Rob Lee (Twitter)

My tentative view is that the Kremlin is still resisting mobilization and will try everything short of it first (e.g. recruiting prisoners). Russia's strategy since April has involved a # of short-term solutions strung together in hopes that they would lead to long-term success.
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@RALee85:
I wonder if this will actually be passed, or if it is designed as a threat to coerce currently serving Russian servicemen who are refusing to deploy. https://t.co/DkcbnKH2UY

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@Mortis_Banned @SpBDaveTDC What do you do if several soldiers sabotage their equipment? Do you arrest a significant % of your unit that is supposed to be holding part of the line? I can imagine many ways in which this goes wrong.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

The medium and long-term military factors favor Ukraine. This may achieve short-term benefits, but it would likely lead to greater problems over time. Conscripts currently serving will be less likely to sign contracts and a much higher % of Russians will dodge the fall draft. 2/

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@klinovp I think it would be politically quite risky to imprison hundreds or thousands of soldiers who choose to not fight in this war.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Не понимаю, нахуя что-то проводить, если и так всё давно решено и циферки уже прописаны? https://xn--r1a.website/duma_gov_ru/1024 #гдрф #Володин #блядскийцирк

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Впрочем, какая в жопу разница, добавили в Кремле
https://xn--r1a.website/rian_ru/178472 https://xn--r1a.website/rian_ru/178476 #блядскийцирк

 Status-6 (Twitter)

#BREAKING: the "referendum" on the "Luhansk People's Republic" entry into Russia to take place in September 23-27 period, the first deputy speaker of the republic's parliament announced.

https://xn--r1a.website/opersvodki/8927

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@AndrijSevcov Это невозможно

The Lookout (Twitter)

Things are seemingly moving in Moscow today, with the "referendums", and amendments to the Criminal Code, which includes terms such as mobilization, wartime and martial law.

I'm not quite up to speed on events, but seems like important decisions could be looming.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

If Russia decides to escalate, the first step would likely be to deploy the conscript battalions in the Russian military rather than necessarily mobilizing Russian society or conscripting civilians across Russia. 3/

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@stick631 Agreed.

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)

#Ukraine: The Ukrainian 73rd Maritime Special Operations Centre destroyed a claimed Russian BMD-4M airborne IFV using drone-dropped munitions, presumably in the South.

 Status-6 (Twitter)

A referendum in the "Donetsk People's Republic" on joining Russia is also scheduled for September 23-27, Pushilin said.

https://xn--r1a.website/vestiru24/42540

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@DimaKhua Можно, конечно