💉 🌍 🐒 Africa CDC likely to declare monkeypox public health emergency next week
🔶️ Africa's public health agency is set to declare an monkeypox emergency as early as next week, saying the viral infection's rate of spread is alarming, as a new variant moves across Democratic Republic of Congo's borders.
🔶️ The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) Director General, Jean Kaseya, said on Thursday that reported cases in Africa had risen by 79% from 2022-2023 and by 160% from 2023-24.
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/africa-cdc-likely-declare-mpox-public-health-emergency-next-week-2024-08-08
https://archive.ph/qT8Fv
🔶️ Africa's public health agency is set to declare an monkeypox emergency as early as next week, saying the viral infection's rate of spread is alarming, as a new variant moves across Democratic Republic of Congo's borders.
🔶️ The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) Director General, Jean Kaseya, said on Thursday that reported cases in Africa had risen by 79% from 2022-2023 and by 160% from 2023-24.
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/africa-cdc-likely-declare-mpox-public-health-emergency-next-week-2024-08-08
https://archive.ph/qT8Fv
Reuters
Africa CDC likely to declare mpox public health emergency next week
Africa's public health agency is set to declare an mpox emergency as early as next week, saying the viral infection's rate of spread is alarming, as a new variant moves across Democratic Republic of Congo's borders.
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🔶️ Northrop Grumman has announced the development of a new Cannon-Based Air Defense (CBAD) system designed to counter the growing threat of large-scale aerial raids involving cruise missiles and unmanned aerial systems (UAS).
🔶️ “We are developing Cannon-Based Air Defense (CBAD), which employs Bushmaster Chain Guns with advanced ammunition, to affordably defeat a growing threat: large aerial raids of cruise missiles and unmanned aerial systems,” Northrop Grumman stated.
🔶️ Traditional long-range interceptor missiles have become less cost-effective as adversaries deploy low-cost, expendable technologies in large quantities. In contrast, CBAD offers an affordable, layered terminal defense with a scalable manufacturing base and simplified logistics.
🔶️ As noted by the company, adversaries are increasingly focusing on enhancing the quantity, variety, and capability of their aerial weapons. Future conflicts are expected to feature larger raid sizes targeting previously secure bases and critical infrastructure. CBAD systems provide a scalable, cost-effective, and resilient terminal defense against these mass air threats.
https://defence-blog.com/northrop-grumman-develops-cannon-based-air-defense-system
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Defence Blog
Northrop Grumman develops cannon-based air defense system
Northrop Grumman has announced the development of a new Cannon-Based Air Defense (CBAD) system designed to counter the growing threat of large-scale aerial raids involving cruise missiles and unmanned aerial systems (UAS). The company detailed the capabilities…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
tumblr_njsg73itEO1rmby1bo1_400.gif
1.1 MB
📖 🏹 💥 Flak "88" Air defense units were usually deployed with either a Kommandogerät ("command device") fire control computer or a portable Würzburg radar, which were responsible for its high level of accuracy against aircraft.
📝 Paul Fussell, 1989: [American troops] knew that the greatest single weapon of the war, the atomic bomb excepted, was the German 88 mm flat-trajectory gun, which brought down thousands of bombers and tens of thousands of soldiers. The Allies had nothing as good, despite one of them designating itself the world's greatest industrial power.
⏳️ The total time to set up was estimated at two and a half minutes. Both modes of operation made the gun much more suitable for fast-moving operations, the basic concept of the blitzkrieg.
🏭 By August 1944, there were 10,704 Flak 18, 36 and 37 guns in service, now complemented also by the 10.5 cm Flak 38 and 39, and the formidable 12.8 cm Flak 40, owing to the increase in US and British bombing raids during 1943 and 1944.
✍️ Flak is a contraction of German Flugabwehrkanone (also referred to as Fliegerabwehrkanone) meaning "aircraft-defense cannon", the original purpose of the weapon. In English, "flak" became a generic term for ground anti-aircraft fire.
