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🚨 Fed’s Goolsbee “Optimistic” About More Rate Cuts Next Year Despite FOMC Dissent

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📌 U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Rise: Betting on Maduro's Future

🚫 Tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela have escalated under President Trump, with maritime strikes, tanker seizures, and sanctions targeting Nicolás Maduro’s regime. Polymarket bettors are increasingly optimistic about Maduro being ousted, assigning a 21% chance of this occurring before January 31, 2026.

⚠️ The U.S. has long deemed Maduro’s rule illegitimate due to election fraud and undermining of democracy. With Trump back in power, Maduro faces renewed accusations of narco-trafficking, including alleged connections to the Cartel de los Soles.

❗️ Since September, there have been over 20 maritime strikes on suspected drug-smuggling vessels, which Maduro condemned as aggressive acts. The U.S. further escalated pressure by seizing the Venezuelan-linked tanker Skipper on December 10, which was carrying 2 million barrels of crude and was part of a "shadow fleet" evading sanctions. Maduro retaliated by labeling this action as "criminal naval piracy."

📈 Polymarket now features 13 wagers related to Maduro and the U.S.-Venezuela standoff. One significant market has seen a volume of $24.49 million focused on when Maduro will leave office. Current odds suggest a 9% chance of his exit by December 31, 2025, increasing to 21% by January 2026, and rising further to 38% by March 31, 2026 as traders consider the impact of sustained pressure.

🗓 Looking ahead to December 31, 2026, the odds shift to a 56% chance of Maduro's departure, indicating that bettors see time as his greatest adversary. There is also a 13% chance predicted for Maduro to hold talks with Trump and a 37% chance of him leaving Venezuela by March 31, 2026.

⚠️ Trump has threatened imminent land strikes against alleged narcotics operations in Venezuela, suggesting a potential shift towards ground-based military action. Polymarket bettors assign a 57% chance of military engagement between the two countries by March 31, 2026, while the likelihood of a full U.S. invasion remains low at 16%.
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Gold quietly hit a new record in 2025.

Some assets move fast, others move steadily, but both say something about how we react to risk.

How well do you read these shifts?

Check yourself by taking a short quiz.

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📉 Unemployment Report: Stocks Fall, Bitcoin Rises

📊 The recent unemployment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed grim news for the job market, with October seeing a loss of 105,000 jobs and the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%, the highest in four years. Despite this negative outlook, bitcoin surprisingly increased by 2.5% while stocks took a hit.

🔔 The report indicated that November gained 64,000 jobs, exceeding the 50,000 forecast, but the significant losses in October were primarily from the federal government, which lost 162,000 jobs that month. This data was delayed due to a 43-day government shutdown that interrupted data collection.

📉 The soft employment numbers complicate the Federal Reserve's efforts to maintain stable prices and full employment. Inflation stands at 3%, above the Fed's 2% target, making the decision to raise or cut interest rates challenging. The likelihood of a rate reduction in January 2026 has dropped to 24%.

“The November jobs number supports a 25-basis point rate cut, but the data is soft and slightly inaccurate because of the 43-day shutdown,”

said finance commentator Kevin O’Leary. He noted that inflation remains a concern for the Fed as it navigates these decisions.

📈 At the time of reporting, bitcoin was priced at $87,561.91, reflecting a 1.8% increase since Monday but a 6.46% decline over the past week. Daily trading volume rose by 3.42% to $44.93 billion, and market capitalization increased to $1.74 trillion. However, total bitcoin futures open interest fell by 1.25% to $58.58 billion, with liquidations dropping sharply to $65.83 million.
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🚨 Trump to Interview BlackRock’s Rick Rieder as Fed Chair Shortlist Narrows to Four

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Russia is becoming a hub for breakthrough developments in AI

The conference AI Journey 2025 is hosted by Sber which shows a suite of releases that are quite unexpected with the notion of a nation cut off from modern tools. Among them were new models in its flagship GigaChat line, Ultra-Preview and Lightning, built for Russian-language tasks, and an updated generation of its GigaAM-v3 speech-recognition system and the Kandinsky 5.0 image models and compression models K-VAE 1.0, essential for training visual content generation models.

