War Finance | Zerohedge
"War cuts new financial channels"
Americans, Beijing, Washington and the Fed are reacting to developments in the trade war as they come. But these reactions are best understood as responses to an emerging world order, in particular one where the financial flows of the previous world order are, or soon will be, no longer reliable due to geopolitical fragmentation.
This sets the stage for Zoltan Pozsar's War Finance, which is already underway, to be fully realized.
War Finance includes but goes beyond the Fed's balance sheet policy (QE) and the Treasury's fiscal policy (stimulus) - it encompasses structural changes in how capital is allocated, how reserves are managed and when intervention in markets is due. Its focus is less on supporting a global financial empire and more about securing the onshore credit needs of private industry, be it semiconductor lithography, energy production or steel manufacturing.
In this regime, the lines between fiscal and monetary policy begin to blur. War Finance would call for the Fed and the Treasury to officially fuse into a single framework, where policy is most powerful, which was the case during World War II when the former explicitly supported the latter.
The US is not currently outfitted for War Finance, as fiscal and monetary policy continue to diverge due to obvious political differences, but the Trump administration clearly recognizes the necessity. It will take an implosion before both recognize with absolute clarity that the old paradigm can no longer be relied on, and with that implosion will follow better choreography, as it always does in a crisis.
- DeathTaxesandQE
@CIG_Telegram
"War cuts new financial channels"
Americans, Beijing, Washington and the Fed are reacting to developments in the trade war as they come. But these reactions are best understood as responses to an emerging world order, in particular one where the financial flows of the previous world order are, or soon will be, no longer reliable due to geopolitical fragmentation.
This sets the stage for Zoltan Pozsar's War Finance, which is already underway, to be fully realized.
War Finance includes but goes beyond the Fed's balance sheet policy (QE) and the Treasury's fiscal policy (stimulus) - it encompasses structural changes in how capital is allocated, how reserves are managed and when intervention in markets is due. Its focus is less on supporting a global financial empire and more about securing the onshore credit needs of private industry, be it semiconductor lithography, energy production or steel manufacturing.
In this regime, the lines between fiscal and monetary policy begin to blur. War Finance would call for the Fed and the Treasury to officially fuse into a single framework, where policy is most powerful, which was the case during World War II when the former explicitly supported the latter.
The US is not currently outfitted for War Finance, as fiscal and monetary policy continue to diverge due to obvious political differences, but the Trump administration clearly recognizes the necessity. It will take an implosion before both recognize with absolute clarity that the old paradigm can no longer be relied on, and with that implosion will follow better choreography, as it always does in a crisis.
- DeathTaxesandQE
@CIG_Telegram
ZeroHedge
War Finance
"War cuts new financial channels"
📱🇺🇸 Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs
The Trump administration late Friday said it would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren’t usually made in the U.S.
It would also benefit big tech companies like Apple and Samsung and chip makers like Nvidia, setting the stage for a likely tech stock rally on Monday.
U.S. Customs and Border Protection said items like smartphones, laptops, hard drives, flat-panel monitors and some chips would qualify for the exemption. Machines used to make semiconductors are excluded too. That means they won’t be subject to the current 145% tariffs levied on China or the 10% baseline tariffs elsewhere.
https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-smartphones-electronics-laptops-apple-10c31e91d7790bfe8fb004f547109359
The Trump administration late Friday said it would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren’t usually made in the U.S.
It would also benefit big tech companies like Apple and Samsung and chip makers like Nvidia, setting the stage for a likely tech stock rally on Monday.
U.S. Customs and Border Protection said items like smartphones, laptops, hard drives, flat-panel monitors and some chips would qualify for the exemption. Machines used to make semiconductors are excluded too. That means they won’t be subject to the current 145% tariffs levied on China or the 10% baseline tariffs elsewhere.
https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-smartphones-electronics-laptops-apple-10c31e91d7790bfe8fb004f547109359
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AP News
Trump's commerce secretary says new electronics tariff exemptions are temporary, chip tariffs coming
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says tariff exemptions announced Friday on electronics like smartphones and laptops are only a temporary reprieve until the Trump administration develops a new tariff approach specific to the semiconductor industry,…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📱🇺🇸 Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs The Trump administration late Friday said it would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down…
📱 Smartphones and computers are China’s largest export to the United States…
Now exempt from tariffs.