📎 8.8 cm Flak 18/36/37/41
📝 Paul Fussell, 1989: [American troops] knew that the greatest single weapon of the war, the atomic bomb excepted, was the German 88 mm flat-trajectory gun, which brought down thousands of bombers and tens of thousands of soldiers. The Allies had nothing as good, despite one of them designating itself the world's greatest industrial power.
⏳️ The total time to set up was estimated at two and a half minutes. Both modes of operation made the gun much more suitable for fast-moving operations, the basic concept of the blitzkrieg.
🏭 By August 1944, there were 10,704 Flak 18, 36 and 37 guns in service, now complemented also by the 10.5 cm Flak 38 and 39, and the formidable 12.8 cm Flak 40, owing to the increase in US and British bombing raids during 1943 and 1944.
✍️ Flak is a contraction of German Flugabwehrkanone (also referred to as Fliegerabwehrkanone) meaning "aircraft-defense cannon", the original purpose of the weapon. In English, "flak" became a generic term for ground anti-aircraft fire.
📎 8.8 cm Flak 18/36/37/41
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/07/trump-election-campaign/
https://archive.ph/D9VwH
📎 AF Post
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Washington Post
Trump complains about campaign as advisers try to focus on attacking Harris
The GOP nominee has grown increasingly angry about Kamala Harris’s surging poll numbers and media coverage since replacing Joe Biden on the ticket.
Forwarded from Steve Laws
Britain is now mirroring South Africa
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🇮🇪 Keith Woods on X:
🇬🇧 Labour councillor Ricky Jones tells a crowd of leftists "we need to slit their throats" referring to anti-immigration protestors
🌹 This is the mainstream left in the UK
📎 Keith Woods
🇬🇧 Labour councillor Ricky Jones tells a crowd of leftists "we need to slit their throats" referring to anti-immigration protestors
🌹 This is the mainstream left in the UK
📎 Keith Woods
🇵🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇱 With attention on Gaza, Jewish settlers expand in the West Bank
🔶️ "The settlers realize that these are the right times to expand and to take as much as possible, to swallow as much as possible, to grab as much as possible," said Etkes, who established the monitoring group Kerem Navot.
🔶️ "We used to consider settlers as a lobby group putting pressure on the government," said Issam Aruri, head of theJerusalem Legal Aid and Human Rights Center. "But now they are the government. They are ministers and they are doing whatever they want.”
🔶️ A leading figure is Bezalel Smotrich, the finance minister who is also in charge of settler affairs in the Israeli government. He's a West Bank settler himself and ran a settler advocacy group before becoming part of the government.
🔶️ Today, around 750,000 Israelis live in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. This means just over 10% of Israel's Jewish population resides in territory captured in the 1967 Arab-Israeli war — land which is not internationally recognized as part of Israel.
🔶️ "The Jewish people are going to go back to Gaza. The question is when? I hope very soon," And come tomorrow, the settlers are likely to control even more land.
🔶️ The U.N.’s International Court of Justice recently ruled the West Bank settlements violate international law and must be evacuated.
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/07/nx-s1-5039159/with-attention-on-gaza-jewish-settlers-expand-in-the-west-bank
🔶️ "The settlers realize that these are the right times to expand and to take as much as possible, to swallow as much as possible, to grab as much as possible," said Etkes, who established the monitoring group Kerem Navot.
🔶️ "We used to consider settlers as a lobby group putting pressure on the government," said Issam Aruri, head of theJerusalem Legal Aid and Human Rights Center. "But now they are the government. They are ministers and they are doing whatever they want.”
🔶️ A leading figure is Bezalel Smotrich, the finance minister who is also in charge of settler affairs in the Israeli government. He's a West Bank settler himself and ran a settler advocacy group before becoming part of the government.
