A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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The trade tracker is designed to allow members to track the latest updates on trades shared within our community. The trade history section shows recent trading results among our analysts, as well as summarized results.

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USD/JPY Analysis
UJ is getting ready to break resistance on the 1D timeframe around 144.836. We would need a break and close above this level for confirmation. But if price cannot move higher, we could see the pair hover around the 140-141s for support. USD has unemployment and NFP this Friday which is expected to be slightly worse than expected job growth and no change in unemployment. A lower number of jobs would probably hurt both the dollar and equities because investors' confidence in USD comes from rising interest rates while sustaining economic growth.
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EUR/USD Analysis
EURUSD's bearish rally may have ended after price hits a falling trend line and resistance on the 1D timeframe. If we still see this rejection on today's candle, it could suggest another test at the lows at 0.95440 which also depends on what equities end up doing today. With jobs numbers due on Friday, we might see increased volatility throughout the week.
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SPX500 Analysis
Stocks are green in premarket trading after another bad week of losses. We could be seeing a bear market rally right now, although the direction is still not clear. Looking at the 1D timeframe, stocks could make their move up to $3727 where there is slight resistance, but price has already closed underneath a key support level. Continued downside still looks likely.
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As we enter into a new month, it’s important to recognize seasonality in the markets. Risk on pairs are typically stronger during the month of October and December, as investors start to get an idea of what could be in store for the next year. Pairs like EURUSD will likely benefit from these moves because it tends to replicate the behavior of the US stock market. Although the USD is strong right now, certain risk on markets might have bottomed for a little bit to make a short term rally. So even traders with longer term bearishness on EU and other pairs like it may benefit from potential long opportunities that these pairs are presenting in the short term.

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Incoming US Jobs Data
According to this morning’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), job openings at the end of August were far lower than expected. Just over 11 million employment opportunities were forecast, while the actual number barely exceeded 10 million. This incoming US jobs data, which verifies that America’s labor market is indeed cooling, has likely fed into bearish momentum for the US Dollar this morning.

However, this is not the only crucial labor-related USD news that traders will have to work with this week. Tomorrow at 8:15 am Eastern Time, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. will release their Non-Farm Employment Change (NFP) estimates for September, and on Friday at 8:30 am ET, the BLS will reveal September’s changes in Average Hourly Earnings and NFP, as well as the new US unemployment rate.

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https://a1trading.com/incoming-us-jobs-data/
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EURUSD Analysis
EU looks to be retracing from the 50 DMA on the 1D timeframe after seeing a considerable rally to the upside. A glimpse of NFP numbers came out today which could spark strength in the dollar as it beat expectations. If price can't break the 50, it may continue to move further down towards the falling trend line once again for another test.
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CADJPY Analysis
CADJPY is also dipping today as risk off sentiment comes back to the markets. However, CAD might be in a unique position against the yen due to its currency strength similar to the USD. JPY is the weakest of the three risk-off pairs, so the Loonie may have a chance at continuing to new highs the uptrend to new highs again.
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A1 Edgefinder Forecast:
EURCAD is in an interesting position right now as price is coming up to resistance while CAD's GDP beats expectations. We will see an updated score on this pair tomorrow and this neutral rating will change. CAD is strong right now while the euro is struggling to boost consumer confidence and catch up to the major currency pairs. We could be seeing CAD pairs on discounts right now.

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