🔗 Geiger_Capital
Now exempt from tariffs.
🔗 Geiger_Capital
https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2025/04/11/yemen-government-plan-to-retake-hodeidah-faces-challenges-amid-doubts-over-us-support/
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Three Observations:
(1) The patrol on April 11 was the third patrol this month, nine days after the "Strait Thunder 2025A" large-scale drill.
(2) Among the four patrols in April 2024, only one had more than 30 aircraft sorties, but all three patrols this year exceeded 30 sorties.
(3) The joint readiness patrols in April 2024 did not reach eastern Taiwan, but all three patrols this April operated in the eastern part of Taiwan, with this time flying south from the airspace between Taiwan’s Yilan and Japan's Yonaguni Island.
Note: The data has been updated by removing the long-range training on September 25, 2024, and adding the joint readiness patrol data from the two Joint Sword exercises in 2024, which aligns with the ROC National Security Bureau Director General's statement of 40 patrols in 2024. The sorties have also been revised to reflect the full-day data published by the Ministry of National Defense the following day, along with the addition of the number of warships.
🔗 K. Tristan Tang
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
No clashes have been reported yet.
Image [attached] displays illustration of northern Gaza map:
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📱🇺🇸 Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs The Trump administration late Friday said it would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down…
📱🇺🇸 Lutnick 5 days ago said smartphone manufacturing was coming to the U.S. because of tariffs.
Now we learn smartphones are excluded from the tariffs.
🔗 Aaron Blake
Now we learn smartphones are excluded from the tariffs.
🔗 Aaron Blake
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During a few visits to Capital Hill, I asked a lot of offices what they thought about this and not one voiced serious concern.
🔗 Dennis Porter
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Japan scrambled 704 times in response, with two-thirds (464) due to Chinese aircraft. 3x as many PLA drones detected.
https://fxtwitter.com/ianellisjones/status/1911189187556172047
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🧵 Thread • FxTwitter
Ian Ellis (@ianellisjones)
New @jointstaffpa map shows the flight paths of Chinese (red) + Russian (yellow) military aircraft operating near Japan, Taiwan, + South Korea in the past year.
Japan scrambled 704 times in response, with two-thirds (464) due to Chinese aircraft. 3x as many…
Japan scrambled 704 times in response, with two-thirds (464) due to Chinese aircraft. 3x as many…
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🔗 unusual_whales
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📱🇺🇸 Lutnick 5 days ago said smartphone manufacturing was coming to the U.S. because of tariffs. Now we learn smartphones are excluded from the tariffs. 🔗 Aaron Blake
President Trump settled the debate over the tariffs on iPhones and other Chinese-made devices — saying that there is no “exemption” and that new duties are coming.
“NOBODY is getting ‘off the hook,'” Trump said on Truth Social Sunday. “There was no Tariff ‘exception’ announced on Friday. These products are subject to the existing 20% Fentanyl Tariffs, and they are just moving to a different Tariff ‘bucket.’”
“We are taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN in the upcoming National Security Tariff Investigations.”
https://nypost.com/2025/04/13/us-news/iphones-and-other-chinese-made-electronics-will-likely-be-subject-to-more-trump-tariffs-commerce-secretary-lutnik-says/
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New York Post
Trump says no exemption for iPhones and other Chinese-made...
"NOBODY is getting 'off the hook,'" Trump said on Truth Social Sunday.
Forwarded from Keith Woods
For weeks, the UK has been dealing with the crisis of young, White incel killers.
Why are left-wing people so affected by fiction, to the point of confusing it with reality? I argue it is actually something deeply rooted in leftist psychology:
https://keithwoods.pub/p/adolescence
Why are left-wing people so affected by fiction, to the point of confusing it with reality? I argue it is actually something deeply rooted in leftist psychology:
https://keithwoods.pub/p/adolescence
Elon Musk announced on Sunday that his Starlink satellite internet service had been granted a license in Somalia.
