🚀 U.S. Government Shutdown Alters Economic Data Release Schedule
#USGovernmentShutdown #EconomicData #BEA #GDP #PCE #PersonalIncome #ReleaseSchedule #BlockBeats #EconomicImpact
According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has announced changes to the release schedule of economic data due to the government shutdown. The initial estimate for the third quarter GDP of 2025 has been canceled, which was originally scheduled for release on October 30. Additionally, the report on September's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and personal income will now be released on December 5 at 10 a.m. UTC+8, instead of the previously planned date of October 31.#USGovernmentShutdown #EconomicData #BEA #GDP #PCE #PersonalIncome #ReleaseSchedule #BlockBeats #EconomicImpact
🚀 U.S. Dollar Declines Ahead of Key Inflation Data Release
#USDollar #InflationData #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Economy #RateCut #InflationExpectations
According to ChainCatcher, the U.S. dollar has weakened ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. Emma Wall from Hargreaves Lansdown noted that the core PCE data will be particularly significant before the Federal Reserve's December meeting. If inflation data exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged. Conversely, if the data meets or falls below expectations, it could pave the way for another rate cut.#USDollar #InflationData #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Economy #RateCut #InflationExpectations
🚀 Fed Chair Powell Highlights Core PCE Inflation Progress
#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has noted that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), excluding the impact of commodity tariffs, is slightly above 2%. According to ChainCatcher, Powell views this as a positive development in terms of inflation. The core PCE is a key measure of inflation that the Federal Reserve monitors closely.#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
🚀 Federal Reserve Vice Chair Predicts December PCE Inflation Rate
#FederalReserve #ViceChair #Jefferson #PCE #inflation #economicforecast #ChainCatcher #DecemberPCE #inflationarypressures
The Federal Reserve's Vice Chair, Jefferson, has projected that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for December may see a year-on-year increase of 2.9%. According to ChainCatcher, this forecast highlights the ongoing economic considerations facing the Federal Reserve as it navigates inflationary pressures.#FederalReserve #ViceChair #Jefferson #PCE #inflation #economicforecast #ChainCatcher #DecemberPCE #inflationarypressures
🚀 Analyst Highlights Moderate Inflation Trends in Canada
#Canada #inflation #CPI #PCE #economy #FederalReserve #tariff #housingcosts #labormarket #wagepressures
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Capital Markets analyst Ali Jaffery has noted that the year-on-year growth rates for overall inflation and core inflation stand at 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively. According to Jin10, these figures align closely with the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which is moving towards policymakers' target of 2%. Historically, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tends to average about 0.5 percentage points higher than the PCE. Today's data indicates that annual inflation pressures remain moderate, as businesses continue to absorb tariff costs, housing costs decline, and a weak labor market suppresses wage pressures.#Canada #inflation #CPI #PCE #economy #FederalReserve #tariff #housingcosts #labormarket #wagepressures
🚀 U.S. Economic Data and Fed Minutes to Shape Market Focus This Week
#USEconomicData #FedMinutes #StockMarket #FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #PCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditure #CoreData #GDPGrowthRate #DurableGoodsOrders #BuildingPermits #HousingStarts #HomeSales #IndustrialProduction #PMI #ConsumerSentiment #WalmartEarnings
This week, the U.S. stock market will operate for only four days due to a holiday closure on Monday. According to RTHK, the market's attention will be on the minutes from last month's Federal Reserve meeting, along with the latest inflation and GDP data. The Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting early Thursday morning, UTC+8. Investors are keenly observing the divide between officials advocating for maintaining current rates and those supporting rate cuts. Several officials are also scheduled to speak throughout the week.
On Friday, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, will be released. The market anticipates a slight monthly increase to 0.3% for December, with the annual rate holding steady at 2.8%. Core data is expected to show a modest expansion to 0.3% monthly and 2.9% annually.