Sber has committed to publishing its models in open source, including the weights required to reproduce and adapt them. In the AI world, that is the difference between a slick demo and a genuine building block.

By opening its models, Russia can embed itself in the workflows of developers who are hungry for capable, accessible tools. If those tools happen to be Russian, influence follows. It is a quiet, technical route to relevance at a moment when traditional diplomatic channels are blocked or fraying.

For those who had quietly hoped Russia would fade from the technology story, that is an unwelcome surprise. For everyone else, it is a reminder that in the competition to shape the tools that will define the next decades, new players can emerge from precisely the places where they were least expected.

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📈 Bitcoin and Stocks Surge Following TikTok's U.S. Joint Venture Announcement

📊 Bitcoin recently experienced a boost in its value, coinciding with news of TikTok's new joint venture in the U.S. This venture involves Oracle and other American firms, allowing TikTok to continue its operations in the U.S. despite previous national security concerns that had led to temporary bans.

All organizations and citizens shall support, assist, and cooperate with national intelligence efforts in accordance with law,

Article 7 of China's 2017 National Intelligence Law states. This law had raised alarms in the U.S. and Canada, prompting bans on Bytedance, TikTok's parent company. However, a deal brokered by former President Donald Trump has paved the way for the establishment of the TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, with investment partners including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX.

📈 Following the announcement, Oracle's stock surged, leading a market rally that also saw a rise in Bitcoin's price. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $88,007.63, up 2.82% for the day but down 2.41% for the week. The cryptocurrency's trading volume decreased by 9.77% to $47.42 billion, while its market capitalization rose to $1.75 trillion.

They say it will be trained on US data,

said Rush Doshi, an assistant professor at Georgetown University. He referred to TikTok USDS's plan to create a new algorithm focused on American content. However, he raised concerns about the ownership of the existing algorithm:
Great, but has the algorithm been transferred, licensed, or is it still owned and controlled by Beijing?


🔍 In summary, while the TikTok deal did not directly drive Bitcoin's price increase, it contributed to a positive shift in market sentiment that benefited cryptocurrencies.
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BIG backing with big implications ⚡️

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Institutional confidence is rising 🚀

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Official announcement

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🪙 Ethereum's Current Market Position: A Balancing Act Above $3,000

📉 Ethereum is currently trading just above the $3,000 mark, creating a sense of anticipation among traders. As of December 22, 2025, its price stands at $3,049 with a market cap of $368 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $17.78 billion. The price has been fluctuating within a narrow range of $2,969 to $3,065, indicating a period of indecision.

📊 The daily chart reveals a standoff between bulls and bears. After a rejection near $3,450, Ethereum retraced but is now consolidating within a range defined by $2,620 on the downside and $3,450 on the top. Volume increased during the pullback, suggesting active distribution rather than exhausted buyers. The price still maintains a series of higher lows, which offers cautious optimism for the current setup. Resistance is noted between $3,300 and $3,450, while support is at $2,900 and further down between $2,750 and $2,620.

🔍 On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum has regained control above the $3,000 level, which is crucial both psychologically and technically. The chart shows a series of higher lows from a bounce off $2,773, indicating a controlled ascent. However, momentum is slowing near $3,075 to $3,100, which acts as a short-term supply zone. Price action above $3,000 favors upward continuity, but a sustained drop below $2,980 would signal a need for structural reevaluation.

📈 The 1-hour chart indicates consolidation just below $3,077, with upper wicks on Ethereum's candles suggesting seller aggression. Volume spikes during pullbacks show that dip buyers are active, but they are more focused on defending territory than making new gains. The market seems to be building a base but has yet to make a decisive push for a breakout. Until Ethereum clears the $3,100 threshold convincingly, range-bound behavior will likely continue.

