Retail vs. Smart Money: Contradictions in Gold Trading
Retail traders are heavily shorting gold, a surprising contradiction to the bearish outlook I have on the metal. When retail positioning is overwhelmingly in one direction, it often signals a potential reversal. Meanwhile, Commitment of Traders (COT) data reveals a small increase in net positions on gold from institutional investors, while smart money is selling the U.S. dollar and increasing exposure to Nasdaq and industrial metals (excluding silver and gold). These moves suggest that the bigger players see opportunities in equities and alternative commodities while hedging against dollar weakness.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Retail traders are heavily shorting gold, a surprising contradiction to the bearish outlook I have on the metal. When retail positioning is overwhelmingly in one direction, it often signals a potential reversal. Meanwhile, Commitment of Traders (COT) data reveals a small increase in net positions on gold from institutional investors, while smart money is selling the U.S. dollar and increasing exposure to Nasdaq and industrial metals (excluding silver and gold). These moves suggest that the bigger players see opportunities in equities and alternative commodities while hedging against dollar weakness.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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🎁 Access Now for 10% Off with Code TGVIP
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Gold's upside seems unbreakable, but it looks like price is at an impasse. This is the level where price either consolidates for a little before hitting another spike above resistance, which could happen quickly. Or it's the level where price finally gives out and comes down to test the $2,950s.
Reason for more upside: dollar could get weaker after Fed has mentioned planning to cut twice this year.
Reasons for downside reversal: tariff tensions are on a downward trajectory, speculation and demand are beginning to rise again in the stock market, economic and inflationary figures are showing improvement.
Overall, it seems for right now at least, that the metal has more reasons to cool down. Price is so overextended but has not seen any kind of correction unlike the stock market's reversal earlier this year to cool off from the highs.
-Frank
Reason for more upside: dollar could get weaker after Fed has mentioned planning to cut twice this year.
Reasons for downside reversal: tariff tensions are on a downward trajectory, speculation and demand are beginning to rise again in the stock market, economic and inflationary figures are showing improvement.
Overall, it seems for right now at least, that the metal has more reasons to cool down. Price is so overextended but has not seen any kind of correction unlike the stock market's reversal earlier this year to cool off from the highs.
-Frank
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Dollar Still Has Some Catching Up To Do💵
Chart Of The Day: USD Pairs🔥
Chart Of The Day: USD Pairs🔥
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A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
Silver grinding higher 📈 EdgeFinder top setup signal + key level of support. 🔥 I hope everyone is enjoying the EdgeFinder FREE week going on right now. - Nick
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🥇 Gold: Smart Money Squeeze?
Gold continues its winning streak on the 1D timeframe, with its EdgeFinder score jumping +5 points overnight. What’s driving the move?
- COT data is flashing bullish signals.
- Retail traders are nearly 100% short, setting up a potential squeeze.
- Treasury yields dipped below their 8-day moving average.
With 91% of traders short, there’s a real chance that institutional players push prices higher before any major reversal. And with no major news today, all eyes are on tomorrow’s GDP numbers for the next catalyst.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Gold continues its winning streak on the 1D timeframe, with its EdgeFinder score jumping +5 points overnight. What’s driving the move?
- COT data is flashing bullish signals.
- Retail traders are nearly 100% short, setting up a potential squeeze.
- Treasury yields dipped below their 8-day moving average.
With 91% of traders short, there’s a real chance that institutional players push prices higher before any major reversal. And with no major news today, all eyes are on tomorrow’s GDP numbers for the next catalyst.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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📈 NASDAQ: A Bullish Explosion
Tech stocks are back in action! The NASDAQ’s EdgeFinder score just skyrocketed from +2 to +8 overnight – a massive 400% shift driven by:
- Strong trend readings
- Falling interest yields below the 8-day moving average
With price approaching resistance around $20,600, we could see another push to fresh highs. Keep this level on your radar!
Data from EdgeFinder
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🎁 Access Now for 10% Off with Code TGVIP
Tech stocks are back in action! The NASDAQ’s EdgeFinder score just skyrocketed from +2 to +8 overnight – a massive 400% shift driven by:
- Strong trend readings
- Falling interest yields below the 8-day moving average
With price approaching resistance around $20,600, we could see another push to fresh highs. Keep this level on your radar!
Data from EdgeFinder
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The EdgeFinder has a unique scoring system that has been programmed to generate a positive or negative score on economic data based on how that data affects each asset.
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Why?
The EdgeFinder has a unique scoring system that has been programmed to generate a positive or negative score on economic data based on how that data affects each asset.
For example:
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Instead of having to look at all the data and interpret it in your head, the EdgeFinder will generate these scores for you!
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📈 Gold Surges on Tariff News!
Gold prices jumped following the announcement of new auto tariffs. Trade restrictions often spark geopolitical tensions, driving demand for safe-haven assets. On the daily chart, gold is testing its rising trendline, sitting between a recent pullback and all-time highs.
Will this rally continue? Read the full breakdown of market reactions here: https://www.a1trading.com/whats-behind-the-auto-tariffs/
-Frank
Gold prices jumped following the announcement of new auto tariffs. Trade restrictions often spark geopolitical tensions, driving demand for safe-haven assets. On the daily chart, gold is testing its rising trendline, sitting between a recent pullback and all-time highs.
Will this rally continue? Read the full breakdown of market reactions here: https://www.a1trading.com/whats-behind-the-auto-tariffs/
-Frank
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