🔶️ Today, around 750,000 Israelis live in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. This means just over 10% of Israel's Jewish population resides in territory captured in the 1967 Arab-Israeli war — land which is not internationally recognized as part of Israel.
🔶️ "The Jewish people are going to go back to Gaza. The question is when? I hope very soon," And come tomorrow, the settlers are likely to control even more land.
🔶️ The U.N.’s International Court of Justice recently ruled the West Bank settlements violate international law and must be evacuated.
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/07/nx-s1-5039159/with-attention-on-gaza-jewish-settlers-expand-in-the-west-bank
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
NPR
With attention on Gaza, Jewish settlers expand in the West Bank
The war in Gaza has been the main focus in the Middle East. Yet in the West Bank, Israel's government is seizing land and Jewish settlers are establishing outposts at the highest rate in decades.
Forwarded from Mediterranean Man
⚡️🇪🇬🇸🇴 The Arab Republic of Egypt, alongside Djibouti, have offered support to establish a new Peacekeeping force in Somalia, after the ATMIS mandate is scheduled to be over by the end of the year, instead, the new auspice will be called "African Union Stabilization Mission in Somalia"
So far only Egypt and Djibouti have offered military troops to partake in AUSSOM.
Ergo, Egyptian troops will enter Somalia for the first time in thirty years with the directive of combat missions for peacekeeping objectives, instead of acting in an advisory role as they were during the African Union tenure.
@medmannews
So far only Egypt and Djibouti have offered military troops to partake in AUSSOM.
Ergo, Egyptian troops will enter Somalia for the first time in thirty years with the directive of combat missions for peacekeeping objectives, instead of acting in an advisory role as they were during the African Union tenure.
@medmannews
⛏️ 🇷🇺 🦏 Siberian gold miners accidentally find ancient woolly rhino mummy with horn and soft tissues still intact
🔶️ Gold miners in Siberia recently unearthed a mummified woolly rhino carcass with its horn and soft tissues still intact. The miners in the Sakha Republic, came across the carcass while excavating the site of a new quarry.
🔶️ "This is a truly unique find that will allow us to study the history of the region, its ancient fauna, climate and geological conditions in more depth," Anatoly Nikolaev, rector of the NEFU, said in the statement.
🔶️ The permafrost in Siberia provides ideal conditions for the preservation of ancient creatures. The cold conditions mummify the remains, normally dehydrating soft tissues and locking them away in a frozen "time capsule."
https://www.livescience.com/animals/extinct-species/siberian-gold-miners-accidentally-find-ancient-woolly-rhino-mummy-with-horn-and-soft-tissues-still-intact
🔶️ Gold miners in Siberia recently unearthed a mummified woolly rhino carcass with its horn and soft tissues still intact. The miners in the Sakha Republic, came across the carcass while excavating the site of a new quarry.
🔶️ "This is a truly unique find that will allow us to study the history of the region, its ancient fauna, climate and geological conditions in more depth," Anatoly Nikolaev, rector of the NEFU, said in the statement.
🔶️ The permafrost in Siberia provides ideal conditions for the preservation of ancient creatures. The cold conditions mummify the remains, normally dehydrating soft tissues and locking them away in a frozen "time capsule."
https://www.livescience.com/animals/extinct-species/siberian-gold-miners-accidentally-find-ancient-woolly-rhino-mummy-with-horn-and-soft-tissues-still-intact
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
livescience.com
Siberian gold miners accidentally find ancient woolly rhino mummy with horn and soft tissues still intact
Mummified woolly rhino discovered by miners in Russia's Sakha Republic to be fully excavated in the coming months, as researchers begin studying its intact horn.
💉🇦🇫 🇦🇫 How The Taliban Smashed Opium | Ioan Grillo
📉 While US, UK occupied Afghanistan it produced 85%+ of world heroin. After the Taliban took over they smashed 90% of the trade.
https://www.crashoutmedia.com/p/how-the-taliban-smashed-opium
https://www.crashoutmedia.com/p/how-the-taliban-smashed-opium
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Crashoutmedia
How The Taliban Smashed Opium
I talk to bad ass journalist Hollie McKay about Afghanistan and the heroin trade
Forwarded from Assyria News Network
The Assyrian community is on the brink of extinction, with our population in Iraq plummeting from 1.5 million in 2003 to only around 150,000 today.