The preliminary GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of last year will also be announced on Friday, with forecasts suggesting a slowdown to 3% from the third quarter's 4.4%. This data may be influenced by the recent U.S. government shutdown.
Additional data releases include December's durable goods orders, building permits, housing starts, and new home sales; January's industrial production and pending home sales index; February's preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); and the final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.
Furthermore, Walmart is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings on Thursday.#USEconomicData #FedMinutes #StockMarket #FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #PCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditure #CoreData #GDPGrowthRate #DurableGoodsOrders #BuildingPermits #HousingStarts #HomeSales #IndustrialProduction #PMI #ConsumerSentiment #WalmartEarnings
🚀 U.S. GDP Growth Falls Short of Expectations at 1.4%
#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
The U.S. economy experienced slower growth than anticipated, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increasing by only 1.4%, falling short of the expected 2.8%. Bespoke Investment Group posted on X that both the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Core PCE showed stronger-than-expected results. Additionally, both Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) missed their targets, contributing to a mixed economic outlook as the week concluded.#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
🚀 Fed's Preferred Inflation Measure PCE Surpasses CPI by 0.6%
#Fed #PCE #CPI #inflation #interestRates #BiancoResearch #inflationTarget #economy #USFed #PCEvsCPI #inflationMeasure
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, highlights that the PCE inflation measure is now 0.6% above the CPI, nearing a 40-year extreme. This shift suggests the Fed's preferred measure is worsening compared to the public's choice, CPI. Historically, PCE was lower than CPI, except post-recession. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates soon as PCE rises while CPI falls. The question arises if the Fed will abandon its 2% PCE target due to inconvenience, as it did with the University of Michigan inflation expectations when they showed high readings.#Fed #PCE #CPI #inflation #interestRates #BiancoResearch #inflationTarget #economy #USFed #PCEvsCPI #inflationMeasure
🚀 Jim Bianco Discusses Fed's Preference for PCE Over CPI
#JimBianco #FederalReserve #PCE #CPI #Economics #Inflation
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, commented on the Federal Reserve's preference for PCE over CPI. He inquired about the positive spread between the two measures.#JimBianco #FederalReserve #PCE #CPI #Economics #Inflation
🚀 Gasoline Price Increase May Impact March CPI
#GasolinePrices #CPI #Inflation #Economy #BiancoResearch #ClevelandFed #PCE #MarchCPI #PriceIncrease #ConsumerPriceIndex
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, notes that the national average of gasoline prices has risen 32 cents (13%) since last Friday. If prices remain stable, this increase could add 0.4% to the headline CPI.
The Cleveland Fed estimates CORE CPI could rise by 0.25%, potentially pushing March CPI to 0.6% or 0.7%. This may elevate March's year-over-year CPI to 3%, up from January's 2.4%, with a higher impact on PCE.#GasolinePrices #CPI #Inflation #Economy #BiancoResearch #ClevelandFed #PCE #MarchCPI #PriceIncrease #ConsumerPriceIndex
🚀 Key Economic Data and Federal Reserve Speech to Influence Markets
#EconomicData #FederalReserve #USCPI #GDP #PCE #UKGDP #Inflation #MarketTrends #JoblessClaims #Macroeconomics
Several significant economic data releases from the U.S. and UK, along with a speech by the Federal Reserve, are anticipated in the second week of March. According to NS3.AI, these events are expected to provide insights into growth and inflation trends. Market participants will closely monitor U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), jobless claims, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), and UK GDP figures for indications of economic direction.#EconomicData #FederalReserve #USCPI #GDP #PCE #UKGDP #Inflation #MarketTrends #JoblessClaims #Macroeconomics
🚀 Bitcoin's Sentiment Influenced by Key US Economic Indicators
#Bitcoin #USEconomicIndicators #CPI #JoblessClaims #PCE #JOLTS #BitcoinSentiment #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #NonFarmPayrolls #Unemployment #Inflation #LaborData #BTC
This week, four significant U.S. economic indicators—Consumer Price Index (CPI), jobless claims, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)—are expected to impact Bitcoin sentiment and influence Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. According to NS3.AI, the February Non-Farm Payrolls report revealed a decrease of 92,000 jobs, contrary to the anticipated increase of 59,000, with unemployment at 4.4%. Following this report, Bitcoin traded near $70,000, marking a 2% decline for the week.
