Tech Tries to Hold Gains
Tech stocks are attempting to extend the rebound they started in mid-April. After a dip in premarket trading, the index recovered at the open. Expect volatility to continue, as investor sentiment remains tightly linked to statements from the White House.
The EdgeFinder still ranks the index as a strong buy, potentially signaling that the recent pullback could turn into a broader recovery.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Tech stocks are attempting to extend the rebound they started in mid-April. After a dip in premarket trading, the index recovered at the open. Expect volatility to continue, as investor sentiment remains tightly linked to statements from the White House.
The EdgeFinder still ranks the index as a strong buy, potentially signaling that the recent pullback could turn into a broader recovery.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Retail sentiment toward gold has been overwhelmingly bearish since mid-March. Despite gold’s record-setting rally, the majority of retail positions have been short—highlighting a strong disconnect between price action and retail positioning.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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📈 Buying the NASDAQ on a green day?
Yesterday, I entered a long position on NAS100 following the announcement of new U.S.-India trade negotiations. With earnings season kicking off this could add another layer of volatility to an already interesting setup.
I’m positioning with a bullish bias for now as we watch how markets react to these developments.
-Frank
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Yesterday, I entered a long position on NAS100 following the announcement of new U.S.-India trade negotiations. With earnings season kicking off this could add another layer of volatility to an already interesting setup.
I’m positioning with a bullish bias for now as we watch how markets react to these developments.
-Frank
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Our economic heatmaps show the U.S. dollar currently sitting at 42% bullish. Interestingly, equities are reacting in a similar fashion across various fundamental categories—whether driven by housing, inflation, or broader economic data. This uniformity suggests that sentiment remains fragile and highly reactive.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Recently I've seen many people frustrated with the markets, complaining that "because of Trump" they are losing money.
This is wrong. YOU are responsible for everything that happens in your account. Great traders know this well.
Losing traders blame outside forces, great traders take responsibility.
We've recently transitioned from a low volatility market (VIX) to a high volatility market.
This sudden shift in environment has happened countless times, and every time it catches unprepared traders off guard.
This is why great traders like @Fxflow discuss the importance of knowing the trading environment you're in so frequently.
This is why there are no holy grail systems. What was working well in a low volatility environment, may be struggling now. Other systems may be thriving in this environment.
EVERYTHING in trading has a pro and a con. If you don't like this environment, don't complain - ADAPT!
- Nick
This is wrong. YOU are responsible for everything that happens in your account. Great traders know this well.
Losing traders blame outside forces, great traders take responsibility.
We've recently transitioned from a low volatility market (VIX) to a high volatility market.
This sudden shift in environment has happened countless times, and every time it catches unprepared traders off guard.
This is why great traders like @Fxflow discuss the importance of knowing the trading environment you're in so frequently.
This is why there are no holy grail systems. What was working well in a low volatility environment, may be struggling now. Other systems may be thriving in this environment.
EVERYTHING in trading has a pro and a con. If you don't like this environment, don't complain - ADAPT!
- Nick
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It is also important to recognize the reality that nothing works all of the time in trading, and having overleveraged positions will burn you bad if you're caught on the wrong side of an environment shift.
Small position sizes will save you. Embrace them, or blow up!
Small position sizes will save you. Embrace them, or blow up!
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Gold's Pullback: Is This the Calm Before a Storm?
Gold prices have been cooling off after reaching recent highs, but it’s unclear if this pullback signals the end of the rally. A lot depends on China’s actions regarding the ongoing trade barriers. As the US faces a massive trade deficit with China, any movement toward trade balance could send gold prices down, turning the current pullback into a full-blown downtrend.
-Frank
Gold prices have been cooling off after reaching recent highs, but it’s unclear if this pullback signals the end of the rally. A lot depends on China’s actions regarding the ongoing trade barriers. As the US faces a massive trade deficit with China, any movement toward trade balance could send gold prices down, turning the current pullback into a full-blown downtrend.
-Frank
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NASDAQ: Is This The Start of Something Big?
The NASDAQ is heating up, with a solid +11 bullish score on the EdgeFinder as it tests a critical resistance level. However, this week’s market performance is still up in the air, waiting for news from China and major earnings reports from top tech companies like META, MSFT, and AAPL. With META and MSFT kicking things off on April 30th, all eyes will be on their results to see if the bullish momentum continues.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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The NASDAQ is heating up, with a solid +11 bullish score on the EdgeFinder as it tests a critical resistance level. However, this week’s market performance is still up in the air, waiting for news from China and major earnings reports from top tech companies like META, MSFT, and AAPL. With META and MSFT kicking things off on April 30th, all eyes will be on their results to see if the bullish momentum continues.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a fascinating contrast: institutional investors are unloading gold and the US dollar while loading up on oil, NASDAQ, and the DOW. This shift in smart money behavior is quite different from the retail crowd, who are still focused on the shiny allure of gold and other commodities.
Data from EdgeFinder
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Data from EdgeFinder
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Eyes on Jobs Data: A Vital. Week for Market Sentiment
Amid all the uncertainty, the market is gearing up for crucial jobs data, starting with the JOLTS report. This will offer a glimpse into how the ongoing trade barriers have affected the US job market over the past month. Investors will be watching closely for any signs of strain that could further influence market direction.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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Amid all the uncertainty, the market is gearing up for crucial jobs data, starting with the JOLTS report. This will offer a glimpse into how the ongoing trade barriers have affected the US job market over the past month. Investors will be watching closely for any signs of strain that could further influence market direction.
-Frank
Data from EdgeFinder
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NASDAQ Daily Chart:
Price action seems to be breaking out here, with bears on the back foot now.
Now that we've recaptured the 90 day pause day on the S&P and Nasdaq, its looking increasingly likely that a bottom to this selloff is in.
This is typically what bottoms look like - messy and before you know it they're behind us.
Is it possible we retake the lows? Of course, anything is possible.
But I would argue that the market would need to see something substantially more scary that what we previously heard, which is a big order to fill.
Bears have their work cut out for them, and I am looking for longs.
- Nick
Price action seems to be breaking out here, with bears on the back foot now.
Now that we've recaptured the 90 day pause day on the S&P and Nasdaq, its looking increasingly likely that a bottom to this selloff is in.
This is typically what bottoms look like - messy and before you know it they're behind us.
Is it possible we retake the lows? Of course, anything is possible.
But I would argue that the market would need to see something substantially more scary that what we previously heard, which is a big order to fill.
Bears have their work cut out for them, and I am looking for longs.
- Nick
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