📢 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 An Israeli official in the Prime Minister’s office told NBC News that "Israel can’t allow such a large attack over Israel without some kind of response, be it small or large. It’s up to the war cabinet to decide now"

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/israel-iran-attack-escalation-war-fears-drones-missiles-rcna147739

📎 Faytuks

🇵🇸 🇮🇱 Netanyahu postpones Rafah Operation - A week after he said a date had already been set.

📎 Kann News

🇮🇷 🇮🇱 The Israeli security establishment supports a response against Iran - but not necessarily immediately

🔶️ An absolute majority in the cabinet supported reacting on Iranian soil immediately, but the conversation between Biden and Netanyahu changed the decision that had already been made at the last minute.

📎 Kann News

📝 🇵🇸 🇮🇱 The two reserve brigades reactivated for Gaza were likely not intended to tackle Rafah by themselves to begin with. They may be tasked with clearing areas around the Netzarim Corridor, likely bulldozing nearby structures. Possibly involving the 2nd "Carmeli" reserve infantry brigade and the 551st reserve paratrooper brigade.

@CIG_telegram

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇺🇦 Speaker Johnson: Israel Aid Bill in the Coming Days

⬛️ Speaker Mike Johnson left unclear whether the vote on the security package, coming after Iranian attacks on Israel, would also include aid for Ukraine.

🔶️ “House Republicans and the Republican Party understand the necessity of standing with Israel,” Mr. Johnson said on Fox News, noting that he had previously advanced two aid bills to help the U.S. ally. “We’re going to try again this week, and the details of that package are being put together. Right now, we’re looking at the options and all these supplemental issues.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/14/us/politics/johnson-israel-ukraine-house.html

https://archive.ph/xQF9M

🇵🇸 🇮🇱 13 IDF Brigades returning to Gaza by late Spring/early Summer.

🔶️ Brigades remobilized: the IDF has remobilized the Carmeli (2nd) Brigade and 679th Armored Brigade, both part of the Northern Command. They will be sent to Gaza in the coming days/weeks, possibly replacing Nahal Brigade who is currently holding the Netzarim Corridor.

🔶️ Nahal and 401st Brigade are needed for Rafah. The IDF likely intend to use two divisions for the operation, 98th and 162nd, strengthened with the 7th Armored Brigade and reserve brigades.

Full overview of the brigades that will be used for Rafah and their current status:

162nd Division
- Givati Brigade, ready
- 401st Brigade, Central Gaza, ready once replaced
- Nahal Brigade, Central Gaza, ready once replaced

98th Division
- Paratroopers Brigade, ready
- 551st Brigade, ready
- Commando Brigade, ready
- Attached: 7th Brigade, ready

(Keep in mind, the brigades labeled as ready are currently resting)

🔶️ The IDF will probably call up 99th division as well, that's 3 reserve brigades. 55th brigade (98) will also be called up, 551 is already waiting at camp bilo.

99th division
- 11th brigade
- 646th brigade
- 179th armored brigade

📎 Gaza war unit tracking

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 The Iranian April 13 missile-drone attack on Israel was very likely intended to cause significant damage below the threshold that would trigger a massive Israeli response. The attack was designed to succeed, not to fail.

🔶️ The strike package was modeled on those the Russians have used repeatedly against Ukraine to great effect.

🔶️ The strike consisted of approximately 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, and 120 ballistic missiles.

🔶️ The drones were launched well before the ballistic missiles were fired, very likely in the expectation that they would arrive in Israel’s air defense window at about the same time as the cruise missiles and drones.

🔶️ The Russians have used such an approach against Ukraine repeatedly.

🔶️ Only a few ballistic missiles penetrated Israeli air defenses and struck near Israeli military bases out of the 120 or so the Iranians fired.

🔶️ Ukrainian air defenses have averaged interception rates of only about 46% of Russian ballistic missiles during recent large strikes.

