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We’re excited to introduce Marko, our newest analyst at A1 Trading! With real prop firm experience and a solid track record across Forex, indices, metals, and crypto, Marko brings a disciplined, trend-following strategy to the team.
He’s sharing his trade signals inside the A1 Trading community alongside Nick starting August 1st!
🔗 Read more about Marko’s background and strategy here
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A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
Closing out my GBP/USD short position for another +51 pips profit 🚀 Price tapping into some daily chart support which previously held strong. Going to watch to see how price reacts here, for a possible new trade! Taking the win and moving on 🙏 - Nick
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US Economic Heatmap – Resilience Across the Board
The latest data continues to favor the US. The EdgeFinder’s economic heatmap shows a strong string of beats across major categories — from NFP to retail sales and JOLTS. Even jobless claims and mortgage applications came in better than expected. The USD impact score sits at 62%, reflecting broad strength.
This resilience is coming at a time when the US is actively striking new trade deals — most recently with the EU and Japan — adding a confidence boost to US assets. These developments have kept demand elevated for the dollar, stocks, and even risk-on trades.
Looking ahead, the focus will turn to the Fed’s policy stance and whether incoming inflation and labor data will validate the market’s optimistic outlook. For now, the US macro picture remains one of the strongest globally.
The latest data continues to favor the US. The EdgeFinder’s economic heatmap shows a strong string of beats across major categories — from NFP to retail sales and JOLTS. Even jobless claims and mortgage applications came in better than expected. The USD impact score sits at 62%, reflecting broad strength.
This resilience is coming at a time when the US is actively striking new trade deals — most recently with the EU and Japan — adding a confidence boost to US assets. These developments have kept demand elevated for the dollar, stocks, and even risk-on trades.
Looking ahead, the focus will turn to the Fed’s policy stance and whether incoming inflation and labor data will validate the market’s optimistic outlook. For now, the US macro picture remains one of the strongest globally.
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🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Why do central banks raise interest rates?
Why do central banks raise interest rates?
Anonymous Quiz
4%
Boost exports
6%
Lower bond yields
10%
Increase spending
80%
Fight inflation
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USD/JPY – Fed + BoJ on Deck
USD/JPY is back at resistance around 149.00 — a level that rejected two weeks ago. A break and retest could open the door toward 151.00, while a rejection might send us back toward 146.00 support. This week’s calendar is stacked, with both the Fed and BoJ set to announce rate decisions.
Markets expect the Fed to hold steady at 4.5% on Wednesday. The bigger question is the forward guidance. Traders are watching for any hint of a cut in September — something that may already be partially priced in. Trump’s comments calling for immediate rate cuts add to the noise, but Powell’s tone will ultimately drive the move.
The Bank of Japan meets a day later. Another hold is expected, but with inflation rising in Japan, pressure is building for a shift. If they surprise with a hike, the yen could rip higher. But a dovish hold? That could be the greenlight for USD/JPY to break out toward multi-year highs.
USD/JPY is back at resistance around 149.00 — a level that rejected two weeks ago. A break and retest could open the door toward 151.00, while a rejection might send us back toward 146.00 support. This week’s calendar is stacked, with both the Fed and BoJ set to announce rate decisions.
Markets expect the Fed to hold steady at 4.5% on Wednesday. The bigger question is the forward guidance. Traders are watching for any hint of a cut in September — something that may already be partially priced in. Trump’s comments calling for immediate rate cuts add to the noise, but Powell’s tone will ultimately drive the move.
The Bank of Japan meets a day later. Another hold is expected, but with inflation rising in Japan, pressure is building for a shift. If they surprise with a hike, the yen could rip higher. But a dovish hold? That could be the greenlight for USD/JPY to break out toward multi-year highs.
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GBP/USD – It Broke
GBP/USD just cracked through a key level at 1.3400 — also the neckline of a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. That level had acted as strong support for weeks, but the break opens the door to 1.3200 as the next zone below.
Weak UK data has shifted focus from inflation to slowing growth. June’s retail sales came in soft, and PMIs haven’t impressed either. Markets are now pricing in a 25 bps rate cut from the Bank of England in August, with odds rising for another cut later this year.
Meanwhile, the US dollar caught a bid after a US-EU trade deal was reached. The agreement imposes a 15% tariff on most EU goods and helped ease trade war concerns just ahead of the deadline — giving the dollar an extra tailwind.
GBP/USD just cracked through a key level at 1.3400 — also the neckline of a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. That level had acted as strong support for weeks, but the break opens the door to 1.3200 as the next zone below.
Weak UK data has shifted focus from inflation to slowing growth. June’s retail sales came in soft, and PMIs haven’t impressed either. Markets are now pricing in a 25 bps rate cut from the Bank of England in August, with odds rising for another cut later this year.
Meanwhile, the US dollar caught a bid after a US-EU trade deal was reached. The agreement imposes a 15% tariff on most EU goods and helped ease trade war concerns just ahead of the deadline — giving the dollar an extra tailwind.
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A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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Media is too big
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He made $21,000 trading Gold?!
Catch the full Episode with James Kirklin III on YouTube.
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EdgeFinder's Retail Sentiment
The dollar has been staging a quiet comeback — and it’s starting to show in positioning.
