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π On January 18, 2026, Bitcoin's price fluctuated between $94,869 and $95,115 per coin, while derivatives traders remained active. The futures and options markets exhibited heavy open interest and a focus on price levels just below $100,000.
π The aggregate bitcoin futures open interest was approximately 646,850 BTC, valued at about $61.48 billion. Although there was a slight increase in total open interest over the past hour, the 24-hour reading decreased by nearly 2%, indicating selective trimming rather than a broad exit from leverage.
π Among futures venues, Binance led with around 129,540 BTC in open interest, representing over 20% of the global total. CME followed closely with 122,640 BTC, highlighting its role as a preferred venue for institutional positioning. Other exchanges like OKX, Bybit, Gate, and MEXC also carried significant exposure despite mixed short-term changes in positioning.
π In the options markets, total open interest approached $36.88 billion, with Deribit hosting the largest share of contracts. Calls dominated the options landscape, making up about 57% of total open interest, while puts accounted for approximately 43%. This skew suggests that traders remain bullish over the longer term, despite some near-term caution.
π However, short-term volume showed a different trend, with put options slightly outpacing calls over the past 24 hours. This imbalance indicates tactical hedging as traders prepare for potential turbulence around upcoming expiries.
π Max pain levels provide further insight, with the largest concentration of notional value on Deribit clustering near the $90,000 to $93,000 range for late January expirations. In contrast, Binance's options market showed max pain closer to $100,000, suggesting that traders there are positioning for broader price swings.
π Overall, Bitcoin's derivatives markets reflect conviction without complacency. Futures traders remain engaged, options players are actively managing risk, and the price continues to hover around a zone where leverage, psychology, and patience intersect.
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β οΈ The debate over quantum computing's potential threat to Bitcoin's network has intensified. Recent on-chain data reveals that new institutional whales now control a larger share of Bitcoin's realized market cap, creating a significant $6 billion influence gap. Analyst Peter Brandt warns that technical indicators suggest a downside target of $58Kβ$62K for Bitcoin. This comes amidst global market shocks triggered by President Trump's unexpected 10% tariffs on select European nations and a selloff in Japanese bonds that affected U.S. Treasuries.
π§ The growing concern among investors about quantum computing has led some to consider exiting their Bitcoin positions. However, the editor's comment questions whether this fear is justified or merely bullish FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt).
π Recent data indicates that new institutional whales are now dominating Bitcoin's realized cap, surpassing long-term "OG" whales. While institutions typically have longer time horizons, they are also more sensitive to market volatility. This shift could significantly alter the future price chart of Bitcoin compared to previous years.
π Peter Brandt has highlighted risky chart patterns and diminishing momentum that suggest a potential new low for Bitcoin is imminent. Despite this bearish outlook, Bitcoin has a history of surprising its critics.
π The global markets were rattled by Trump's tariff announcement, which he used as a tactic to create uncertainty regarding his Greenland takeover threat. This move has positioned him as a key figure in the macro world.
π₯ Additionally, a sharp selloff in Japanese government bonds has prompted coordinated interventions from U.S. and Japanese officials. As these events unfold, the crypto market is closely monitoring the situation to assess potential impacts.
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By supporting native USDTβs use cases in an advanced payment ecosystem, we are removing barriers to liquidity and simplifying access to the distribution of USDT, paving the way for more efficient and scalable payments worldwide
said Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether.
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should Iran, or anyone else, do anything to interfere with the Free and Safe Passage of Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider this decision
Trump stated.
ultimately, only one thing solves the problem: re-open the Strait of Hormuz.
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Every weekend there is a sell-off... on Sunday the markets are likely to bounce back and continue to rise,
he wrote.
He noted that the price level of $71,400 is a crucial support level. A break below this level would mean a cancellation of the recovery, while holding above it would promote short-term growth.
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The divergence between price growth and declining spot interest indicates a speculative nature of the movement,
the analysts noted.
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