Gold
Gold prices can’t make a decision for the same reason as the indices. The whole market has caught a lengthy lull from Fed indecision and uncertainty around an interest rate cut this year. We know at some point, price will break one way or the other, and I think the jobs data will be enough to push us in a direction for next week.
Gold prices can’t make a decision for the same reason as the indices. The whole market has caught a lengthy lull from Fed indecision and uncertainty around an interest rate cut this year. We know at some point, price will break one way or the other, and I think the jobs data will be enough to push us in a direction for next week.
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GBP/USD
GU is up today as the indices fall in premarket and the dollar remains elevated. The pound might look stronger than the dollar right now due to falling inflation at the BoE rate target, and their central bank decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Meanwhile, the dollar is experiencing sticky inflation and still expecting a rate cut this year.
GU is up today as the indices fall in premarket and the dollar remains elevated. The pound might look stronger than the dollar right now due to falling inflation at the BoE rate target, and their central bank decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Meanwhile, the dollar is experiencing sticky inflation and still expecting a rate cut this year.
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NASDAQ
Stocks are coming off the new highs this morning in premarket after ADP payrolls came in lower than expected and unemployment claims slightly rose. Private payrolls have been steady since the start of this year, but have declined significantly from last July. Keeping the jobs market cool was part of the Fed’s plan to help battle inflation, and now that it is not really moving in the past 6 months, it could be good news for the stock market. However, we also noticed that stagnant jobs data and inflation are looking correlated. Maybe the jobs market needs to decline further to see a drop in CPI numbers. Powell spoke yesterday stating that they need more confidence in inflation before they begin cutting rates. Home prices remain elevated too. Although CPI is lower since 2022, there are still areas of the market that need to become cheaper in order to make the Fed dovish on rates.
Stocks are coming off the new highs this morning in premarket after ADP payrolls came in lower than expected and unemployment claims slightly rose. Private payrolls have been steady since the start of this year, but have declined significantly from last July. Keeping the jobs market cool was part of the Fed’s plan to help battle inflation, and now that it is not really moving in the past 6 months, it could be good news for the stock market. However, we also noticed that stagnant jobs data and inflation are looking correlated. Maybe the jobs market needs to decline further to see a drop in CPI numbers. Powell spoke yesterday stating that they need more confidence in inflation before they begin cutting rates. Home prices remain elevated too. Although CPI is lower since 2022, there are still areas of the market that need to become cheaper in order to make the Fed dovish on rates.
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