EdgeFinder's COT Data History - Gold
Over the last few weeks, large speculators have added to their long positions, now sitting at over 270K contracts — the highest level since early May. Meanwhile, shorts have decreased slightly, keeping the long percentage firmly above 82%. Net positioning continues to climb, now at 213,115 contracts.
This steady uptick in long interest aligns with gold’s recent breakout past $3,400, reinforcing the idea that institutional players are positioning defensively amid global uncertainty and rising trade tensions.
COT data isn’t a timing tool, but it helps us understand where the “big money” is leaning — and right now, they’re leaning bullish
Over the last few weeks, large speculators have added to their long positions, now sitting at over 270K contracts — the highest level since early May. Meanwhile, shorts have decreased slightly, keeping the long percentage firmly above 82%. Net positioning continues to climb, now at 213,115 contracts.
This steady uptick in long interest aligns with gold’s recent breakout past $3,400, reinforcing the idea that institutional players are positioning defensively amid global uncertainty and rising trade tensions.
COT data isn’t a timing tool, but it helps us understand where the “big money” is leaning — and right now, they’re leaning bullish
❤25🔥11👍3
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
What’s a sign of a disciplined trader?
What’s a sign of a disciplined trader?
Anonymous Quiz
97%
Follows a trading plan
1%
Doubles down after losses
1%
Trades every setup they see
1%
Avoids stop loss
👍19❤11🔥5
DXY – Waiting for Clarity
The Dollar traded quietly overnight, with most major pairs seeing limited movement. DXY is sitting right at a key level — a spot that could act as support if it holds, or turn into resistance if price slips below.
All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell this morning. His comments may offer some much-needed insight into where interest rates are headed and how the Fed is thinking about the ongoing tariff situation. For now, DXY remains in limbo — waiting for direction.
The Dollar traded quietly overnight, with most major pairs seeing limited movement. DXY is sitting right at a key level — a spot that could act as support if it holds, or turn into resistance if price slips below.
All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell this morning. His comments may offer some much-needed insight into where interest rates are headed and how the Fed is thinking about the ongoing tariff situation. For now, DXY remains in limbo — waiting for direction.
👍16❤3😁1
AUD/USD – More Easing to Come
AUD/USD is trading just beneath a key higher-time-frame resistance zone, with downside pressure continuing to build. Price action has been leaning bearish, and EdgeFinder aligns with a strong -7 score.
Fundamentally, RBA meeting minutes confirmed that more rate cuts are likely on the horizon. The July decision to pause at 3.85% came down to optics — officials didn’t want to ease too aggressively.
But that hesitation might be short-lived. Since then, unemployment unexpectedly jumped to a 3.5-year high, giving the central bank more reason to act. Markets are now fully pricing in a cut to 3.60% at the August 12 meeting, with rates seen dropping further by year-end
AUD/USD is trading just beneath a key higher-time-frame resistance zone, with downside pressure continuing to build. Price action has been leaning bearish, and EdgeFinder aligns with a strong -7 score.
Fundamentally, RBA meeting minutes confirmed that more rate cuts are likely on the horizon. The July decision to pause at 3.85% came down to optics — officials didn’t want to ease too aggressively.
But that hesitation might be short-lived. Since then, unemployment unexpectedly jumped to a 3.5-year high, giving the central bank more reason to act. Markets are now fully pricing in a cut to 3.60% at the August 12 meeting, with rates seen dropping further by year-end
🔥8👍7❤3
EdgeFinder's Forex Scanner
AUD/USD continues to slide, trading just beneath a major resistance zone with price action leaning lower — and EdgeFinder confirms the bearish bias with a -7 score.
Looking under the hood:
- COT Data shows 82% of institutional positions are short AUD.
- Unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, its highest since 2021.
- Retail Sales and Manufacturing PMIs both missed, adding more fuel to the downside case.
- Interest Rate Score is also bearish for the AUD as markets fully price in an August rate cut — with more expected by year-end.
AUD/USD continues to slide, trading just beneath a major resistance zone with price action leaning lower — and EdgeFinder confirms the bearish bias with a -7 score.
Looking under the hood:
- COT Data shows 82% of institutional positions are short AUD.
- Unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, its highest since 2021.
- Retail Sales and Manufacturing PMIs both missed, adding more fuel to the downside case.
- Interest Rate Score is also bearish for the AUD as markets fully price in an August rate cut — with more expected by year-end.
❤11👍6🔥3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Looking for a trustworthy broker? This page makes it easy.
We've created an organized list of our recommended brokers on our website. Browse brokers by country or product and read our full broker reviews!
👉 CHECKOUT OUR FAVORITE BROKERS: https://www.a1trading.com/brokers/
p.s. we just added a ton of new countries!
