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S&P 500
The market slid this morning on Russia-Ukraine tensions. Now price is back to break even on the day as we await NVDA’s earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Walmart beat earnings this morning which was good news for the countercyclical business and may suggest higher demand in consumer defensive stocks. However, we now have perhaps the biggest earnings play of the year at 4 pm EST tomorrow. This report will likely set the tone for all of tech, especially semis and AI companies. If we do see a beat in both EPS and revenue along with an upward guidance, we will likely get the green light on indices.
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The market slid this morning on Russia-Ukraine tensions. Now price is back to break even on the day as we await NVDA’s earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Walmart beat earnings this morning which was good news for the countercyclical business and may suggest higher demand in consumer defensive stocks. However, we now have perhaps the biggest earnings play of the year at 4 pm EST tomorrow. This report will likely set the tone for all of tech, especially semis and AI companies. If we do see a beat in both EPS and revenue along with an upward guidance, we will likely get the green light on indices.
Data From The EdgeFinder!
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Gold is making another attempt at the highs after geopolitical tensions swell in Ukraine/Russia. This has not really affected Bitcoin's price, but it has startled the US markets. If the metal continues to climb, price could come up to the $2,680s and form a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D timeframe. Gold had a year notching better returns than the stock market, but upside seems more limited than other assets such as stocks, bitcoin, dollar (maybe). I would imagine that when tensions fall again, so will the price of gold.
-Frank
-Frank
Bitcoin to $100,000
The reason Bitcoin's price could come up to $100k by month end is not just because it's very close to target, but because there are opportunities for the crypto to fly to $110,000. Options on crypto ETFs have been launched by Black Rock to allow and encourage further speculation in the coin's price. This could lead to short term interest and take Bitcoin past expectations, become over extended, and possibly correct. In the short term, $110,000 might be the top, with support much lower at $80,000.
-Frank
The reason Bitcoin's price could come up to $100k by month end is not just because it's very close to target, but because there are opportunities for the crypto to fly to $110,000. Options on crypto ETFs have been launched by Black Rock to allow and encourage further speculation in the coin's price. This could lead to short term interest and take Bitcoin past expectations, become over extended, and possibly correct. In the short term, $110,000 might be the top, with support much lower at $80,000.
-Frank
NASDAQ, SPX and DOW are mixed while RUSSELL and gold are getting bought. The crowd is also getting long USOil despite the amount of oil production happening in the US. This could be a short term trade to the upside as geopolitical tensions increase in Russia-Ukraine.
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Here is bitcoin's COT vs retail positioning. We can see that retail is getting increasingly long while COT is dropping their positions. This could be telling us that this current wave of price swings could be retail-led. With the introduction of more options trading on BTC ETFs, institutions and retail traders alike could be flooding the market with interest.
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Jobless claims came in lower for the third straight week in a row. Revisions are slightly holding us back as previous numbers keep getting revised higher. The overall trend is lower however, and seeing a steady in the jobs market could be what investors are looking for.
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