The letter calls for U.S. support to safeguard the Assyrians' right to existence through military assistance, financial aid, and the establishment of a protection zone with self-administrative rights in their historic Assyrian homelands.
If you wish to contribute your signature to the letter, please click here or click on the link below. All signatures must be submitted by September 4, 2024.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Google Docs
SIGN: Letter in Support of Assyrian Christians at the Brink of Extinction
READ FULL LETTER
SEE SIGNATURES
DEADLINE: September 4, 2024
The IRF Community is circulating a letter that expresses deep concern regarding the Assyrian community in Iraq, focusing on the recent amendments to Iraq's election law and their adverse effects…
SEE SIGNATURES
DEADLINE: September 4, 2024
The IRF Community is circulating a letter that expresses deep concern regarding the Assyrian community in Iraq, focusing on the recent amendments to Iraq's election law and their adverse effects…
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
📢 🇺🇸 Trump: Our country right now is in the most dangerous position its ever been in from an economic standpoint and a safety standpoint.
🔶️ We could end up in a depression of the 1929 variety and we're very close to a World War.
📎 Trump War Room
🔶️ We could end up in a depression of the 1929 variety and we're very close to a World War.
📎 Trump War Room
☢️ 🇺🇸 🇰🇿 U.S. suspends uranium imports from Kazakhstan
🔶️ The United States reduced its uranium imports in the first month of summer 2024, suspending purchases from Russia, China, and Kazakhstan.
🔶️ In June 2024, the United States imported $367.1mn worth of enriched uranium, a 2.7-fold decrease from May's figures. The most substantial portion of uranium imports came from France, which accounted for two-thirds of the total, amounting to $243.3mn. This figure is only slightly lower than the $245.4mn recorded in May.
🔶️ The U.S. also sourced uranium from the Netherlands, with imports rising to $78.9mn from $63.3mn in May. However, imports from Germany dropped sharply by 2.3 times to $42.1mn. Belgium's contributions increased slightly, reaching $2.8mn.
🔶️ In May, President Joe Biden signed a law banning uranium imports from Russia, effective until 2040. However, exceptions are permitted until 2028 with approval from the U.S. Department of Energy. Russian state atomic energy corporation Rosatom criticized the law, labeling it discriminatory and non-market. Rosatom reaffirmed its leading position in global nuclear technology and its commitment to developing long-term partnerships with interested foreign partners.
🔶️ According to the World Nuclear Association, Kazakhstan accounts for 12% of global uranium resources and produced approximately 21,200 tonnes of uranium (tU) in 2022, which represented 43% of the world's total production for that year. Since 2001, the country’s uranium output has generally risen, peaking at 24,689 tU in 2016.
https://daryo.uz/en/2024/08/08/us-suspends-uranium-imports-from-kazakhstan
🔶️ The United States reduced its uranium imports in the first month of summer 2024, suspending purchases from Russia, China, and Kazakhstan.
🔶️ In June 2024, the United States imported $367.1mn worth of enriched uranium, a 2.7-fold decrease from May's figures. The most substantial portion of uranium imports came from France, which accounted for two-thirds of the total, amounting to $243.3mn. This figure is only slightly lower than the $245.4mn recorded in May.
🔶️ The U.S. also sourced uranium from the Netherlands, with imports rising to $78.9mn from $63.3mn in May. However, imports from Germany dropped sharply by 2.3 times to $42.1mn. Belgium's contributions increased slightly, reaching $2.8mn.
