🔮 Master the Markets with the Business Forecast
The Business Forecast in EdgeFinder offers key economic projections for the next four quarters, helping traders analyze crucial data like interest rate and inflation forecasts.

How can it help you?
By focusing on a single metric—like inflation—you can compare forecasts across currencies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP) to spot trends and make strategic decisions.

Example:
If inflation is forecasted to be higher in the USD compared to the EUR, this might signal that the U.S. Federal Reserve could raise interest rates to combat inflation. As a trader, you could anticipate USD strength relative to the EUR and adjust your trades accordingly—such as buying USD or selling EUR/USD to capitalize on expected currency movements.

With the Business Forecast, you can stay ahead of market trends and trade with confidence. 🌍📊

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For stocks & options traders, do you guys want to see a secret?

👀

$XLRE Daily Chart: (Real estate ETF)

Easiest trade all year! Falling interest rates + decent economy = possible recovery in real estate stocks

- Nick

Shhhhhh 🤫

Hint: That's not the edgefinder......

Painful one to miss... EURUSD selloff continues without me!

Going to wait patiently for a pullback. I'm bearish on this pair.

- Nick

Congrats to those that caught the move though!

USDJPY came out of extreme bearish territory in early October and is now a positive-neutral reading on the EdgeFinder. The dollar is gaining momentum on good economic data and inflation news along with the expectations of softer rate cuts than expected.

Originally, investors thought 50 bps was needed in the next meeting. But seeing an improvement in the US economic state has relieved some of the pressures from the Fed cut as aggressively. Fears of a carry trade unwind might be over now that the pair has broken above the $149 level of resistance.
-Frank

Data From The EdgeFinder!
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Yesterday's SPX Bull Put Spread closed out for full profit 🏆

-Frank

One commodity that is underperforming now are oil prices after an incredible short term run to the upside. On the 1D timeframe, it looks like price made a false breakout to indicate a trend reversal as oil gets closer to the $60s price range.

Lower oil prices could mean softer inflation data in the next report although it will not affect Core CPI. Nearing the election, it seems like a lower commodity price could likely happen in the next month as well. Seasonally, November is oil's second worst month of the year according to the EdgeFinder.

-Frank

Although DOW is the strongest bull reading on the list, we are now seeing a resurgence in tech demand despite the chip scare earlier this week. The Biden administration is aiming to put restrictions on exporting AI chips to other countries to prevent national security risks, but those fears seem to have subsided.

NVDA had an ugly day on Tuesday, but the stock has sharply risen since that 5% drop. Now up over 8% from the lows of Tuesday, price nears an all time high which would be $141. With heavy focus on the chipmaker stock, we can get a good read on where the rest of the market is heading, which seems to be up for now.

Data From The EdgeFinder!
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Curious about how the 2024 Elections could impact you? 🤔

Check out Nick’s thoughts here:
https://youtu.be/dmrhlNbdVy4

No matter the outcome, there will always be a trade opportunity waiting! Don’t miss out: https://shorturl.at/Lx3d9

Retail is buying more than previous months now as head near the month of November. USDCAD is the only short position from the crowd. RUSSELL is now mixed, NASDAQ is mixed and DOW too. Retail may be getting ready to short the indices now that they are at or near all time highs, but that could be a mistake.
-Frank

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Smart money loves the stock market right now while retail remains neutral. An ideal situation for sentiment would be if retail began shorting the asset while COT remained long. This would likely identify another uptrend in the market with small periods of consolidation.

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We got another boost from economic data today with retail sales at 0.4% which is higher than expected. USD gained as a result with the stock market. Gold is up nearing all time highs as well.

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"Allowed me to become profitable as a just-graduated student"
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❤️ The A1 Trading Team

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