A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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πŸ“‰ NAS100's Make-or-Break Moment: A Buying Opportunity?
The NAS100 index is undergoing its third test of a crucial support zone established in 2023. With investor uncertainty and market anxiety running high, this could be a pivotal buying opportunity for indices. A potential turnaround may emerge within the $19,000-$20,000 range, contingent on two key factors:

Progress in tariff negotiations signaling relief and cooperation between the US and its trade partners.
CPI and Core inflation data meeting or coming in below expectations.
Failure to achieve these outcomes may result in a break below the trend line, potentially driving NAS100 closer to the $17,000 range.

πŸ‘‰ Today's market outlook also covers gold’s price action, smart money positioning, and retail trader sentiment. Are markets gearing up for a major shift? Read the full breakdown here
-Frank
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Gold's Quiet Strength: A Bullish Breakout Brewing?
Gold prices have stagnated over the past month, struggling to breach the $3,000 mark. While recent job data signals slowing growth, a higher-than-expected inflation result could renew stagflation concerns, which historically benefits gold. The current 1D timeframe shows signs of a potential bullish flag pattern. If volatility persists, price may test the lower boundary of this channel before determining its next move. Notably, gold continues to outperform US indices, reflecting sustained buyer interest.

Data from EdgeFinder
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When you thought the bottom was in on Friday:

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US Dollar Daily Chart:

We're currently threatening to break a very key level of support for USD, despite today's better than expected JOLTS Job Openings being better than expected.

This chart continues to look bearish, but a bit oversold in the short run. Will we see a bounce on CPI?

If so - I still favor bearish setups at resistance for the time being.

This also continues to give a nice boost to gold & silver.

- Nick
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Chart of the Day: VIX πŸ”₯
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We’re not perfect, and not every trade is a winner. But over time, our wins have outweighed the losses.

πŸ‘€ See for yourself! Check out our track record here

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The latest inflation data is in, and for the first time in six months, CPI has cooled off, coming in at 2.9% YoY. This marks a notable shift after months of inflation hovering above 3%.
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S&P 500: A Fakeout or the Start of a Recovery?
The S&P 500 recently broke below a key support level on the daily timeframe but is now showing signs of life. Despite not bouncing decisively, buyers may be stepping back in after softer inflation data. Could this be the setup for a rebound, or are we looking at more downside?
-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Gold: Bullish, but Is a Pullback Coming?
Gold is testing the upper boundary of a falling flag pattern on the daily chart. While the EdgeFinder still gives it a strong +10 bullish rating, healthier inflation data could ease stagflation fears, leading to short-term selling pressure. Trade negotiations in the Americas add another layer of uncertainty, but overall, the long-term trend remains intact.
-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Chart Of The Day: XAU/USDπŸ”₯
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