We've created an organized list of our recommended brokers on our website. Browse brokers by country or product and read our full broker reviews!
👉 CHECKOUT OUR FAVORITE BROKERS: https://www.a1trading.com/brokers/
p.s. we just added a ton of new countries!
❤13🔥4
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
What usually drives USD/JPY moves the most?
What usually drives USD/JPY moves the most?
Anonymous Quiz
10%
Oil prices
70%
Interest rate differentials
6%
S&P 500
14%
Trade volume
👍3❤1
USD/CAD – Key Support Retested
USD/CAD is once again testing the 1.36000 handle — a level that has served as strong support three times in recent months. This area also aligns with a rising trendline from July 2023, adding technical significance. If price holds, the pair could remain range-bound between 1.36000 and 1.38000. However, a decisive break lower might signal the early stages of a longer-term bearish reversal.
Fundamentals have quieted compared to earlier this year, but the August 1st tariff deadline remains a key risk. Canada continues to face scrutiny in recent trade talks, and when headlines turn negative, USD/CAD has tended to spike temporarily. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is at a major inflection point, and its next move could influence the broader USD direction going forward.
USD/CAD is once again testing the 1.36000 handle — a level that has served as strong support three times in recent months. This area also aligns with a rising trendline from July 2023, adding technical significance. If price holds, the pair could remain range-bound between 1.36000 and 1.38000. However, a decisive break lower might signal the early stages of a longer-term bearish reversal.
Fundamentals have quieted compared to earlier this year, but the August 1st tariff deadline remains a key risk. Canada continues to face scrutiny in recent trade talks, and when headlines turn negative, USD/CAD has tended to spike temporarily. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is at a major inflection point, and its next move could influence the broader USD direction going forward.
❤14🔥1
Gold – Pulls Back After Three-Day Rally
Gold futures edged lower to $3,400.0 after a strong 3 day, though the metal remains up nearly 3% on the week and 30% YTD. Price is currently testing a key resistance level — a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, while a rejection may reinforce the zone’s strength.
The pullback follows news of a U.S.-Japan trade deal, which eased market concerns and temporarily reduced demand for safe-haven assets. The agreement also signals potential progress ahead of the August 1 U.S. tariff deadline, calming broader trade tension fears.
Despite the dip, gold remains fundamentally supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, global trade uncertainty, and speculation around Fed policy. Recent comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent have also eased concerns over the central bank’s independence, though investors remain on watch for further Fed signals
Gold futures edged lower to $3,400.0 after a strong 3 day, though the metal remains up nearly 3% on the week and 30% YTD. Price is currently testing a key resistance level — a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, while a rejection may reinforce the zone’s strength.
The pullback follows news of a U.S.-Japan trade deal, which eased market concerns and temporarily reduced demand for safe-haven assets. The agreement also signals potential progress ahead of the August 1 U.S. tariff deadline, calming broader trade tension fears.
Despite the dip, gold remains fundamentally supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, global trade uncertainty, and speculation around Fed policy. Recent comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent have also eased concerns over the central bank’s independence, though investors remain on watch for further Fed signals
❤23🫡14😱3
Want access to our signals service? Don't miss the next trade!
Join here for 40% OFF with code TGVIP: https://a1trading.com/vip/
Have questions? CHAT WITH US: https://tawk.to/chat/62e5d26254f06e12d88c1ec2/1g98rrk80
Join here for 40% OFF with code TGVIP: https://a1trading.com/vip/
Have questions? CHAT WITH US: https://tawk.to/chat/62e5d26254f06e12d88c1ec2/1g98rrk80
❤10😍2🔥1
📏 Struggling to figure out the right lot size for your trades?
We built a free position size calculator to take the guesswork out of risk management. Just enter your account size, risk percentage, and stop loss—and it’ll do the math for you.
🔗 Check it out here:
https://www.a1trading.com/position-size-calculator/
Don't forget to bookmark to use in the future!
We built a free position size calculator to take the guesswork out of risk management. Just enter your account size, risk percentage, and stop loss—and it’ll do the math for you.
🔗 Check it out here:
https://www.a1trading.com/position-size-calculator/
Don't forget to bookmark to use in the future!
❤13
EU Economic Heatmap
All eyes are on the Eurozone tomorrow with PMIs and the ECB rate decision set to drop — two key catalysts that could shape the next move for the Euro.
PMIs are expected to tick slightly higher, which would be a welcomed sign for growth across the bloc. Recent prints have been mixed, but an upside surprise could reinforce confidence in the recovery narrative.
As for the ECB, rates are expected to remain unchanged. Inflation has cooled, but not convincingly enough to trigger another cut — especially with sticky services prices and global tariff uncertainties in play. The press conference afterward will be key for any guidance on the September meeting
All eyes are on the Eurozone tomorrow with PMIs and the ECB rate decision set to drop — two key catalysts that could shape the next move for the Euro.
