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NVIDIA (NVDA) Daily Chart:

Warning! Earnings dropping in the next few hours. This chart is likely to move pretty significantly.

I personally own the stock, and like to see the momentum pushing higher ahead of the report.

With several of their major customers (Microsoft, Tesla, etc) reiterating their intentions to spend big on AI, I like this company for the long term.

- Nick
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GBPUSD Daily:

Price cooling off from its recent surge higher. Headed towards a key level of support that I will be watching in tomorrow's session.

Fundamentals look strong for the british pound at this time, relative to recent economic forecasts.
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UK economic heatmap: most economic estimates recently being beaten...

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Gold Daily Chart

Price still stuck in a bit of a range, but bouncing back sharply in the overnight session.

Continued uncertainty in Washington DC may continue to keep buyers interested, but sellers may be willing to take advantage of premium prices if we see a spike higher - due to relatively strong economic resiliency out of many major nations recently.

I remain neutral, but watching price action to see if buyers can get something going.

Bias: I think price will range sideways for longer.

- Nick
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GDP Growth QoQ (USA): Came in at -0.2%, better than the expected -0.3% contraction
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However: unemployment claims this week ticked higher, worse than expected.
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Dollar Daily:

Keep your eye on this range... Waiting for some decision to help guide directional bias.

Economic data remains mixed, price action too.

Could NFP next week change this? - Nick
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EUR/USD - Testing Resistance for the Fourth Time

The Euro found support at the 50 Day MA and is now retesting 1.141000

Possible Scenarios: If the Eurozone continues to see misses in economic data or continued revisions downward in data, there could be a slide for EUR/USD. Also, if the US prints an upbeat ISM Manufacturing PMI, it could also fuel a short-term decline in the Euro. On the contrary, if ISM Manufacturing PMI is a miss and the Euro holds above the key resistance, then a retest of the previous 1.15000 high is probable.

In my opinion upside could be limited. With recent misses in the EU and an expected positive print for the US today – the resistance level could hold solid. The EU is expecting a tick lower in inflation tomorrow.
Risks for bulls:
- Continued misses in economic data for the EU
- A tick lower in tomorrows inflation reading for EU
- Strong PMI’ for the US

Risks for bears:
- A break and retest of the 1.14100 resistance
- A miss in US PMI’s
- Negative US jobs data

-Alan
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GOLD – Safe Havens demand returns

Last week – tariff threats between the US and China resurfaced, creating an appetite for safe havens. Investors flock to assets like Gold, JPY, and CHF when there’s uncertainty in the market.

Risks for bulls:
No progress is made; there’s a chance Gold can revisit 3,410.
Risks for bears:
Positive developments resurface, then we can retest support at 3,240.

In my opinion, the worst-case scenario was priced in at the high of 3,500. It would take threats worse than already mentioned to break that high.

-Alan
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Pulse check on the Eurozone’s heatmap

Recent misses on EU’s economic data. Tomorrow the EU is expecting a lower CPI print. A lower print will cause the EU’s heatmap to worsen.

- Alan
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Rally Again?πŸ“ˆ
Chart Of The Day: XAU/USDπŸ”₯
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DXY – The bottom may be priced in

DXY has been in a constant uptrend since Tuesday’s daily candle open – bouncing off of the 98.00 level. The last time the dollar tested this level, it reached resistance at 100.00. This level could a fresh higher-low on a higher time frame basis.

Fundamentally, dollar bullishness has been fueled by tariff deal progression. Specifically, last week US Court blocked certain tariffs. Markets saw that as a sign of relief. Then – US Court of Appeals temporarily stayed the lower court's decision, allowing the tariffs to remain in effect. Dollar faded off of that.
Now – Trump requested nations’ best offer by tomorrow.

In my opinion, a glimpse of progression tomorrow could continue to fuel dollar bullishness. Upcoming labor data will also influence the DXY’s direction.

πŸ”΄ Risks to consider for bulls:
- Bad labor market data
- No new deals tomorrow
πŸ”΄ Risks to consider for bears:
- Positive labor market data
- New countries being listed in the negotiation stage

- Alan
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USD/CHF – The biggest beneficiary to tariff deals
USDCHF broke the downward trendline on May 27th and has stayed above it since. It also stayed above the support at 0.82000 after a fake-out. It could stay in a range and target the 50 Day MA at 0.83000.

USDCHF performs really well when tariff headlines are positive. CHF is a safe haven currency and investors flock to it when times are uncertain. On the contrary, CHF sees outflows when the market sees clarity and risk-on sentiment.

In my opinion, downside for USD/CHF is limited for three main reasons
1. Price action reacts strongly bullish when tariff headlines are good
2. The SNB does not want CHF to be too strong and are willing to intervene if it does so
3. CHF is a safe-haven and performs poorly with risk-on sentiment
* If there are no deals tomorrow, my bullish bias will be invalidated. Especially if US labor data comes in bad. Personally, I'm waiting for clarity.
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πŸ”΄Risks to consider for bulls:
- Shaky comments about deals tomorrow. No progress. No countries stepping up.
- Bad US labor data
πŸ”΄Risks to consider for bears:
- Countries are making deals
- Good US labor data

- Alan
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The last two NFP prints have came in better than forecasted. Some economist say that this set of economic data are the last prints that have not been affected by tariffs.
Moving forward, I believe markets will start to care about economic data again.

- Alan
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