Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Сержант ракетных войск и артиллерии #всрф Дунь Д.Ю. (хз, где он сам, вообще) https://xn--r1a.website/Airborne1126/115

 The Lookout (Twitter)

According to local media, the Governor of Kurks Oblast has said that the initial callup there (in Kursk Oblast) will be in the range of 2500 - 3000 men.

https://kursk-izvestia.ru/news/189683/

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

I’ve been to Zaporizhzhia Oblast many times and it’s one of the most patriotic oblasts in Ukraine. I never met someone in favor of Russia, as almost everyone there is against Russia. If the results are for Russia then they’re most certainly fake because it wouldn’t even be close.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

In the case of Kherson City, I spoke to residents living in the city two months after the war started, and I was told “99% of people don’t want to be part of Russia”

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Херсонская обл., результаты работы украинского ударного октокоптера R18 https://xn--r1a.website/aerorozvidka/638 #всу #RussianUkrainianWar

The Lookout (Twitter)

Ignore the obvious typo...

 The Lookout (Twitter)

In Murmansk Oblast, the work of the draft board has begun. No figures given in this article.

https://www.mvestnik.ru/newslent/prizyvnaya-komissiya-pod-rukovodstvom-andreya-chibisa-pristupila-k-rabote-video/

Rob Lee (Twitter)

If we’re only talking about Russia deploying reservists who were previously contract soldiers and not conscripts, that would narrow the number available. However, conscripts will likely face greater coercion to sign contracts to deploy regardless. 9/
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@DAlperovitch:
@RALee85 Went back to listen carefully again. Here is what he said:

"Concerning conscripts - it won't impact them. They are not subject to mobilization and won't be send to the zone of special military operation. Conscripts will keep serving as they do now on the territory of the RU" https://t.co/6fnbcWnZt5

 The Lookout (Twitter)

Highly recommended reading, thread:
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@KofmanMichael:
A few incomplete thoughts on the question of mobilization. It won't solve many of the RU military's challenges in this war, but it could alter the dynamic. Fair to say that these are uncharted waters, and so we should take care with deterministic or definitive claims. 1/

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)

#Ukraine: Two Russian 2S19 Msta-S 152mm SPG were hit by counter-battery fire of the Ukrainian Marines; at least one was destroyed.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@loogunda Yeah, that was my thought, which is why I think they'll be deployed.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

The other important short-term effect is that there are criminal penalties for soldiers who refuse to fight. Considering that this was 20-40% of soldiers in some units, that isn't insignificant. But an involuntary fighting force won't have great long-term prospects. 10/