🔶️ In May, President Joe Biden signed a law banning uranium imports from Russia, effective until 2040. However, exceptions are permitted until 2028 with approval from the U.S. Department of Energy. Russian state atomic energy corporation Rosatom criticized the law, labeling it discriminatory and non-market. Rosatom reaffirmed its leading position in global nuclear technology and its commitment to developing long-term partnerships with interested foreign partners.
🔶️ According to the World Nuclear Association, Kazakhstan accounts for 12% of global uranium resources and produced approximately 21,200 tonnes of uranium (tU) in 2022, which represented 43% of the world's total production for that year. Since 2001, the country’s uranium output has generally risen, peaking at 24,689 tU in 2016.
https://daryo.uz/en/2024/08/08/us-suspends-uranium-imports-from-kazakhstan
Daryo.uz
U.S. suspends uranium imports from Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan accounts for 12% of global uranium resources and produced approximately 21,200 tonnes of uranium (tU) in 2022, which represented 43% of the world's total production for that year.
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👮♂️ 🇺🇸 🔒 San Francisco police are using drones to arrest bipping suspects, officials say
https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/sf-police-drone-arrests-19622925.php
https://archive.ph/Ft8W3
📎 SFPD Calls Bot
🔶️ The department bought six drones this year after voters approved Mayor London Breed’s Proposition E, which expanded police powers. Under the newly adopted measures, police are now allowed to use surveillance cameras and drones to pursue suspects believed to have committed felonies and violent misdemeanors.
🔶️ Officers used drones three times in July, SFPD said in a statement Tuesday. The first instance occurred in the Mission District on the Fourth of July, when the department said a large crowd of people were spotted lighting explosives and fires and engaging in “other unsafe and illegal conduct.” Officers flew a drone over the scene to “evaluate risks to officers and gather intelligence,” SFPD said.
https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/sf-police-drone-arrests-19622925.php
https://archive.ph/Ft8W3
📎 SFPD Calls Bot
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
📢 🇺🇸 Trump: Our country right now is in the most dangerous position its ever been in from an economic standpoint and a safety standpoint. 🔶️ We could end up in a depression of the 1929 variety and we're very close to a World War. 📎 Trump War Room
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🗳 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Trump puts White voters last:
🔶️ "I seem to be doing very well with Black males. This is according to polls [...] It's possible that I won't do as well with Black women."
🔶️ "Extremely well with Hispanic, Jewish voters... white males, way up. White males have gone through the roof."
📎 AF Post
🔶️ "I seem to be doing very well with Black males. This is according to polls [...] It's possible that I won't do as well with Black women."
🔶️ "Extremely well with Hispanic, Jewish voters... white males, way up. White males have gone through the roof."
📎 AF Post
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Rybar in English
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kursk Direction: Expansion of AFU Control Zone East and North of Sumy
What is known as of 5:00 PM on August 8, 2024
Despite attempts by the Russian joint grouping of forces (troops) to stop the advance of Ukrainian mobile groups, the scale of the crisis is widening: unfortunately, the tactics of Ukrainian formations, focusing on high-speed dashes, bypassing fortified areas and maximizing the zone of breakthrough without consolidation in the first stage, in their simplicity surpass the current capabilities of the Russian army to counterattack.
🔻In the Sudzha district, the zone of conditional control of Ukrainian formations has expanded to 30 km along the Diakonovo - Sudzha road.
▪️Pockets of resistance of the Russian army are being cut off and bypassed along the lateral roads. After the occupation of Kazachya Loknya in the north, as well as Mirnoye and Bondarevka in the south, Ukrainian formations entered Martynivka and engaged the troops stationed there in combat. After that, the settlement of Kruglyk was taken.
At the same time, a mobile AFU group moved along the highway further, reaching Bolshoye Soldatskoye and engaging in combat in the settlement. There are reports that clashes with enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups are also taking place further along the highway.
▪️Fierce battles are raging in the surrounding settlements 15 km south of Lgov.