"Today is another historic day for Somalia's communications and technology sectors, today we have issued here and provided Starlink, one of the major satellite telecommunications and internet services company the license to operate in Somalia," a post on state media outlet SONNA said.
It added that the license had been issued after two years of discussions.
https://www.barrons.com/news/musk-announces-starlink-license-for-somalia-80e75b6c
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barrons
Musk Announces Starlink License For Somalia
Elon Musk announced on Sunday that his Starlink satellite internet service had been granted a license in Somalia.
🇨🇳 China reported 5 tonnes of gold purchases in February (160k oz per PBOC).
China actually bought 50 tonnes of gold in February (per GS)
🔗 zerohedge
China actually bought 50 tonnes of gold in February (per GS)
🔗 zerohedge
🔗 Andrew Hammel
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
We have had:
- Universal “reciprocal tariffs”
- A removal back down to 10%
- 50% Chinese tariffs
- 90% Chinese tariffs
- 104% Chinese tariffs
- 125% Chinese tariffs
- 145% Chinese tariffs
- Electronics exempted
- Electronics now potentially back on.
🔗 Spencer Hakimian
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https://www.ft.com/content/3b101afd-b51c-4d64-ba2f-45ad4590e819
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China has suspended exports of a wide range of critical minerals and magnets, threatening to choke off supplies of components central to automakers, aerospace manufacturers, semiconductor companies and military contractors around the world.
Shipments of the magnets, essential for assembling everything from cars and drones to robots and missiles, have been halted at many Chinese ports while the Chinese government drafts a new regulatory system. Once in place, the new system could permanently prevent supplies from reaching certain companies, including American military contractors.
The official crackdown is part of China’s retaliation for President Trump’s sharp increase in tariffs that started on April 2.
On April 4, the Chinese government ordered restrictions on the export of six heavy rare earth metals, which are refined entirely in China, as well as rare earth magnets, 90 percent of which are produced in China. The metals, and special magnets made with them, can now be shipped out of China only with special export licenses.
But China has barely started setting up a system for issuing the licenses. That has caused consternation among industry executives that the process could drag on and that current supplies of minerals and products outside of China could run low.
If factories in Detroit and elsewhere run out of powerful rare earth magnets, that could prevent them from assembling cars and other products with electric motors that require these magnets. Companies vary widely in the size of their emergency stockpiles for such contingencies, so the timing of production disruptions is hard to predict.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
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NY Times
China Halts Critical Exports as Trade War Intensifies
Beijing has suspended exports of certain rare earth minerals and magnets that are crucial for the world’s car, semiconductor and aerospace industries.
Forwarded from South Africa Reports
The State Department told Fox News Digital about new moves it is making. At the same time, the Afrikaner Orania Movement, an Afrikaner settlement, has stated its desire to be treated by the U.S. as a state within a state in South Africa.
There’s also been a flurry of flights across the Atlantic to Washington by groups looking to get the White House’s, and ultimately the president’s, attention.
The Orania delegation went to Washington, Strydom said, due to "the fact that President Donald Trump gave us recognition as a people, the Afrikaners. (It) made it very important for us to hasten our already-planned U.S. liaison tour to liaise with Afrikaner and American supporters of the Orania idea in the U.S.
"We had meetings with officials upon invitation and discussed substantive matters in depth, which, for the sake of an ongoing conversation and our honor towards newfound contacts, we will only specify publicly later."
"Help us Here," is the slogan Orania CEO Joost Strydom declared to Washington insiders.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/trump-admin-makes-new-move-bring-south-african-refugees-us-president-blasts-nations-rulers-again
📝 Joost Strydom: Orania on FOX News!
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Fox News
Trump admin makes new move to bring South African refugees to US as president blasts nation's rulers again
As the U.S. begins refugee processing for South African Afrikaners, a group is pushing Washington to support its bid for an autonomous Afrikaner homeland within South Africa.