A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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Jobless claims came in lower for the third straight week in a row. Revisions are slightly holding us back as previous numbers keep getting revised higher. The overall trend is lower however, and seeing a steady in the jobs market could be what investors are looking for.

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Do you think bitcoin is above or below 100,000 on January 1st?
Anonymous Poll
75%
ABOVE
25%
BELOW
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Want to see an example of one of our trades on Gold this year? 😏😏😏
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Nick's Gold Trade Breakdown
August 2, 2024

🟢 Entry Price: 2472.47
🔴 Exit Price: 2567.87

Trade Result: $1,816.36 (3.97%)

Technical Analysis:
After breaking a key level of daily resistance, and pulling back into now support, a buy entry was executed with stops just below recent swing lows.

Fundamental Analysis:
With the fed poised to cut rates in 2024, and uncertain economic conditions (notably, cooling jobs data and a weakening US dollar)

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📊 COT & Retail Positioning History Now Available!

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You can now track historical data for Smart Money (COT) and Retail positioning trends.

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After the announcement of Scott Bessent as Secretary of Treasury on Friday, gold's price dropped like a rock. This pick has somewhat eased concerns over the inflation trend which may help with the Fed decisions on cutting rates and bringing CPI down to the 2% target. Gold is down nearly 3% at the time of writing this and looks like it will try support around the $2,600 level which has served as a major level to break or bounce.

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Although not a big correction right now, price inched close to the $100K price target before pulling back on what could be profit taking. What makes this position tricky is that a reversal could take the crypto down 25% to the nearest support level, but price is only about 5% away from the anticipated price goal.

The psychological level has prevented price from moving to it despite the demand from businesses around this asset. One outcome we could see is a stall in price for a while where Bitcoin moves lower and stalls in the $80,000-99,000 range before we get another push.

-Frank
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USOIL Daily Chart:

Price action looks rough here, with possible downside momentum picking up if we break through the $67 per barrel mark.

Today's good news about peace negotiations between Israel and Hezbollah has oil prices sliding this morning.

Additionally, with Trump's goal of drilling significant amounts of oil and making USA a major exporter could also drive supply higher, and price lower.

Looking bearish for now!

- Nick
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EURUSD, Retail Sentiment... 👀
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Yen sees the most change to the buy side from institutions while the dollar was lightly sold. There is a divergence between US indices which has been a common story this year. Small caps and blue chips are getting sold while tech and S&P are getting bought up.

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