The article discusses potential scenarios where softer economic data could facilitate Bitcoin's rise above $70,000. Conversely, higher inflation and weaker labor data might exert downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, potentially pushing them toward the $60,000 range.#Bitcoin #USEconomicIndicators #CPI #JoblessClaims #PCE #JOLTS #BitcoinSentiment #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #NonFarmPayrolls #Unemployment #Inflation #LaborData #BTC
🚀 Market Volatility Rises Amid Global Events Impacting Oil Transport
#MarketVolatility #OilTransport #USChinaEconomy #CPI #PCE #Unemployment #GlobalEvents #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoVolatility #StraitOfHormuz #Macroeconomics #BTC #ETH
This week, key U.S. economic data releases are anticipated, including February's CPI on Wednesday, unemployment figures on Thursday, and January's PCE price index on Friday. According to ChainCatcher, while these macroeconomic indicators are significant, the military actions by the U.S. against Iran affecting the Strait of Hormuz are the true market-moving events, impacting global oil transportation.
Since last week, there has been a noticeable increase in implied volatility for major terms, with Bitcoin's short-term implied volatility exceeding 65% and Ethereum's surpassing 80%, marking recent highs. The market's expectation for volatility this month continues to rise, and the recent decline in skew indicates a growing demand for downside protection.#MarketVolatility #OilTransport #USChinaEconomy #CPI #PCE #Unemployment #GlobalEvents #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoVolatility #StraitOfHormuz #Macroeconomics #BTC #ETH
🚀 U.S. PCE Inflation Rate Forecast Revised Upward, Reuters Survey Indicates
#US #PCE #Inflation #Forecast #Reuters #Economy #MarketTrends #EconomicData
A recent survey conducted by Reuters reveals an upward revision in the projected U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate for the upcoming quarters. According to Jin10, the survey anticipates average PCE inflation rates of 3.3% for the second quarter, 3.1% for the third quarter, and 2.9% for the fourth quarter. These figures represent an increase from the previous forecast made on March 12, which predicted rates of 2.8%, 2.7%, and 2.5% for the respective quarters. The revised projections suggest a higher inflationary trend than initially expected, reflecting changes in economic conditions and market dynamics.#US #PCE #Inflation #Forecast #Reuters #Economy #MarketTrends #EconomicData
🚀 Economists Predict Significant Rise in U.S. March CPI Amid Gasoline Price Surge
#Economists #USCPI #GasolinePrices #Inflation #MarchCPI #CoreCPI #PCE #FederalReserve #MiddleEastConflict #InterestRates #USLaborMarket
Economists have indicated that the sudden increase in gasoline prices felt by U.S. consumers will be prominently reflected in the key inflation data to be released this week. According to Jin10, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March is expected to rise by 1% month-on-month, marking the largest single-month increase since 2022. The core CPI is anticipated to increase by 0.3% month-on-month. Previously, the Iran conflict led to a rise of approximately $1 per gallon in gasoline prices at U.S. gas stations.
On the day before the CPI data release, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure will provide insights into pre-conflict price pressures. Economists expect the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index to have risen by 0.4% in February for the third consecutive month, indicating that the process of inflation easing to more moderate levels had already stalled before the conflict began.
