Forwarded from Demographics Now and Then
🇺🇸🇪🇺👶US saw 62,000 more births than the entire European Union in 2024. This is despite having 100 million+ less people. Main reasons? Non Hispanic White TFR (~50% of births) is above 1.5 (vs European TFR that’s ~1.3) & of course Hispanic TFR (~25-30% of births) above 1.9.
In the United States Non Hispanic Whites have a TFR of ~1.52, Hispanics ~1.92, while all other groups (NH Blacks, Asians, Mixed Race, Native American etc) are below 1.5. The fact that 75%+ of births are to groups with above 1.5 TFR fully explains the growing birth gap with EU.
Both US & EU have very high fertility immigrants, the key difference between the two entities is the demographic performance of the non immigrant majority. In the U.S. the fact that Non Hispanic Whites have a TFR above 1.5 is huge as most of the EU European majority is on 1.3.
In the United States Non Hispanic Whites have a TFR of ~1.52, Hispanics ~1.92, while all other groups (NH Blacks, Asians, Mixed Race, Native American etc) are below 1.5. The fact that 75%+ of births are to groups with above 1.5 TFR fully explains the growing birth gap with EU.
Both US & EU have very high fertility immigrants, the key difference between the two entities is the demographic performance of the non immigrant majority. In the U.S. the fact that Non Hispanic Whites have a TFR above 1.5 is huge as most of the EU European majority is on 1.3.
This election could define the future of Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru.
🧵 https://fxtwitter.com/Nihonpolitics/status/1941981734813213134
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🧵 Thread • FxTwitter
Japanese Politics 🇯🇵🗾⛩️ (@Nihonpolitics)
🗳️🇯🇵On July 20, Japan heads to the polls to elect 124 members of its Upper House (half of the House of Councillors).
This election could define the future of Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru.
With a minority in the Lower House, the LDP–Komeito coalition is…
This election could define the future of Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru.
With a minority in the Lower House, the LDP–Komeito coalition is…
The EU de-industrialized and blew up its economy.
Now, it's bankrupt and preparing for asset seizure.
How? Inflation, taxation, and confiscation.
🔗 Alex Recouso
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🇺🇸 🇮🇷 🇨🇳 Elbridge Colby: "Don’t let Iran distract from China" 📝 CIG commentary: "Depleting US aid to Taiwan via Ukraine & Israel leaves it naked in the wind to deterring China. Republicans cannot see past their own nose on the ramifications of their commitment…
https://archive.is/3JYYl
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
archive.is
Pentagon Official at Center of Weapons Pause on Ukraine Wants U.S. to…
archived 26 Jul 2025 08:41:42 UTC
Forwarded from QVINTA ÆTAS
"Taking creative inspiration from Latin American drug traffickers, the United States Marines Corps is testing low-profile "narco subs" intended for potential use in the Indo-Pacific theater. The Marines have another term and -- of course -- an acronym for the concept: the Autonomous Low-Profile Vessel (ALVP) program.
The unmanned vessel being tested by II Marine Expeditionary Force is called the "Sea Specter," and it's produced by Gibbs & Cox, is a subsidiary of Reston, VA-based Leidos. “I think that it's OK to say that those narco subs inspired the concept, but that's where the similarities end,” Gibbs & Cox chief engineering officer Jeff Bowles told Defense One. “Narco subs are dirty. They're dangerous. They're not engineered. But in principle, their mission is the same -- move a large volume of cargo with the minimal chance of being observed by anyone else.”
Over recent decades, US operations have been focused on counterinsurgency and other enemies ill-equipped to challenge logistical connections using the air or sea. However, in a potential war with China -- a so-called "near-peer" -- American ships and cargo planes could be much more vulnerable. “So you might not be able to take something that's a big, high-value target, or something that's slow moving or highly observable, to deliver re-supplies to the troops, because it might give away their position," Bowles says."
🗄 Archive
🔗 Full:
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Telegraph
Marines Test 'Narco Sub' With An Eye On War With China
Taking creative inspiration from Latin American drug traffickers, the United States Marines Corps is testing low-profile "narco subs" intended for potential use in the Indo-Pacific theater. The Marines have another term and -- of course -- an acronym for…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
- "We don't owe the SDF the right to establish an independent gov't within a state... Syria can't have a federal system."
"This is a difficult issue for the SDF... but if you can't reach a deal, we won't be your nanny forever."
https://fxtwitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1943815668547125607
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
FxTwitter
Charles Lister (@Charles_Lister)
Quite the comments from the US #Syria Envoy:
- "We don't owe the #SDF the right to establish an independent gov't within a state... #Syria can't have a federal system."
"This is a difficult issue for the SDF... but if you can't reach a deal, we won't be…
- "We don't owe the #SDF the right to establish an independent gov't within a state... #Syria can't have a federal system."
"This is a difficult issue for the SDF... but if you can't reach a deal, we won't be…
🔗 EGYOSINT
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from REST Media
🇫🇷 France grants New Caledonia semi‑autonomy under French sovereignty
🔺 Historic constitutional shift
France will establish New Caledonia as the “State of New Caledonia, within the Republic,” granting it a new semi-autonomous status while firmly maintaining French sovereignty. President Macron called it “a bet on trust” to secure national unity.