📉 Indicator analysis shows indecisiveness for Ethereum. The relative strength index (RSI) is at 49.6, the Stochastic oscillator is at 34.9, and the commodity channel index (CCI) reads –23.2—all in neutral territory. The average directional index (ADX) confirms a lack of dominant trend at 28.9, while the Awesome oscillator is at –50.6, indicating more confusion than momentum. However, the momentum indicator shows a slight positive bias with a reading of –34.2, and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level stands at –47.2.
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🚨 What’s Ahead for MSTR Stock Price, Another Crash Or A Recovery?

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🛡 Trust Wallet Hack: Over $6 Million Stolen from Users

🚨 Reports emerged on Thursday about a significant hack involving Trust Wallet, a widely used multi-currency wallet. Blockchain security influencer ZachXBT revealed that hundreds of users were affected, with over $6 million drained from their wallets.

💬 ZachXBT broke the news on his Telegram channel, noting that many Trust Wallet users had reported losing funds. He later updated that the number of victims had increased to hundreds and that the stolen amount included SOL, EVM tokens, and BTC.

🔍 The exact cause of the hack is still unclear. However, X user Akinator suggested it might be linked to a supply chain attack related to a December 24 update of the wallet's browser extension. He pointed out that this update introduced hidden code that silently transmitted wallet data under the guise of analytics.

It tracks wallet activity and triggers when a seed phrase is imported,

he explained. This aligns with social media reports indicating that funds were withdrawn after users entered their seed phrases into the Trust Wallet extension.

🚫 ZachXBT expressed hope that Trust Wallet would compensate victims if it is confirmed that the wallet was responsible for the breach. Threat Researcher Vladimir S. claimed to have contacted a Trust Wallet team member anonymously. He advised,
If you have the TW extension in Google and you have money there, disconnect the computer on which it is installed from the network and the Internet. This will minimise damage.


🔎 As of now, Trust Wallet has not publicly addressed these allegations. However, Vladimir S. stated that they are investigating the matter and will provide updates soon.
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🚀 XRP's Bullish Momentum: A Shift Towards Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Clarity

📈 As XRP enters 2026, it is experiencing increasing breakout pressure driven by legal clarity, institutional capital influx, and enhanced liquidity from spot ETFs. This shift marks a transition from short-term speculation to a more structured financial instrument.

⚖️ The pivotal moment for XRP's bullish trend was the regulatory resolution in the United States. The conclusion of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) case against Ripple Labs in August established that secondary-market XRP transactions are not classified as securities. This ruling removed significant barriers to U.S. market participation, restoring exchange liquidity and paving the way for compliant financial products.

📊 Further regulatory shifts favored XRP with the easing of restrictions for launching spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The appointment of SEC Chair Paul Atkins and a more crypto-friendly administration facilitated the approval of several spot XRP ETFs. Notably, Canary Capital’s XRPC ETF led the way, followed by offerings from major institutions like Grayscale and Franklin Templeton. This surge in institutional participation positioned XRP as a regulated digital commodity and opened direct channels for traditional capital.

📈 Beyond capital markets, XRP's adoption in enterprise usage has strengthened its utility-led narrative. Regulatory clarity has allowed corporate treasury teams to hold and use XRP without securities risk. Companies like Evernorth and Trident Digital Tech have publicly disclosed their XRP treasury strategies, linking allocations to cross-border payments and working capital efficiency.
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🚀 Strategy Inc.: The Bitcoin Proxy in Institutional Debates

💰 Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR) is the most aggressive public-market vehicle for bitcoin accumulation, combining significant balance-sheet exposure with equity-market leverage. Despite facing short-term volatility, dilution, and regulatory challenges, the company's scale and liquidity keep it central to institutional bitcoin allocation discussions.

📊 As of December 30, Strategy held approximately 672,497 BTC valued at $59.5 billion, making bitcoin the primary driver of its enterprise value. The company's shares traded at $155.61 with a market capitalization of about $48.4 billion. However, performance has been volatile, with the stock down 52% over three months and 49% over one year. Despite these drawdowns, the stock trades around 1.05x market net asset value due to its leverage and capital market access.

💼 Balance-sheet metrics show both resilience and dependence on market confidence. Strategy reported about $2.2 billion in cash reserves against $8.2 billion in debt, translating to net leverage near 10% and roughly $8.0 billion in preferred equity outstanding. Management emphasizes that current bitcoin holdings equate to more than 70 years of dividend coverage in BTC terms.