The combination of signs of stabilization in the U.S. labor market, persistent price pressures, and new inflation risks from the Middle East conflict helps explain why the Federal Reserve may find it challenging to lower interest rates this year.#Economists #USCPI #GasolinePrices #Inflation #MarchCPI #CoreCPI #PCE #FederalReserve #MiddleEastConflict #InterestRates #USLaborMarket
🚀 Key Economic Events Scheduled for Second Week of April
#EconomicEvents #April #CPI #FOMC #PCE #GDP #JoblessClaims #SouthKorea #RateDecision
The second week of April is set to feature several significant macroeconomic events. According to NS3.AI, the U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI) release is scheduled for April 10 at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Additionally, the week will include the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes on April 8, the U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, final Q4 GDP figures, and Initial Jobless Claims on April 9. Furthermore, South Korea's rate decision is expected on April 10.#EconomicEvents #April #CPI #FOMC #PCE #GDP #JoblessClaims #SouthKorea #RateDecision
🚀 Bitcoin Traders Monitor Key Signals Amid Market Uncertainty
#Bitcoin #Traders #MACD #CPI #PCE #USIran #BearFlag #MarketUncertainty #BTC
Bitcoin traders are closely observing four significant signals this week. According to NS3.AI, these include a weekly MACD bullish signal, which historically preceded a 25% price surge. Additionally, traders are paying attention to U.S. CPI and PCE data, a looming U.S.-Iran deadline, and a bear flag pattern suggesting a potential drop below $60,000.#Bitcoin #Traders #MACD #CPI #PCE #USIran #BearFlag #MarketUncertainty #BTC
🚀 U.S. Core PCE Price Index Annualized Rate for Q4 Finalized at 2.7%
#USCorePCE #PCEPriceIndex #Inflation #FederalReserve #Economy #InflationaryPressure #EconomicIndicators #QuarterlyReport #USEconomy #PCE
The U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for the fourth quarter was finalized at an annualized rate of 2.7%, according to Jin10. This figure aligns with both the expected rate and the previous value of 2.7%. The core PCE price index is a key measure of inflation, excluding food and energy prices, and is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve to assess inflationary pressures in the economy.#USCorePCE #PCEPriceIndex #Inflation #FederalReserve #Economy #InflationaryPressure #EconomicIndicators #QuarterlyReport #USEconomy #PCE
🚀 U.S. Inflation Trends Show Potential Systemic Risks Amid Geopolitical Tensions
#USInflation #GeopoliticalTensions #CryptoQuant #CPI #PCE #InflationRisk #EconomicGrowth #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USIranConflict
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost recently shared insights on the X platform regarding the current structure of U.S. inflation. According to Odaily, while the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained largely unchanged. This indicates that inflationary pressures have not yet fully spread across the economy. This trend requires ongoing monitoring through subsequent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data and in the coming months.
As long as this structure persists, it suggests that inflation has not become systematically embedded in the U.S. economy and may be more of a temporary phenomenon, potentially linked to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the conflict between the U.S. and Iran prolongs, inflation could gradually evolve into a systemic risk, potentially impacting economic growth. In such a scenario, the Federal Reserve might be compelled to continue raising interest rates to address the situation.#USInflation #GeopoliticalTensions #CryptoQuant #CPI #PCE #InflationRisk #EconomicGrowth #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USIranConflict
🚀 Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Challenges Amid Economic Indicators
#Bitcoin #LiquidityChallenges #EconomicIndicators #PCE #CPI #ConsumerSpending #USEconomy #LEI #RealYields #MonetaryPolicy #EnergyShock #BTC
Bitcoin may face liquidity challenges, according to Delphi Digital's analysis. According to PANews, February's PCE data indicated a weakening in U.S. consumer spending even before the impact of the Iran conflict. Income levels have contracted, and real spending has shown almost no growth. Subsequently, March's CPI recorded a 3.3% increase, with energy accounting for three-quarters of the rise. The U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) is declining, typically leading real yields by about six months. The last occurrence of such a scenario was in 2022, when tight monetary policy coincided with an energy shock, resulting in Bitcoin's correlation with real yields turning deeply negative.#Bitcoin #LiquidityChallenges #EconomicIndicators #PCE #CPI #ConsumerSpending #USEconomy #LEI #RealYields #MonetaryPolicy #EnergyShock #BTC