🔶️ The Iranians likely expected that Israeli rates would be higher than the Ukrainian rates but not above 90% against such a large ballistic missile salvo—the Russians, after all, have never fired close to that many large ballistic missiles in a single strike against Ukraine.

🔶️ Israel’s air defense system has several obvious advantages over Ukrainian air defense, but the full implications of some of those advantages might well have been unclear to Iranian strike planners.

🔶️ Ukraine has, in particular, been unable to use combat aircraft to shoot down Russian drones and cruise missiles at scale, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky recently observed that Kyiv will likely use the F-16s Ukraine will receive this summer in those roles.

🔶️ Iran will learn additional lessons from the failed attack that it can leverage to launch more successful attacks in the future.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran%E2%80%99s-attempt-hit-israel-russian-style-strike-package-failedfor-now

📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 The lesson here is perhaps more about the US directly defending Israel by Air & Sea, rather than the efficiency of the Iron Dome. Without plentiful US military assets those drones would have hit their targets. Perhaps a second barrage the next day or a third the day after that would have overwhelmed US capabilities. Especially because the US lacks destroyer tenders to reload VLS tubes at sea.

📝 The second thing to note here would be the level of commitment the US holds towards Israel vs NATO partners or even Ukraine. If the US is willing to intercept Iranian missiles over multiple Middle Eastern countries, what prevents them from intercepting Russian missiles heading for Ukraine that take advantage of Polish airspace? Does this set precedent or is there a certain privilege for Israel?

Putting White Interests First: Stay Away From Israel and Out of the Middle East

We have expanded our earlier Telegram post into a larger piece on why Western (White) countries must stay away from Israel and out of the Middle East.

We have included examples of Israeli spying on Canada, The European Union, United States and beyond.

As well as detailed the lavish economic support which Western elites provide for Israel, against the wishes of their own populations.

The Middle East is nothing but a hole into which White blood, treasure, and lives are thrown without care.

It is time for White nations to cut ties with Israel, and ignore the conflicts of that region. White interests must come first and nationalists must be informed for any debate on the topic. A pro-White foreign policy is one where White interests are at the center and the Middle East is properly viewed as nothing but a drag on the West.

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— 🇮🇱/🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The Israeli Defense Minister has told the U.S. Secretary of Defense that Israel has 'no choice' but to retaliate against Iran – Axios

@Middle_East_Spectator

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel defense minister to Pentagon: No choice but to retaliate against Iran

🔶️ Israeli Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant told Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin Sunday that Israel has no choice but to respond to the unprecedented missile and drone attack launched by Iran over the weekend, a U.S. official and another source briefed on the call told Axios.

🔶️ Israel won't accept an equation in which Iran responds with a direct attack every time Israel strikes targets in Syria, Gallant added.

🔶️ The sources said Austin conveyed a similar message to the one President Biden gave Netanyahu on Saturday night, stressing the need to do everything possible to avoid further escalation.

🔶️ The Pentagon and the Israeli ministry of defense said that Austin and Gallant also discussed efforts to establish an international and regional coalition against Iran.

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/15/israel-iran-attack-missiles-retaliation

⚡🇵🇸🇮🇳 Air India has cancelled all flights to Israel for the next three weeks.

@medmannews

🌍 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 A Senior Official with the Israeli Air Force has stated that Saturday Night’s Success in Defeating the Iranian Attack was only possible due to their recent Normalization of Relations with certain Middle Eastern Countries, with a Majority of the Information and Early Warning about the Attack coming from the Regional Coalition who also assisted in the Interception of Iranian Missiles and Drones; the Official does not say who the Members of this “Coalition” are but it’s likely they include Iraq, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/live-updates/israel-gaza-hamas-war/?id=108860743

📎 OSINTdefender

📢 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel's Channel 12 news ticker: "At the end of the cabinet meeting - it was decided to respond to Iran; The Airforce has completed the preparations for a strike"

📎 Faytuks