📈 Index dynamics are now crucial for the company's outlook. Retention in the Nasdaq 100 preserves passive and derivatives-driven demand. However, proposed MSCI index-rule changes targeting companies with digital assets exceeding 50% of total assets pose a risk, as BTC represents close to 90% of Strategy’s balance sheet. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor advocates for continuous accumulation and expansion of digital credit issuance, betting that sustained access to equity and credit markets will outweigh dilution risk and evolving index mechanics.
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🚨BlackRock Moves Bitcoin and Ethereum, Stirring Sell-Off Fears Ahead of $2.2B Options Expiry

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🔔 Robert Kiyosaki Warns of Market Crash as Bitcoin Gains Importance

📉 Throughout 2025, Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, predicted a significant global market crash while emphasizing the increasing importance of bitcoin as an alternative asset. He linked the current economic conditions to warnings he has made for over a decade.

Biggest crash in history starting. In 2013, I published Rich Dad’s Prophecy predicting the biggest crash in history was coming. Unfortunately that crash has arrived. It’s not just the U.S. Europe and Asia are crashing.


📊 Kiyosaki attributed the ongoing turmoil to policies implemented after the 2008 financial crisis, such as prolonged quantitative easing and aggressive debt expansion. He pointed out signs of strain in the market, including tightening liquidity and rising sovereign debt, suggesting that these issues go beyond a typical business cycle.

💰 Alongside his crash predictions, Kiyosaki consistently highlighted bitcoin's role in a deteriorating fiat environment. He described bitcoin as
people’s money

due to its fixed supply and independence from central bank control. Despite stating that he rarely sells bitcoin, he admitted to selling a portion strategically to reallocate capital into cash-flowing businesses.

🌍 Kiyosaki continued to advocate for holding bitcoin and ethereum alongside gold and silver, while directing gains towards income-producing assets in essential sectors like healthcare and food production. He emphasized the importance of diversification across digital assets and resilient businesses as markets adjust heading into 2026.
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💰 Wall Street's Bold Move into Crypto: A Shift in Institutional Priorities

🏦 Major financial institutions are rapidly increasing their involvement in crypto as strategic priorities shift across Wall Street. A senior industry executive shared on social media platform X on Jan. 6, 2026, that large banks and asset managers are no longer proceeding cautiously and are now committing resources at scale.

Consensus View: Institutions are slowly warming up to crypto. Accurate View: Institutions are charging at crypto full-speed and see it as a key business priority.

said Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan. He framed the comments in reference to Morgan Stanley, which manages about $1.8 trillion in assets and filed S-1 registrations with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for spot bitcoin and solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Hougan characterized the filings as a notable step by a major U.S. bank toward direct crypto exposure inside registered products rather than indirect structures.

📈 This move followed strong demand across newer digital asset funds, including nearly $800 million in net inflows into solana (SOL) ETFs since mid-2025 and a massive $1.2 billion for XRP funds, while established giants like bitcoin and ethereum pushed the total U.S. crypto ETF market past the $150 billion mark by early 2026. This surge was accelerated by the passage of the GENIUS Act and the SEC’s adoption of generic listing standards in late 2025, which lowered the legal hurdles for “altcoin” products and emboldened major institutions like Morgan Stanley to move beyond cautious pilot programs and integrate crypto ETFs directly into mainstream wealth management platforms.

Morgan Stanley manages 20 ETFs, but mostly under the Calvert/Parametric/Eaton Vance brands. These will be the 3rd and 4th ETFs to bear the ‘Morgan Stanley’ brand. Pretty remarkable.

highlighted the executive. The decision to attach the core Morgan Stanley name to crypto-linked products underscores how established financial firms increasingly align their flagship offerings with digital assets.

🔄 Together, these developments indicate a broader shift in Wall Street behavior, with crypto transitioning from a peripheral initiative to an integrated component of institutional planning as investor participation expands and regulatory frameworks mature.
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🚨Solana Price Prediction if Bitcoin Holds Above $95,000

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