV0ruP
1308/
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@konrad_muzyka:
Usually 2S19s are transported on trailers. To see it on the move on its own, through a city, is very unusual. https://t.co/u8Q3yV0ruP
Twitter
Konrad Muzyka - Rochan Consulting
Usually 2S19s are transported on trailers. To see it on the move on its own, through a city, is very unusual. twitter.com/girkingirkin/s…
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Danvan (Twitter)
Губкін, Білгородська обл. колона авіаційної техніки 51.27304531618575, 37.584470998342724
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@GirkinGirkin:
Губкин https://t.co/57pLuNRvMV
Губкін, Білгородська обл. колона авіаційної техніки 51.27304531618575, 37.584470998342724
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@GirkinGirkin:
Губкин https://t.co/57pLuNRvMV