▪️In the context of active use of enemy electronic warfare in certain areas, the "fog of war" still prevails, so it would be premature to speak of the complete destruction of the strongholds that the enemy has passed or bypassed.
🔻In the Korenevo district, the AFU do not abandon attempts to capture the administrative center.
Simultaneous battles were fought at the entrance to Korenevo, and attempts were made to capture Olgovka and Kremyanoye. For part of the Ukrainian troops advancing in this area, it is necessary both to pin down the forces of the Russian Armed Forces in combat and to break through to the Rylsk - Lgov highway in order to expand the scale of the operational crisis of the Russian Armed Forces and stretch the forces of the Russian troops.
📌At the same time, Ukrainian formations have already begun digging in on the reached lines, introducing a second echelon. The capture of Sudzha has become an inspiring factor for the AFU, with which they are now trying to make up for their losses and demonstrate that the game is worth the candle.
The biggest problem in organizing the defense in the Kursk tactical direction remains the fragmentation of units and the lack of the proper number of forces, which are now allegedly being withdrawn from other directions. At the same time, Russian information resources, which are racing to write the names of brigades and divisions that are about to arrive (but never do), are adding chaos to the information space.
High-resolution map
English version
#digest #map #Kursk #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Original msg
What is known as of 5:00 PM on August 8, 2024
Despite attempts by the Russian joint grouping of forces (troops) to stop the advance of Ukrainian mobile groups, the scale of the crisis is widening: unfortunately, the tactics of Ukrainian formations, focusing on high-speed dashes, bypassing fortified areas and maximizing the zone of breakthrough without consolidation in the first stage, in their simplicity surpass the current capabilities of the Russian army to counterattack.
🔻In the Sudzha district, the zone of conditional control of Ukrainian formations has expanded to 30 km along the Diakonovo - Sudzha road.
▪️Pockets of resistance of the Russian army are being cut off and bypassed along the lateral roads. After the occupation of Kazachya Loknya in the north, as well as Mirnoye and Bondarevka in the south, Ukrainian formations entered Martynivka and engaged the troops stationed there in combat. After that, the settlement of Kruglyk was taken.
At the same time, a mobile AFU group moved along the highway further, reaching Bolshoye Soldatskoye and engaging in combat in the settlement. There are reports that clashes with enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups are also taking place further along the highway.
▪️Fierce battles are raging in the surrounding settlements 15 km south of Lgov.
▪️In the context of active use of enemy electronic warfare in certain areas, the "fog of war" still prevails, so it would be premature to speak of the complete destruction of the strongholds that the enemy has passed or bypassed.
🔻In the Korenevo district, the AFU do not abandon attempts to capture the administrative center.
Simultaneous battles were fought at the entrance to Korenevo, and attempts were made to capture Olgovka and Kremyanoye. For part of the Ukrainian troops advancing in this area, it is necessary both to pin down the forces of the Russian Armed Forces in combat and to break through to the Rylsk - Lgov highway in order to expand the scale of the operational crisis of the Russian Armed Forces and stretch the forces of the Russian troops.
📌At the same time, Ukrainian formations have already begun digging in on the reached lines, introducing a second echelon. The capture of Sudzha has become an inspiring factor for the AFU, with which they are now trying to make up for their losses and demonstrate that the game is worth the candle.
The biggest problem in organizing the defense in the Kursk tactical direction remains the fragmentation of units and the lack of the proper number of forces, which are now allegedly being withdrawn from other directions. At the same time, Russian information resources, which are racing to write the names of brigades and divisions that are about to arrive (but never do), are adding chaos to the information space.
High-resolution map
English version
#digest #map #Kursk #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Original msg
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🇺🇦 ❌️ 🇷🇺 Some thoughts on what's happening in Kursk. | John Helin 🔶️ "The Russian border defences were most likely prepared to slow down and stop smaller-scale raids. Looking at the Russian telegram channels it seems that the Russian high command may have…
🇺🇦 ❌️ 🇷🇺 Operational Art of War Analysis on the Kursk Offensive:
🔶️ 1. "This isn't near the WW2 Kursk battlefield. Hoth's pincer is 75 kms away and Model's is 150 kms away.
