Lucky is among the few people that are very much worth following in the sea of Twitter/CT slop
He's just regularly sharing useful fundamental analysis on crypto for free, it's great to still have some of these people on CT
https://x.com/LuckyXBT__/status/2017316776636219450
He's just regularly sharing useful fundamental analysis on crypto for free, it's great to still have some of these people on CT
https://x.com/LuckyXBT__/status/2017316776636219450
X (formerly Twitter)
Lucky βοΈ (@LuckyXBT__) on X
Since the Lighter announcement of gating the LLP via staked $LIT + APR rewards, the amount of $LIT staked has nearly doubled. This led me down the supply dynamics rabbit hole.
As per their docs: "in the short term, Lighter is bootstrapping this yield usingβ¦
As per their docs: "in the short term, Lighter is bootstrapping this yield usingβ¦
β€26π7
Crypto Narratives
My expectation is that $ZEC remains an under-performer for some time It had the opportunity to look good by flipping $400 but got rejected hard there
NGL I wasn't expecting such a strong $ZEC dead cat bounce in December, but it seems to have printed a lower high, and this chart is looking like it still needs to digest a 20x pump (by bleeding down)
β€18π₯5
Being concerned about Microstrategy involvement in BTC makes sense, I would prefer if they had smaller scale too
But if you're genuinely wanting to get rid of Saylor before bottoming... boy, we're in for a long ride
MSTR is a cockroach, they are not going away anytime soon
But if you're genuinely wanting to get rid of Saylor before bottoming... boy, we're in for a long ride
MSTR is a cockroach, they are not going away anytime soon
π36π13β€3π€3π₯2π±1
$ZK is trading at $0.16 on Upbit and at $0.034 on Binance
lmao
lmao
π26π₯13π±7
Crypto Narratives
$ZK is trading at $0.16 on Upbit and at $0.034 on Binance lmao
Deposits available again ig lol
π16π€6π4β€2
Crypto Narratives
First time of this cycle that buying the -30% drawdown was not a winning trade The current drawdown is -40% and is the largest of the cycle
Good confluence on $75k: round number + second touch on 2025 bottom prices + 40% drawdown + right below Saylor's cost basis
We should have buyers step in in this $70-$75k zone
We should have buyers step in in this $70-$75k zone
β€41π€10π6π3
Crypto Narratives
$STRC only dumping 2% from par (so far) while $BTC is down 15%+ from its 2026 highs Daily trading volume standing above $100M too. Good to see MSTR mNAV is basically 1x now though, let's check if it's going to dip below it
Excellent thing to see, $STRC is holding up very well at less than a 2% drawdown from par despite $BTC crashing -15% over the weekend
Seasoning in progress.
(So far the MSTR/IBIT ratio has been unfazed by this weekend move too)
Seasoning in progress.
(So far the MSTR/IBIT ratio has been unfazed by this weekend move too)
π20β€4
$MSTR - a leveraged structure designed to mechanically outperform BTC in the long run under some minimally bullish assumptions
$BMNR - Tom Lee's long-only ETH investment vehicle, where he'll sometimes dilute you under 1x mNAV and write $200m checks to Mr Beast
I'm obviously overstating the point here but BMNR truly doesn't offer something more compelling than being outright long ETH, if you do like ETH
$BMNR - Tom Lee's long-only ETH investment vehicle, where he'll sometimes dilute you under 1x mNAV and write $200m checks to Mr Beast
I'm obviously overstating the point here but BMNR truly doesn't offer something more compelling than being outright long ETH, if you do like ETH
β€18
One basic risk management rule is to have a mental stop loss on your whole trading account (or even on your net worth)
When you reach this stop loss level, it means you should cut all of your positions.
Why this works: loss aversion often makes it impossible to close one deeply losing trade. But when you reframe the decision at the account level, it becomes much easier mentally.
This also forces you think in advance what your 'worst case scenario' looks like, and make sure you don't end up in a worst situation than this.
Then when you start trading again after that stop loss hit, you can start with a fresh mind, and much smaller positions, and with a focus on limiting drawdowns
When you reach this stop loss level, it means you should cut all of your positions.
Why this works: loss aversion often makes it impossible to close one deeply losing trade. But when you reframe the decision at the account level, it becomes much easier mentally.
This also forces you think in advance what your 'worst case scenario' looks like, and make sure you don't end up in a worst situation than this.
Then when you start trading again after that stop loss hit, you can start with a fresh mind, and much smaller positions, and with a focus on limiting drawdowns
π48β€20π₯4π3π1
After having seen what happened to all altcoin DATs, I'm not sure that as a $HYPE bull you should really wish $PURR to become a meaningful piece of the inflows into HYPE
π32π€9β€3π3
Crypto Narratives
Future $ETH price action based on the last 18 months megaphone
ouch
π39π±10π’4π₯3π2π1
I'm long for a bounce and will add if we go to $69k-$70k
This PA is truly suffocating but after -20% in a week on BTC I have a hard time thinking we don't get any bounce at all from here
I will cut some if we go back to perma-bleeding during US hours
This PA is truly suffocating but after -20% in a week on BTC I have a hard time thinking we don't get any bounce at all from here
I will cut some if we go back to perma-bleeding during US hours
π24β€9π₯6π5π€1π’1
Crypto Narratives
I'm long for a bounce and will add if we go to $69k-$70k This PA is truly suffocating but after -20% in a week on BTC I have a hard time thinking we don't get any bounce at all from here I will cut some if we go back to perma-bleeding during US hours
I can't really ignore that
β€31π10π€7π4
The fact that there is no straightforward explanation for this level of relentless selling is what makes it legit scary
But I'd feel stupid in hindsight not bidding if we bounce here
But I'd feel stupid in hindsight not bidding if we bounce here
π€26π13β€6π±3π1