PMIs are expected to tick slightly higher, which would be a welcomed sign for growth across the bloc. Recent prints have been mixed, but an upside surprise could reinforce confidence in the recovery narrative.
As for the ECB, rates are expected to remain unchanged. Inflation has cooled, but not convincingly enough to trigger another cut — especially with sticky services prices and global tariff uncertainties in play. The press conference afterward will be key for any guidance on the September meeting
❤27👍10👀4
🛎️ Closing Bell - Question of the Day
What does a support level often indicate?
What does a support level often indicate?
Anonymous Quiz
83%
Buying interest
2%
Overvaluation
3%
Volatility
12%
Trend reversal
❤21👍10🔥2
EUR/USD – Rates Held, Uncertainty Remains
EUR/USD saw some recovery this week, trading as high as 1.17900 before breaking a short-term trendline this morning following the ECB’s latest decision.
The central bank held rates at 2.15% — no surprise there. After four cuts already this year, the ECB is in wait-and-see mode, especially with inflation sitting right on target at 2%. But it’s not just inflation they’re watching.
Traders are keeping a close eye on trade talks with the U.S. ahead of the looming August 1 tariff deadline. The base case is a 15% U.S. tariff on EU goods, though some are still holding out hope for a smaller deal or targeted exemptions.
That cloud of uncertainty is hanging over the Euro, even as economic data like PMIs come in relatively stable. Whether EUR/USD holds or breaks lower from here may depend on how those trade headlines evolve
EUR/USD saw some recovery this week, trading as high as 1.17900 before breaking a short-term trendline this morning following the ECB’s latest decision.
The central bank held rates at 2.15% — no surprise there. After four cuts already this year, the ECB is in wait-and-see mode, especially with inflation sitting right on target at 2%. But it’s not just inflation they’re watching.
Traders are keeping a close eye on trade talks with the U.S. ahead of the looming August 1 tariff deadline. The base case is a 15% U.S. tariff on EU goods, though some are still holding out hope for a smaller deal or targeted exemptions.
That cloud of uncertainty is hanging over the Euro, even as economic data like PMIs come in relatively stable. Whether EUR/USD holds or breaks lower from here may depend on how those trade headlines evolve
❤18👍11🙏6
USD/JPY – Bounce from Support
USD/JPY found buyers at 146.000, a level that’s acted as solid support. On the upside, 148.000 remains the key resistance to watch — price has struggled to break and hold above that zone.
Fundamentally, the tone out of Japan has turned a bit more optimistic. Deputy Governor Uchida noted that the trade deal with the U.S. has helped reduce economic uncertainty, which opened the door to speculation around potential rate hikes down the line.
Still, political clouds linger. With the ruling coalition weakened after Sunday’s election, and talk of a possible no-confidence motion, the yen could remain under pressure in the short-term.
USD/JPY found buyers at 146.000, a level that’s acted as solid support. On the upside, 148.000 remains the key resistance to watch — price has struggled to break and hold above that zone.
Fundamentally, the tone out of Japan has turned a bit more optimistic. Deputy Governor Uchida noted that the trade deal with the U.S. has helped reduce economic uncertainty, which opened the door to speculation around potential rate hikes down the line.
Still, political clouds linger. With the ruling coalition weakened after Sunday’s election, and talk of a possible no-confidence motion, the yen could remain under pressure in the short-term.
🔥19❤7🙏4
Want the EdgeFinder & StockBox for FREE? 🚀
Gain an edge in the markets with the EdgeFinder, our all-in-one market scanning tool, and the StockBox, designed to help you analyze stock setups with ease!
Here’s how you can unlock access:
💰 Deposit $500 – 1 Month VIP Membership
💰 Deposit $5,000 – 1 Year VIP Membership + StockBox
💰 Deposit $10,000 – Gold VIP Membership + EdgeFinder
💰 Deposit $15,000 – Gold VIP Membership + StockBox + EdgeFinder
Ready to take your trading to the next level? 💪
Get started here!
Terms and conditions apply.
Gain an edge in the markets with the EdgeFinder, our all-in-one market scanning tool, and the StockBox, designed to help you analyze stock setups with ease!
Here’s how you can unlock access:
💰 Deposit $500 – 1 Month VIP Membership
💰 Deposit $5,000 – 1 Year VIP Membership + StockBox
💰 Deposit $10,000 – Gold VIP Membership + EdgeFinder
💰 Deposit $15,000 – Gold VIP Membership + StockBox + EdgeFinder
Ready to take your trading to the next level? 💪
Get started here!
Terms and conditions apply.
❤12🔥3🙏3