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β Seasonality & Forecasts
β Forex, Indices, Gold/Silver, Commodities, Bonds & More
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π Closing Bell - Question of the Day
What does GDP measure?
What does GDP measure?
Anonymous Quiz
4%
Stock market performance
3%
Interest rates
88%
Economic growth
5%
Inflation
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USD/CHF β Eyeing the Next Breakout?
USD/CHF broke out of last weekβs tight range after pushing above 0.7994, gaining momentum. That breakout gave bulls room to run, and today weβre seeing price test a major resistance zone between 0.8039 and 0.8055.
If buyers stay in control, the next upside levels to watch are the 200-period moving average on the 4H near 0.8077, a key zone that could decide whether this bounce has more legs.
Since the May peak near 0.8475, USD/CHF trended down aggressively, bottoming out near 0.7871, its lowest level since 2011. This recent bounce is notable, but itβll take more than a couple green candles to flip the broader trend.
For now, near-term support sits at 0.8017, with stronger structure back near 0.7986β0.7994 β the area that kicked off this weekβs move.
USD/CHF broke out of last weekβs tight range after pushing above 0.7994, gaining momentum. That breakout gave bulls room to run, and today weβre seeing price test a major resistance zone between 0.8039 and 0.8055.
If buyers stay in control, the next upside levels to watch are the 200-period moving average on the 4H near 0.8077, a key zone that could decide whether this bounce has more legs.
Since the May peak near 0.8475, USD/CHF trended down aggressively, bottoming out near 0.7871, its lowest level since 2011. This recent bounce is notable, but itβll take more than a couple green candles to flip the broader trend.
For now, near-term support sits at 0.8017, with stronger structure back near 0.7986β0.7994 β the area that kicked off this weekβs move.
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GBP/USD β Nearing Support
GBP/USD is approaching the 1.34000 zone β a level that held mid-June. The pair has been sliding since hitting resistance at 1.37000, and how price reacts here could give clues about trend continuation or a potential bounce. If this level breaks, the next support to watch is 1.32000.
Markets whipsawed yesterday on rumors that the White House was planning to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The speculation sparked a Dollar selloff β but once debunked, the DXY quickly recovered.
Todayβs focus is on U.S. Retail Sales β a key measure of consumer spending. A strong print would support the case for a resilient economy and give the Dollar a lift. On the flip side, a weaker number could indicate rate cuts
GBP/USD is approaching the 1.34000 zone β a level that held mid-June. The pair has been sliding since hitting resistance at 1.37000, and how price reacts here could give clues about trend continuation or a potential bounce. If this level breaks, the next support to watch is 1.32000.
Markets whipsawed yesterday on rumors that the White House was planning to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The speculation sparked a Dollar selloff β but once debunked, the DXY quickly recovered.
Todayβs focus is on U.S. Retail Sales β a key measure of consumer spending. A strong print would support the case for a resilient economy and give the Dollar a lift. On the flip side, a weaker number could indicate rate cuts
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EdgeFinder's Retail Sales Chart β Surprise Higher
Retail Sales data just dropped β and it was a beat. The market was expecting a modest 0.1% increase, but the actual number came in hot at 0.6%.
Retail Sales tracks consumer spending, which makes up a large portion of U.S. GDP. Strong data typically signals a healthy economy and can delay the need for Fed rate cuts β while weak numbers often point to slowing growth and rising recession risks.
This upside surprise strengthens the case for a more cautious Fed. With inflation still above target and now consumer spending showing resilience, policymakers may have more reason to pause or delay cuts. It also gives the Dollar some tailwind β especially heading into more key data later this week.
Direction-neutral, but worth watching how the market digests this beat
Retail Sales data just dropped β and it was a beat. The market was expecting a modest 0.1% increase, but the actual number came in hot at 0.6%.
Retail Sales tracks consumer spending, which makes up a large portion of U.S. GDP. Strong data typically signals a healthy economy and can delay the need for Fed rate cuts β while weak numbers often point to slowing growth and rising recession risks.
This upside surprise strengthens the case for a more cautious Fed. With inflation still above target and now consumer spending showing resilience, policymakers may have more reason to pause or delay cuts. It also gives the Dollar some tailwind β especially heading into more key data later this week.
Direction-neutral, but worth watching how the market digests this beat
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π¨ NEW TRADE SIGNAL
Nick just dropped a Forex trade
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π Closing Bell - Question of the Day
FOMO usually causes traders toβ¦
FOMO usually causes traders toβ¦
Anonymous Quiz
74%
Chase price
9%
Take profits early
13%
Enter in desirable prices
4%
Reduce risk