🔶️ 2. This may be obvious, but the offensive isn't going to seize Kursk. In the map below the gains of the offensive are in yellow. The red dashed lines are potential defensive lines between the border and Kursk.
🔶️ 3. With a frontage of 35km and depth of 3-10 km the offensive likely involves 2-3 brigades. This is significant as recent Ukrainian counter-attacks in the Donbas mostly involved single brigades. Ukraine also made good progress on the first day, but it's wasn't a breakthrough.
🔶️ 4. The Ukrainians advanced on Sudzha, but have halted on the Psel river. They advanced on Korenevo, but are halted on a network of creek ravines and reservoirs near Liubimovka. Given how well the "front line" matches defensive features the Ukrainians are likely done advancing.
🔶️ 5. As to the motive for the offensive? The options are:
- Diverting Russian resources from the Donbas
- A spoiling attack
- Seizing an improved defensive line
- Improving national morale
🔶️ The offensive will force Russia to reroute resources about 350 km NW of Donbas, but Kursk is a major transportation & military infrastructure hub. A diversion attack is possible, but there are better locations for one.
🔶️ A spoiling attack is an attack to disrupt a pending enemy offensive. In this case Ukraine was possibly convinced Russia was about to attack Sumy.
🔶️ This option is more likely if Ukraine withdraws in the next few days and Russia pursues them across the border.
🔶️ The Ukrainians are currently at a better defensive line than the border. However, seizing Tetkino, Glushkovo and the Reka river is a better option. The defensive line is better and the roads are more favorable to a Ukrainian advance.
🔶️ The question of improving national morale is political, which I'm not informed enough to opine upon.
In terms of how events unfold:
1. If Ukraine withdrawals under pressure and Russia stops at the border it was likely a diversionary attack
2. If Russia advances past the border it was likely a spoiling attack
3. If Ukraine fights to hold the current gains it was likely to obtain a better defensive position
Interesting how much you can see just from looking at a map eh?"
📎 Operational Art of War
🔶️ 1. "This isn't near the WW2 Kursk battlefield. Hoth's pincer is 75 kms away and Model's is 150 kms away.
🔶️ 2. This may be obvious, but the offensive isn't going to seize Kursk. In the map below the gains of the offensive are in yellow. The red dashed lines are potential defensive lines between the border and Kursk.
🔶️ 3. With a frontage of 35km and depth of 3-10 km the offensive likely involves 2-3 brigades. This is significant as recent Ukrainian counter-attacks in the Donbas mostly involved single brigades. Ukraine also made good progress on the first day, but it's wasn't a breakthrough.
🔶️ 4. The Ukrainians advanced on Sudzha, but have halted on the Psel river. They advanced on Korenevo, but are halted on a network of creek ravines and reservoirs near Liubimovka. Given how well the "front line" matches defensive features the Ukrainians are likely done advancing.
🔶️ 5. As to the motive for the offensive? The options are:
- Diverting Russian resources from the Donbas
- A spoiling attack
- Seizing an improved defensive line
- Improving national morale
🔶️ The offensive will force Russia to reroute resources about 350 km NW of Donbas, but Kursk is a major transportation & military infrastructure hub. A diversion attack is possible, but there are better locations for one.
🔶️ A spoiling attack is an attack to disrupt a pending enemy offensive. In this case Ukraine was possibly convinced Russia was about to attack Sumy.
🔶️ This option is more likely if Ukraine withdraws in the next few days and Russia pursues them across the border.
🔶️ The Ukrainians are currently at a better defensive line than the border. However, seizing Tetkino, Glushkovo and the Reka river is a better option. The defensive line is better and the roads are more favorable to a Ukrainian advance.
