A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures
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- Nick
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S&P 500
The past four days have closed near break even while the last 8 days have not moved. Tariff talk has shaken the market but has not broken it. Every swing lower has ended coming back up to the open price inviting day traders to buy the dips. We need to be cautious here since we are still near the highs. Choppiness will likely continue, but eventually something will break on either side. The past several days have slowly gotten less volatile and looks to be forming a wedge pattern on the 1D timeframe. ADP NFP came in higher than expected which could push back against tariff uncertainties.
-Frank

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ADP Numbers Skyrocket - A Bullish Beacon for the Market!

This morning, the market was buzzing with excitement as ADP numbers soared beyond expectations, igniting a delayed yet robust bullish surge. For the first time in three months, we've witnessed a significant uptick in private payrolls, hinting at an economic resurgence.

Could this be the prelude to an even more thrilling Friday? With the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, we might just be on the cusp of witnessing a fourth consecutive month of positive employment growth. This isn't just data; it's a narrative of recovery, resilience, and potential prosperity. Keep your eyes peeled - the market might just be ready for another leap forward!

-Frank
ETH/USD Daily chart:

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- Frank
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S&P opened higher, driven by gains in MSFT, NVDA, and AMZN. While most stocks are flat or down, strength in big tech is lifting the market. Unemployment claims came in higher than expected but haven't had a noticeable impact on the broader index. SPX remains stuck in a wedge pattern on the 1D timeframe, struggling to break out. A decisive move is likely tomorrow, depending on revisions and actual data.

-Frank
Gold is sliding ahead of tomorrowโ€™s NFP report, possibly due to expectations coming in higher than last month. On the 1D timeframe, the metal remains in a strong channel trend, with sellers rarely challenging the upside. A weaker-than-expected NFP could give gold the push it needs to retest the top of the channel, though that outcome is uncertain. Meanwhile, the put/call ratio on GLD contracts suggests traders are increasing their short positions, anticipating a potential reversal if tomorrowโ€™s report comes in strong.
-Frank

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Recent positions in gold indicate a slight slowdown in buying as we enter the week of jobs data. Meanwhile, rising yields and a stronger dollar are putting pressure on crypto, causing a pullback across the board.
-Frank

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Jobless claims have remained steady between 200K and 242K since November of last year, offering little new insight. Unlike the JOLTS data earlier this week and yesterday's private payrolls report, this figure lacks the same market-moving impact.
-Frank

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A big welcome to all of our new followers here on telegram! We are Nick and Frank, analysts at A1 Trading and the creators of the EdgeFinder. For those who are new, hereโ€™s a quick summary of our trading styles:

NICK SYIEK
- Fundamental & Technical Trend Trader
- Trades: US Indices, commodities, and currencies

FRANK CABIBI
- Fundamental & Technical Trend Trader
- Trades: Stocks/Indices, Crypto, Currencies

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Happy trading!
Forex trades recently! Yen bullish setups continue to look interesting.

This week I sold GBPJPY, and have my eye on a few others for next week.

Any new trades will be shared in VIP.

- Nick