Retail traders are still leaning long on most major USD pairs:
USDCHF – 78% long
NZDUSD – 68% long
AUDUSD – 63% long
EURUSD – 59% long
GBPUSD – 54% long
That’s a clear tilt against the recent dollar strength — a potential contrarian signal.
Meanwhile, USDJPY and USDCAD are more balanced, with positioning nearly 50/50.
EdgeFinder bias leans bearish on many of these pairs, but retail positioning is skewed. Don’t forget — when the crowd gets too one-sided, the market tends to punish them.
Keep watching retail sentiment as the Fed and BoJ rate decisions approach. Momentum could shift fast
The dollar has been staging a quiet comeback — and it’s starting to show in positioning.
Retail traders are still leaning long on most major USD pairs:
USDCHF – 78% long
NZDUSD – 68% long
AUDUSD – 63% long
EURUSD – 59% long
GBPUSD – 54% long
That’s a clear tilt against the recent dollar strength — a potential contrarian signal.
Meanwhile, USDJPY and USDCAD are more balanced, with positioning nearly 50/50.
EdgeFinder bias leans bearish on many of these pairs, but retail positioning is skewed. Don’t forget — when the crowd gets too one-sided, the market tends to punish them.
Keep watching retail sentiment as the Fed and BoJ rate decisions approach. Momentum could shift fast
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🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
What's the main purpose of a trendline?
What's the main purpose of a trendline?
Anonymous Quiz
3%
Track volume
1%
Mark news events
90%
Identify direction
6%
Time entries perfectly
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DXY – Pivotal Moment
DXY is trading at 99, a key level to overcome if upside is the next leg. Previously, DXY rejected this level and flushed back to the 97 territory. A break above could open the door to test resistance at 100.5.
Markets were quiet early Wednesday as traders wait for key data from the US, Japan, and Canada. The Fed has a rate decision today — which is expected to be a hold. The piece everyone is looking for is whether it’s a hawkish hold or dovish hold. A September rate cut remains the base case, but upcoming data — especially Friday's NFP report — will be pivotal.
Overall, traders are back to being data-dependent and risk-aware, with global rate expectations, trade policy clarity, and growth divergence continuing to drive directional bias across major currencies.
DXY is trading at 99, a key level to overcome if upside is the next leg. Previously, DXY rejected this level and flushed back to the 97 territory. A break above could open the door to test resistance at 100.5.
Markets were quiet early Wednesday as traders wait for key data from the US, Japan, and Canada. The Fed has a rate decision today — which is expected to be a hold. The piece everyone is looking for is whether it’s a hawkish hold or dovish hold. A September rate cut remains the base case, but upcoming data — especially Friday's NFP report — will be pivotal.
Overall, traders are back to being data-dependent and risk-aware, with global rate expectations, trade policy clarity, and growth divergence continuing to drive directional bias across major currencies.
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USOIL – Watching $69 Handle
OIL is trading above $69, holding a five-week high as geopolitical risk and improving trade ties support price. President Trump has reiterated the U.S. may impose additional tariffs on countries still buying Russian crude, alongside threats of fresh sanctions if Moscow doesn’t resolve the Ukraine conflict within 10 days. That’s adding supply risk into the mix.
Oil futures were mixed in early morning, but the backdrop of potential disruptions could keep a floor under price — especially with the U.S.-EU trade deal helping avoid a broader trade war that might’ve hurt demand.
That said, API data showed a surprise 1.5M barrel build (vs. -2.5M expected), reversing last week’s draw and cooling some of the bullish momentum for now.
OIL is trading above $69, holding a five-week high as geopolitical risk and improving trade ties support price. President Trump has reiterated the U.S. may impose additional tariffs on countries still buying Russian crude, alongside threats of fresh sanctions if Moscow doesn’t resolve the Ukraine conflict within 10 days. That’s adding supply risk into the mix.
Oil futures were mixed in early morning, but the backdrop of potential disruptions could keep a floor under price — especially with the U.S.-EU trade deal helping avoid a broader trade war that might’ve hurt demand.
That said, API data showed a surprise 1.5M barrel build (vs. -2.5M expected), reversing last week’s draw and cooling some of the bullish momentum for now.
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EdgeFinder's Interest Rate Projections
It’s a major day for monetary policy: US, Japan, and Canada are all set to announce interest rate decisions.
Interest rates are one of the key drivers behind currency prices. Changes in a country’s rate impact how attractive its currency is to global investors — not just for return, but for carry trade potential and capital flows.
Even if a central bank holds steady, the tone of the statement can shift expectations going forward. Rate changes adjust the interest rate differential between currencies, which can cause major moves in the FX space.
EdgeFinder makes it easy to stay on top of it all — track every update, compare shifts, and know which currencies may gain or lose momentum.
Stay ready — big moves often start with central banks.
It’s a major day for monetary policy: US, Japan, and Canada are all set to announce interest rate decisions.
Interest rates are one of the key drivers behind currency prices. Changes in a country’s rate impact how attractive its currency is to global investors — not just for return, but for carry trade potential and capital flows.
Even if a central bank holds steady, the tone of the statement can shift expectations going forward. Rate changes adjust the interest rate differential between currencies, which can cause major moves in the FX space.
EdgeFinder makes it easy to stay on top of it all — track every update, compare shifts, and know which currencies may gain or lose momentum.
Stay ready — big moves often start with central banks.
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