A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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🚨 NFP This Friday: One of the Biggest Events of the Month! 🚨
Get prepared for one of the most significant market events of the month! The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report drops this Friday, and it's set to move markets.

πŸ’‘ What is NFP?
πŸ’‘ When Does It Drop?
πŸ’‘ When is the Best Time to Trade It?

We’ve got a free course to teach you how to trade NFP like a pro, including:

- Pre-release strategies
- Post-release momentum trades
- Risk management tips to keep you safe in volatile conditions

FREE COURSE:
πŸ”— Get ready now
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Gold Daily Chart:

Confidently higher, after finding support aroudn 2875.

Are we headed to $3000?

Soft ADP numbers would suggest gold may have more room higher...

- Nick
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US Economic Heatmap, ft. EdgeFinder:

Still showing some weakness in terms of latest data vs. forecasts. A positive for gold prices.
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S&P 500: Bearish Pressure Building?
The EdgeFinder remains bearish as key economic data continues to weigh on market sentiment. Following today’s ADP numbers, institutional traders remain cautious, with yesterday’s tariff changes adding to the uncertainty.

Since price has already broken a key support level, the momentum could continue lower toward $5,700 if selling pressure holds.
-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Gold: Climbing Toward $3K?
Gold remains on an upward trajectory despite its overvaluation, and today’s labor data could help push it even closer to the psychological $3,000 mark. Weak job numbers + tariff concerns = potential safe-haven demand, keeping gold in focus.

For now, the metal may trade within a range, but a breakout past $3K remains a possibility if sentiment continues shifting risk-off.
-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Chart Of The Day: GBP/USDπŸ”₯
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EdgeFinder, don't do this to me...


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πŸ”₯ Gold Nears $3,000 – Is There More Room to Run?
Gold prices are surging, driven by rising trade tensions and strong central bank demand. With key technical indicators signaling bullish momentum, analysts are now eyeing further upside beyond $3,000. As economic uncertainty grows, gold’s safe-haven appeal has never been stronger.

But how will this impact the broader market? And what other assets are reacting to the trade war? Read the full breakdown here: https://www.a1trading.com/the-trade-war-begins/

-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Here is a quick update on my general outlook: (Nick)

- Tariffs have everyone terrified.
- Economic data for US (as seen in my previous posts) looks a little soft, and has people rushing to other currencies/stock markets
- Gold looks great in an environment where central banks are both buying it aggressively, and cutting interest rates...
- I think the Bank of Japan will hike rates further, which could introduce some risk

Long story short:
- Short term I am (and have been) cautious
- Long term, I think there are some great buy the dip opportunities forming in stocks
- Metals momentum is my favorite trade right now, until it fades

I view this as an attractive opportunity to slowly start building long positions in stocks I like.

- Nick
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Unemployment claims have come in lower this week but remain within the same general range. So far this year, no report has fallen below the 200,000 threshold. Additionally, the latest ADP employment data significantly underperformed expectations, raising further concerns about the labor market’s resilience.
-Frank

Data from EdgeFinder
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Chart Of The Day: EUR/USDπŸ”₯
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To those who think they can easily predict the market direction ahead of the NFP report... There's something you should know.

At the world’s top financial institutions and hedge funds, teams of brilliant minds (quants, economists, and statisticians) work tirelessly, crunching vast datasets with cutting-edge models to forecast the numbers ahead of the release. Even with their talent, resources, and floors of brainpower, their predictions about jobs data are often off β€” sometimes wildly so.

The reason post news price spikes are so violent is because there is a degree of uncertainty! The market rapidly tries to price in the new information following the print.

A retail trader marking up technical charts is not going to be able to better predict jobs data than the smartest minds with access to powerful data sets and quantitative models.

The good news? You don't have to! I like to wait for the numbers to come out, take some time to understand what they mean for the economy / macro context, and find setups that have a decent risk/reward.

This often means trailing the big guys and their moves... rather than trying to call the markets direction before we get the data. That is pure gambling in my opinion.

Be safe. Today is account blowing day for many...

- Nick
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