🔶️ The question of improving national morale is political, which I'm not informed enough to opine upon.
In terms of how events unfold:
1. If Ukraine withdrawals under pressure and Russia stops at the border it was likely a diversionary attack
2. If Russia advances past the border it was likely a spoiling attack
3. If Ukraine fights to hold the current gains it was likely to obtain a better defensive position
Interesting how much you can see just from looking at a map eh?"
📎 Operational Art of War
FxTwitter / FixupX
Operational Art of War (@Opartofwar)
My thoughts on the Ukrainian offensive near Kursk, based only on map analysis and looking image capturing the current "front line":
1. This isn't near the WW2 Kursk battlefield. Hoth's pincer is 75 kms away and Model's is 150 kms away.
1. This isn't near the WW2 Kursk battlefield. Hoth's pincer is 75 kms away and Model's is 150 kms away.
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🇷🇺 🇱🇧 🇸🇾 Some people are belatedly realizing Russia can truck in weapons to Lebanon from its naval and air bases in Syria. | Carolina Lion 🔶️ U.S. Defense and Intelligence Officials are now Concerned that an Israeli Invasion of Southern Lebanon and Full…
✈️ 🇷🇺 🇸🇾 “In the past few hours, Russian and Iranian Military Cargo and Transport Planes were spotted heading to Syria, loaded with Advanced Weapons. An Important Development that could Reshape the Military Landscape in the Region.”
📎 OSINTdefender
📎 OSINTdefender
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🗳 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Trump puts White voters last: 🔶️ "I seem to be doing very well with Black males. This is according to polls [...] It's possible that I won't do as well with Black women." 🔶️ "Extremely well with Hispanic, Jewish voters... white males, way up. White…
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🇺🇸 🇮🇱 💵 Michael Tracey on X:
🔶️ "Trump is running on the most fanatically pro-Israel platform of any major party nominee ever. Based on his fanatically pro-Israel record as president, his future plans to back Israel even more aggressively, and his constant refrain that if you vote Democrat, you ain't Jewish"
📎 Michael Tracey
🔶️ "Trump is running on the most fanatically pro-Israel platform of any major party nominee ever. Based on his fanatically pro-Israel record as president, his future plans to back Israel even more aggressively, and his constant refrain that if you vote Democrat, you ain't Jewish"
📎 Michael Tracey
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
tumblr_njsg73itEO1rmby1bo1_400.gif
⬛️ U.S. forces have launched roughly 800 missiles and seven rounds of air strikes against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels that have controlled Yemen since November.
Strategery:
🔶️ “And day after day the drones keep coming, forcing the American military to burn through hundreds of multi-million dollar missiles on a mission with no end in sight.”
🔶️ “It’s a battle that has emerged as the United States’ most expansive and enduring military operation currently underway, a campaign that risks chewing through munitions the Pentagon would rather stockpile for a potential confrontation with China.”
🔶️ “It also in some ways contradicts Biden’s declaration last month, as he announced that he was ending his reelection campaign, that he is the first president of this century to “report to the American people that the United States is not at war anywhere in the world.”
🔶️ “the U.S. has parked aircraft carriers and missile defense destroyers in the Red Sea for months on end, spending time and money on a fight that costs Tehran little and pulls ships and assets from other missions in the Indo-Pacific and elsewhere.”
🔶️ “The precision anti-ship and air-to-ground missiles that are being used in Yemen are the very type of weapons that would be front and center in any fight with China, “so China’s ultimately the big winner across the board,” Waltz said.”
🔶️ “Our fleet is getting worn out. We’re shooting off the missiles we need to defend against the Taiwan scenario.”
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/07/houthi-yemen-defense-iran-airstrikes-00173096
📎 Elbridge Colby
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
POLITICO
Cost rising for US as it fights off Houthi drones
U.S. forces have launched roughly 800 missiles and seven rounds of air strikes against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels that have controlled Yemen since November.