🔺 Balanced compromise for unity
The agreement balances greater local self-governance with continued integration into the French Republic. French officials described it as a vital step to stabilize the region and protect national interests.
🔺 Electoral clarity and reunification safeguards
Voting in the upcoming referendum will be restricted to residents living there for over 10 years, ensuring national coherence. Dual citizenship—New Caledonian and French—will reinforce both identity and loyalty to the Republic.
🔺 Economic recovery and legal protection
The deal includes a roadmap for economic reconstruction following destructive riots, with constitutional ratification set for 2025 and a binding referendum in 2026 to enshrine the new status.
#SovereigntyFirst #FranceFirst #PacificStrength #EconomicReconstruction #ConstitutionalDefense
Follow @RESTinvestigate on Telegram | 𝕏
🔺 Historic constitutional shift
France will establish New Caledonia as the “State of New Caledonia, within the Republic,” granting it a new semi-autonomous status while firmly maintaining French sovereignty. President Macron called it “a bet on trust” to secure national unity.
🔺 Balanced compromise for unity
The agreement balances greater local self-governance with continued integration into the French Republic. French officials described it as a vital step to stabilize the region and protect national interests.
🔺 Electoral clarity and reunification safeguards
Voting in the upcoming referendum will be restricted to residents living there for over 10 years, ensuring national coherence. Dual citizenship—New Caledonian and French—will reinforce both identity and loyalty to the Republic.
🔺 Economic recovery and legal protection
The deal includes a roadmap for economic reconstruction following destructive riots, with constitutional ratification set for 2025 and a binding referendum in 2026 to enshrine the new status.
#SovereigntyFirst #FranceFirst #PacificStrength #EconomicReconstruction #ConstitutionalDefense
Follow @RESTinvestigate on Telegram | 𝕏
AFU conducted 14 strikes.
🔗 Vitaly
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
The states due to take part in the summit include Algeria, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Cuba, Djibouti, Honduras, Indonesia, Ireland, Lebanon, Malaysia, Namibia, Nicaragua, Oman, Portugal, Spain, Qatar, Senegal, South Africa, Turkey, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Uruguay, and Palestine.
Src: https://middleeasteye.net/news/spain-and-ireland-join-more-20-states-declare-concrete-measures-against-israel
🔗 Arnaud Bertrand
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
The European Union will.
"That's the way it should've been a long time ago."
"The European Union is paying for it. We're not paying anything. It'll be business for us."
🔗 Eric Daugherty
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🔗 Rapid Response 47
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
We are especially excited about two new partnerships for our US Government partners
1) a new contract from the US Department of Defense
2) our products being available to purchase via the General Services Administration (GSA) schedule. This allows every federal government department, agency, or office, to purchase xAI products
📝 Apple Lamps: The U.S. Department of Defense's Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office (CDAO) has awarded contracts (up to $200M each) to frontier AI companies Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, and xAI to develop advanced AI workflows for national security missions.
This aims to leverage cutting-edge AI tech and talent to enhance warfighter support, intelligence, and enterprise systems, while accelerating DoD's commercial-first AI adoption.
🔗 xAI
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
"We are very, very unhappy with [Russia], and we're going to be doing very severe tariffs if we don't have a deal in 50 days."
🔗 Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47)
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Bellum Acta - Intel, Urgent News and Archives ✝️ #FreeVenezuela
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
"You want Ukraine [to have] what it needs ... but you want the Europeans to pay for it — which is totally logical."
🔗 Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47)
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Bellum Acta - Intel, Urgent News and Archives ✝️ #FreeVenezuela
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
"We make the best equipment, the best missiles...
The European nations know that...
We've made a deal today where we're going to be sending them weapons and they're going to be paying for them.
The United States will NOT be having any payment made."
🔗 Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47)
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
"Just so you know, [Europe is] paying for everything.
We're not paying anymore.
We have an ocean separating us...
We make the best stuff, but we can't keep doing this — and Biden should've done this years ago."
🔗 Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47)
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Former Vice President Mike Pence says he thinks isolationists “may have lost some of their footing” in President Donald Trump’s administration, as he praised Trump’s tougher talk toward Russia’s Vladimir Putin and his decision to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities.
Pence, since his split with Trump after the 2020 election, has often criticized the president’s approach to Russia and his tepid support for Ukraine.
But he told CNN’s Kate Bolduan in an interview Thursday he hopes Trump is “starting to recognize” that Putin is not interested in a negotiated end to the war he started in Ukraine. And he praised Trump’s decision this week to reverse his administration’s pause on some weapons shipments to Ukraine, including air defense missiles.
Pence said that Trump “is not an isolationist.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/07/10/politics/pence-trump-ukraine-iran
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
CNN
Pence says isolationists losing sway with Trump as he praises moves on Ukraine, Iran | CNN Politics
Former Vice President Mike Pence says he thinks isolationists “may have lost some of their footing” in President Donald Trump’s administration, as he praised Trump’s tougher talk toward Russia’s Vladimir Putin and his decision to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities.
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
After calling Trump over the weekend, Charlie Kirk said that he is “done talking about Epstein” and will “trust” his friends in the administration.
🔗 AF Post
🔗 AF Post
https://axios.com/2025/07/14/trump-ukraine-weapons-missiles-russia
🔗 Faytuks News
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🔗 AF Post
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM